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Fresno State vs Nevada Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 56-60
30-34 26-26
Position#295
Record10-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game64.6
Fresno State
USA
vs
Nevada 🏆
USA
Position#74
Record21-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game66.2
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Fresno State v Nevada
03 Jan 2026
FRES65
NEVA66
11 Jan 2025
FRES66
NEVA77
06 Jan 2024
FRES57
NEVA72
24 Feb 2023
FRES56
NEVA60
04 Feb 2022
FRES73
NEVA56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevada winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
39-30
25-23
28-40
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
130.9Avg total
63.6Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)61.764.6126.2-2.937%
Season at home (12)60.259.1119.3+1.250%
Season away (15)62.868.9131.7-6.127%
Last 10 (10)63.667.3130.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)62.062.6124.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.065.5127.5-3.533%
vs Similar (16)60.163.9124.0-3.831%
vs Weaker (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
97-94 OT
97
94
+3
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
75-66
75
66
+9
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
72-52
72
52
+20
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
77-76
77
76
+1
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
77-66
77
66
+11
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
66-75
66
75
-9
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-42
48-28
36-42
26-35
43-38
35-40
33-35
29-33
28-30
47-36
31-28
41-24
45-41
32-35
34-32
43-34
47-32
19-43
24-28
42-23
143.4Avg total
73.9Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.266.2139.4+7.075%
Season at home (16)76.563.6140.1+12.9100%
Season away (12)68.869.8138.5-1.042%
Last 10 (10)73.969.5143.4+4.470%
Last 5 (5)71.664.0135.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)69.763.0132.7+6.767%
vs Similar (20)72.869.5142.3+3.265%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)72.560.5133.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.0-3.01st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -0.7-0.72nd half: +3.1+3.1
Fresno StateNevada
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
61.0Avg total
29.0Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.930.459.3-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.527.857.3+1.662%-
Last 30 away (17)28.432.460.8-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)29.032.061.0-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)27.628.055.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)30.731.662.2-0.942%-
vs Similar (16)27.229.756.9-2.431%-
vs Weaker (1)29.026.055.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Nevada) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevadaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah State
#41
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H24/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A29/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H04/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A08/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H11/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A19/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H22/02
NCAA
70.6Avg total
35.8Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.631.665.2+2.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.830.262.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (13)34.833.468.2+1.446%-
Last 10 (10)35.834.870.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.268.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)27.330.057.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (20)34.633.167.8+1.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)32.229.361.5+2.867%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fresno State wins
5
Nevada wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Nevada v Fresno State77-66
05/02/22Fresno State v Nevada73-56
22/01/22Nevada v Fresno State77-73
17/01/21Nevada v Fresno State79-65
16/01/21Nevada v Fresno State73-57
23/02/20Nevada v Fresno State78-76
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
25/01/23ABoise State53-63
21/01/23HUNLV76-63
Nevadalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/23HSan Jose State66-51
19/02/23AUtah State66-75
11/02/23HFresno State77-66
08/02/23ANew Mexico77-76
04/02/23HAir Force72-52
01/02/23HSan Diego State75-66
29/01/23AUNLV62-68
24/01/23HNew Mexico97-94 OT
18/01/23ABoise State62-77
14/01/23HUtah State85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %37%50%27%
Points / game61.760.262.8
Allowed / game64.659.168.9
Point differential-2.9+1.2-6.1
Avg total126.2119.3131.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nevada
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281612
Win %75%100%42%
Points / game73.276.568.8
Allowed / game66.263.669.8
Point differential+7.0+12.9-1.0
Avg total139.4140.1138.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State2722581%73.664.6+9.0
2 Boise State2822679%72.462.7+9.8
3 Utah State2922776%78.470.0+8.4
4 Nevada2821775%73.266.2+7.0
5 New Mexico2820871%81.072.5+8.5
6 UNLV28171161%74.568.8+5.8
7 Grand Canyon28171161%69.864.7+5.0
8 San Jose State28161257%67.867.2+0.5
9 Air Force30141647%67.066.8+0.2
10 Colorado State29131645%73.371.7+1.6
11 Fresno State27101737%61.764.6-2.9
12 Wyoming2882029%69.271.8-2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fresno State302656
Nevada342660
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