PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fortitudo Bologna vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 81-78
29-25 21-13 22-26 9-14
Position#4
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaDozza
Other2025-26
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Cividale
23 Dec 2026
FBO v CIVI
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
FBO81
CIVI78
06 Apr 2025
FBO79
CIVI86
28 Jan 2024
FBO90
CIVI77
22 Jan 2023
FBO72
CIVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
75-84
75
84
-9
79avg 72
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
71-66
71
66
+5
66avg 72
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
94-85
94
85
+9
95avg 72
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
58avg 72
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
59avg 72
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-68
77
68
+9
82avg 72
H15/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
60avg 72
H17/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
63-88
63
88
-25
54avg 72
A20/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
82-86
82
86
-4
80avg 72
A21/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
94-64
94
64
+30
91avg 72
H28/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
15-19
23-11
10-28
21-9
17-18
15-28
18-11
32-18
24-24
19-22
19-21
24-18
14-23
14-15
12-16
18-14
14-24
24-27
11-16
17-23
15-17
23-9
22-19
25-17
14-11
16-16
19-24
14-24
15-11
17-31
17-22
15-27
22-18
26-21
19-20
26-21
8-16
33-13
27-14
152.3Avg total
76.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.075.0163.0+13.050%
Season at home (1)94.064.0158.0+30.0100%
Season away (1)82.086.0168.0-4.00%
Last 10 (10)76.176.2152.3-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.074.8152.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.274.5146.8-2.250%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.974.1150.0+1.853%
vs Weaker (5)80.472.6153.0+7.880%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
95-96 OT
95
96
-1
82avg 72
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
83-75
83
75
+8
80avg 72
H19/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
75-65
75
65
+10
69avg 72
A27/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
81avg 72
H11/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
76avg 72
H13/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 72
A16/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 72
A18/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
78-81
78
81
-3
65avg 72
H21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
74-83
74
83
-9
62avg 72
A21/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
74-67
74
67
+7
70avg 72
H26/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
18-34
25-13
18-24
18-21
14-27
27-14
24-13
21-19
19-18
21-11
14-17
27-26
19-22
23-22
21-15
20-12
12-21
19-20
31-21
28-23
14-26
27-19
12-23
19-18
24-24
15-17
14-24
19-19
13-26
27-17
19-19
28-14
15-14
20-30
11-25
16-10
27-24
13-16
18-17
160.4Avg total
80.4Scored
80.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.075.0149.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)74.067.0141.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)74.083.0157.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)80.480.0160.4+0.450%
Last 5 (5)75.881.0156.8-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)80.079.8159.8+0.250%
vs Weaker (5)85.884.2170.0+1.660%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.6-1.6
Fortitudo BolognaCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#3
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H23/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A27/04
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H06/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A12/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H15/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H17/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A20/05
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A21/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H28/09
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
37.7Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.374.9+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.837.677.4+2.250%-
Last 30 away (14)35.037.172.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.875.5-0.130%-
Last 5 (5)34.237.071.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.137.173.2-1.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)37.737.274.9+0.541%-
vs Weaker (5)39.438.277.6+1.260%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H12/04
Serie A2
Cento
#15
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H19/04
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A27/04
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H11/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H13/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A16/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A18/05
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H21/05
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A21/09
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H26/09
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
39.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.540.780.3-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.841.382.1-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)38.340.178.4-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)39.841.581.3-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.680.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.044.085.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)39.539.979.4-0.454%-
vs Weaker (5)39.444.083.4-4.620%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.614.6
44.8%
50.8%29.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.6
36.8%
34.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.214.3
83.1%
74.4%14.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.317.9
48.0%
50.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.110.1
37.3%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.5
74.6%
74.4%13.5
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
WLLWWLLWWL
Cividale
WLLLLWWWWL
#4
League position
#5
+0.1
Net rating
+1.1
105.8
Offensive rating
108.7
105.6
Defensive rating
107.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.2%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.8%
3-point %
37.3%
77.4%
Assist %
54.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.8 · 108.7Defence105.6 · 107.6Shooting49.7% · 51.3%3-point %36.8% · 37.3%Ball care16.2% · 16.2%Off. rebounds24.9% · 28.8%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fortitudo Bologna wins
4
Cividale wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/25HScafati94-64
21/09/25ARoseto82-86
20/05/25ACantu63-88
17/05/25HCantu74-68
15/05/25HCantu77-68
12/05/25ACantu67-81
10/05/25ACantu64-72
06/05/25HPesaro94-85
27/04/25ALibertas Livorno71-66
23/04/25HRimini75-84
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/09/25HVerona74-67
21/09/25ABasket Torino74-83
21/05/25HForli78-81
18/05/25AForli72-83
16/05/25AForli81-91
13/05/25HForli82-74
11/05/25HForli90-85
27/04/25AOrzinuovi75-65
19/04/25HCento83-75
12/04/25HUrania Milano95-96 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game88.094.082.0
Allowed / game75.064.086.0
Point differential+13.0+30.0-4.0
Avg total163.0158.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cividale
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game74.074.074.0
Allowed / game75.067.083.0
Point differential-1.0+7.0-9.0
Avg total149.0141.0157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi220100%89.559.0+30.5
2 Basket Torino220100%82.570.0+12.5
3 Mestre32167%80.079.0+1.0
4 Scafati32167%80.080.7-0.7
5 Fortitudo Bologna21150%88.075.0+13.0
6 Avellino Basket21150%73.067.5+5.5
7 Libertas Livorno21150%73.069.5+3.5
8 Rimini21150%78.575.0+3.5
9 Forli21150%78.075.5+2.5
10 Pistoia21150%81.078.5+2.5
11 Blu Basket Bergamo21150%87.588.0-0.5
12 Cividale21150%74.075.0-1.0
13 Verona21150%70.571.5-1.0
14 Sebastiani Rieti21150%68.573.5-5.0
15 JuVi Cremona21150%69.077.5-8.5
16 Cento31233%71.076.0-5.0
17 Roseto31233%86.791.7-5.0
18 Urania Milano31233%78.385.3-7.0
19 Pesaro1010%62.078.0-16.0
20 Ruvo Di Puglia2020%65.590.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna292122981
Cividale2513261478
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.