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UNLV vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 04:00
Final 79-82
43-37 36-45
Position#123
Record15-7
FormLLWWW
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game68.3
vs
Position#295
Record7-14
FormLWLLL
Points / game60.6
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · UNLV v Fresno State
20 Dec 2025
UNLV84
FRES72
28 Dec 2024
UNLV87
FRES77
30 Jan 2024
UNLV78
FRES69
03 Feb 2023
UNLV79
FRES82
14 Jan 2022
UNLV68
FRES73
26 Feb 2021
UNLV68
FRES67
24 Feb 2021
UNLV64
FRES67
08 Feb 2020
UNLV68
FRES67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UNLV winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UNLVUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
L
72-75 OT
72
75
-3
A29/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
63-76
63
76
-13
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
86-72
86
72
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
83-71
83
71
+12
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-41
35-24
33-44
34-32
38-43
46-34
–
–
34-35
36-35
37-46
34-29
33-37
30-39
41-31
45-41
35-33
33-29
39-30
44-41
149.1Avg total
74.1Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)76.368.3144.6+8.068%
Season at home (14)76.165.6141.7+10.671%
Season away (8)76.673.0149.6+3.662%
Last 10 (10)74.175.0149.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)74.271.2145.4+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.771.3142.0-0.733%
vs Similar (18)69.566.3135.8+3.261%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.867.0148.8+14.878%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
54-67
54
67
-13
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-79
57
79
-22
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
53-63
53
63
-10
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
53-70
53
70
-17
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
1H
2H
38-25
20-28
26-33
28-34
36-32
35-35
23-35
34-44
30-36
34-38
26-20
22-31
37-33
39-30
25-23
28-40
28-34
25-36
25-47
37-38
126.8Avg total
59.6Scored
67.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)60.664.3125.0-3.733%
Season at home (9)61.460.2121.7+1.256%
Season away (12)60.067.4127.4-7.417%
Last 10 (10)59.667.2126.8-7.630%
Last 5 (5)58.466.4124.8-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)61.465.0126.4-3.633%
vs Similar (17)57.463.6121.1-6.218%
vs Weaker (3)68.358.3126.7+10.0100%
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -5.2-5.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +3.7+3.72nd half: -5.2-5.2
UNLVFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UNLVLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Jose State
#121
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/12
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H15/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A18/01
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H25/01
NCAA
Nevada
#74
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H29/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A01/02
NCAA
73.3Avg total
35.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.333.068.3+2.352%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.932.769.6+4.256%-
Last 30 away (13)33.333.466.7-0.146%-
Last 10 (9)35.637.873.3-2.233%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.472.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.041.075.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (17)33.832.366.1+1.559%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.631.770.2+6.956%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A31/12
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H04/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A07/01
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A11/01
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H15/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Boise State
#57
W
25-23
25
23
+2
A25/01
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
61.2Avg total
29.4Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.529.758.2-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)30.429.259.5+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)27.130.157.2-2.935%-
Last 10 (10)29.431.861.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.459.6-3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)30.431.061.4-0.644%-
vs Similar (17)26.929.856.8-2.929%-
vs Weaker (3)30.324.054.3+6.3100%-
This opponent (UNLV) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
UNLV wins
3
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
21/01/23Fresno State v UNLV76-63
17/02/22Fresno State v UNLV57-60
15/01/22UNLV v Fresno State68-73
27/02/21UNLV v Fresno State68-67
25/02/21UNLV v Fresno State64-67
09/02/20UNLV v Fresno State68-67
05/12/19Fresno State v UNLV80-81 OT
UNLVlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23AColorado State83-71
29/01/23HNevada68-62
25/01/23HWyoming86-72
21/01/23AFresno State63-76
18/01/23AUtah State71-75
15/01/23HColorado State81-82 OT
12/01/23HBoise State66-84
08/01/23ANew Mexico84-77
31/12/22HSan Diego State67-76
29/12/22ASan Jose State72-75 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/23AWyoming62-85
29/01/23HUtah State53-70
25/01/23ABoise State53-63
21/01/23HUNLV76-63
15/01/23HAir Force48-51
11/01/23ASan Jose State64-74
07/01/23AColorado State57-79
04/01/23HNew Mexico71-67
31/12/22AUtah State54-67
29/12/22HWyoming58-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UNLV
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW68%
HomeLLLWW71%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %68%71%62%
Points / game76.376.176.6
Allowed / game68.365.673.0
Point differential+8.0+10.6+3.6
Avg total144.6141.7149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %9%7%12%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %33%56%17%
Points / game60.661.460.0
Allowed / game64.360.267.4
Point differential-3.7+1.2-7.4
Avg total125.0121.7127.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%22%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico2319483%82.071.5+10.5
2 San Diego State2318578%74.865.7+9.1
3 Utah State2318578%80.071.0+9.0
4 Boise State2418675%71.661.2+10.4
5 Nevada2317674%73.566.7+6.8
6 UNLV2215768%76.368.3+8.0
7 Grand Canyon2113862%70.865.4+5.4
8 San Jose State2213959%67.766.2+1.5
9 Air Force23121152%67.665.7+2.0
10 Colorado State23101343%73.871.9+1.9
11 Wyoming2171433%70.871.5-0.7
12 Fresno State2171433%60.664.3-3.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UNLV433679
Fresno State374582
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