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Fos-sur-Mer vs Cholet Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 May 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-78
15-18 17-10 28-23 21-27
Position#18
Record9-22
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#7
Record17-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game82.9
FranceLNBRound 32
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet
05 May 2023
FSM81
CHO78
28 Jan 2022
FSM69
CHO81
12 Oct 2018
FSM70
CHO77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cholet winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
W
71-68
71
68
+3
62avg 74
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
97-95
97
95
+2
94avg 74
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
74-80
74
80
-6
68avg 74
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
63-69
63
69
-6
56avg 74
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
85avg 74
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
L
88-93
88
93
-5
87avg 74
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
73avg 74
A16/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
W
87-65
87
65
+22
95avg 74
H23/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
75-86
75
86
-11
74avg 74
H26/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
70-97
70
97
-27
60avg 74
A29/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
22-13
17-10
14-15
31-15
16-31
21-23
29-26
22-12
14-29
20-23
18-16
17-15
17-21
17-21
12-12
24-27
23-22
25-22
25-29
31-18
22-29
15-17
20-29
20-24
26-22
13-29
24-23
21-23
18-16
25-16
23-10
17-20
22-23
20-17
16-26
15-22
8-26
28-17
19-32
165.6Avg total
80.5Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)76.683.0159.6-6.429%
Season at home (15)75.677.9153.5-2.347%
Season away (16)77.687.8165.3-10.212%
Last 10 (10)80.585.1165.6-4.630%
Last 5 (5)80.687.8168.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)76.182.8158.9-6.728%
vs Similar (5)77.280.4157.6-3.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCholet
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
50avg 78
H25/03
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
72avg 78
H01/04
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
81-59
81
59
+22
no box
H05/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
L
82-102
82
102
-20
74avg 78
A08/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
83avg 78
H13/04
LNB
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
no box
H26/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
L
86-94
86
94
-8
82avg 78
A30/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
69-98
69
98
-29
52avg 78
A03/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-19
11-30
17-11
14-17
17-18
24-22
18-23
22-22
31-16
12-20
15-28
20-11
17-11
27-19
17-18
11-23
23-20
23-26
25-33
18-19
24-19
19-18
20-18
22-28
31-21
12-15
12-17
18-20
24-17
15-21
21-22
27-21
22-23
16-27
21-23
14-25
18-29
19-22
18-22
160.3Avg total
77.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)82.882.9165.8-0.157%
Season at home (15)85.380.8166.1+4.573%
Season away (15)80.485.1165.5-4.740%
Last 10 (10)77.083.3160.3-6.320%
Last 5 (5)78.285.4163.6-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)81.596.0177.5-14.50%
vs Similar (19)81.880.8162.6+0.953%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.780.5160.2-0.850%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.4-4.4Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -3.1-3.1
Fos-sur-MerCholet
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Le Mans
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H03/03
LNB
Dijon
#4
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A10/03
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H25/03
LNB
Gravelines-Dunkerque
#9
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H31/03
LNB
Paris
#10
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/04
LNB
Nanterre
#14
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A08/04
LNB
Monaco
#1
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A16/04
LNB
Strasbourg
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H23/04
LNB
JL Bourg
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H26/04
LNB
Le Portel
#12
L
23-48
23
48
-25
A29/04
LNB
84.2Avg total
40.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.379.2-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.239.775.9-3.520%-
Last 30 away (15)37.544.982.5-7.420%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.884.2-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)40.044.684.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)36.442.779.0-6.316%-
vs Similar (5)39.440.680.0-1.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cholet) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CholetLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#10
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H25/03
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A29/03
FIBA Europe Cup
Nanterre
#14
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H01/04
LNB
BC Kalev/Cramo
#2
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H05/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Dijon
#4
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/04
LNB
Roanne
#11
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H13/04
LNB
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A19/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Anwil Wloclawek
#3
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H26/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Monaco
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A30/04
LNB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#2
L
32-54
32
54
-22
A03/05
LNB
80.6Avg total
40.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.941.784.6+1.260%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.085.4+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)41.642.383.9-0.756%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.880.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.488.0-0.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)44.849.894.5-5.050%-
vs Similar (19)43.540.383.7+3.263%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)41.739.781.3+2.067%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.422.1
56.1%
53.7%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.6
31.7%
35.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.415.9
71.0%
75.2%15.9
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cholettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cholet: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.0 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.720.1
51.9%
53.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.58.3
36.9%
35.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.915.3
73.2%
75.2%15.3
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LLWLLLLLWW
Cholet
LLLLWLWLLL
#18
League position
#7
-5.7
Net rating
-7.6
108.1
Offensive rating
109.8
113.8
Defensive rating
117.5
53.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
19.2%
Turnover %
18.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.7%
3-point %
36.9%
60.6%
Assist %
57.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 109.8Defence113.8 · 117.5Shooting53.2% · 53.2%3-point %31.7% · 36.9%Ball care19.2% · 18.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 30.0%Free throws0.37 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Cholet
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fos-sur-Mer wins
4
Cholet wins
DateGameScore
06/12/22Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer73-70
28/01/22Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet69-81
18/12/21Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer79-83
12/05/19Cholet v Fos-sur-Mer99-83
12/10/18Fos-sur-Mer v Cholet70-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/04/23ALe Portel70-97
26/04/23HJL Bourg75-86
23/04/23HStrasbourg87-65
16/04/23AMonaco83-98
08/04/23ANanterre88-93
05/04/23AParis97-100
31/03/23HGravelines-Dunkerque63-69
25/03/23HLyon-Villeurbanne74-80
10/03/23ADijon97-95
03/03/23HLe Mans71-68
Choletlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/23ALyon-Villeurbanne69-98
30/04/23AMonaco86-94
26/04/23HAnwil Wloclawek78-80
19/04/23AAnwil Wloclawek77-81
13/04/23HRoanne81-74
08/04/23ADijon82-102
05/04/23HBC Kalev/Cramo81-59
01/04/23HNanterre80-86
29/03/23ABC Kalev/Cramo73-80
25/03/23HParis63-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL29%
HomeWLLWL47%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %29%47%12%
Points / game76.675.677.6
Allowed / game83.077.987.8
Point differential-6.4-2.3-10.2
Avg total159.6153.5165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%13%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)67% (6)25% (8)
Overtime %6%7%6%
Cholet
LNB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeLWLLW73%
AwayWLLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %57%73%40%
Points / game82.885.380.4
Allowed / game82.980.885.1
Point differential-0.1+4.5-4.7
Avg total165.8166.1165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)80% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Monaco3226681%89.579.8+9.8
2 Boulogne-Levallois30201067%86.183.5+2.7
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne31201165%85.076.8+8.2
4 Dijon31191261%86.684.1+2.5
5 JL Bourg31191261%86.284.1+2.1
6 Cholet30171357%82.882.9-0.1
7 Le Mans31161552%87.684.3+3.4
8 Gravelines-Dunkerque32161650%78.880.3-1.5
9 Paris31151648%88.390.2-1.9
10 Roanne31141745%91.591.2+0.4
11 Strasbourg31141745%81.482.9-1.5
12 Nanterre31141745%80.783.2-2.5
13 Le Portel31131842%79.379.1+0.2
14 Limoges31131842%77.580.9-3.4
15 Ada Blois31121939%81.886.9-5.2
16 Nancy31112035%81.784.8-3.1
17 Pau-Orthez31112035%78.982.8-3.9
18 Fos-sur-Mer3192229%76.683.0-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1517282181
Cholet1810232778
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