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Nevada vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 77-66
34-32 43-34
Position#74
Record19-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game66.5
Nevada 🏆
USA
vs
Position#295
Record9-14
FormLLLWW
Points / game62.0
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Nevada v Fresno State
07 Feb 2026
NEVA69
FRES59
12 Mar 2025
NEVA86
FRES71
10 Feb 2025
NEVA94
FRES69
01 Mar 2024
NEVA74
FRES66
10 Feb 2023
NEVA77
FRES66
21 Jan 2022
NEVA77
FRES73
17 Jan 2021
NEVA79
FRES65
15 Jan 2021
NEVA73
FRES57
14 Jan 2021
NEVA v FRES
upcoming
22 Feb 2020
NEVA78
FRES76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
67-40
67
40
+27
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-31
40-38
32-15
35-25
27-44
38-30
37-42
48-28
36-42
26-35
43-38
35-40
33-35
29-33
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
142.8Avg total
74.2Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)73.666.5140.1+7.176%
Season at home (14)77.264.3141.5+12.9100%
Season away (11)69.069.3138.3-0.345%
Last 10 (10)74.268.6142.8+5.670%
Last 5 (5)76.671.2147.8+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.269.2138.3+0.033%
vs Similar (18)73.570.3143.8+3.267%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)71.659.4131.0+12.2100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-32
35-35
23-35
34-44
30-36
34-38
26-20
22-31
37-33
39-30
25-23
28-40
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
132.9Avg total
63.6Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)62.064.9126.8-2.939%
Season at home (10)62.360.4122.7+1.960%
Season away (13)61.768.3130.0-6.623%
Last 10 (10)63.669.3132.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)64.071.8135.8-7.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.566.4129.9-2.940%
vs Similar (16)58.763.7122.4-5.025%
vs Weaker (3)68.358.3126.7+10.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: -3.4-3.42nd half2nd half: +4.7+4.72nd half: -2.3-2.3
NevadaFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#238
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H05/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
32-15
32
15
+17
A07/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A11/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
69.8Avg total
35.2Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.565.7+0.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.230.663.8+2.750%-
Last 30 away (14)33.334.667.9-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)35.234.669.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.470.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)29.334.864.2-5.517%-
vs Similar (18)34.533.568.0+1.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)31.828.860.6+3.060%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
62.6Avg total
29.6Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.830.158.8-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.228.758.9+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)27.631.158.8-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)29.633.062.6-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.863.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)31.132.263.3-1.140%-
vs Similar (16)26.829.856.5-3.031%-
vs Weaker (3)30.324.054.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nevada wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
24/01/23HNew Mexico97-94 OT
18/01/23ABoise State62-77
14/01/23HUtah State85-70
11/01/23ASan Diego State65-74
07/01/23ASan Jose State67-40
05/01/23HColorado State80-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
25/01/23ABoise State53-63
21/01/23HUNLV76-63
15/01/23HAir Force48-51
11/01/23ASan Jose State64-74
07/01/23AColorado State57-79
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %76%100%45%
Points / game73.677.269.0
Allowed / game66.564.369.3
Point differential+7.1+12.9-0.3
Avg total140.1141.5138.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%57%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%7%9%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW39%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLLLLW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %39%60%23%
Points / game62.062.361.7
Allowed / game64.960.468.3
Point differential-2.9+1.9-6.6
Avg total126.8122.7130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2419579%74.365.5+8.8
2 New Mexico2519676%81.672.4+9.2
3 Utah State2519676%79.671.0+8.6
4 Nevada2519676%73.666.5+7.1
5 Boise State2418675%71.661.2+10.4
6 UNLV2416867%76.168.5+7.7
7 Grand Canyon2315865%71.866.2+5.6
8 San Jose State24141058%68.166.3+1.8
9 Air Force26131350%67.366.5+0.8
10 Colorado State25111444%73.871.8+2.0
11 Fresno State2391439%62.064.9-2.9
12 Wyoming2371630%70.071.9-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nevada344377
Fresno State323466
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