PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fresno State vs San Francisco Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 12 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Scheduled
Position#143
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#140
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game68.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fresno State v San Francisco
12 Dec 2026
FRES v SAN
upcoming
16 Nov 2022
FRES60
SAN 67
23 Dec 2019
FRES69
SAN 71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fresno State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Francisco win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
53-69
53
69
-16
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
60-85
60
85
-25
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#354
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#300
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
44-32
34-48
39-32
31-42
23-28
30-41
45-34
37-34
29-44
31-41
32-27
31-40
41-38
47-41
36-32
29-49
39-38
39-40
50-28
39-52
151.8Avg total
74.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.283.0167.2+1.275%
Season at home (3)90.783.7174.3+7.0100%
Season away (1)65.081.0146.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)74.377.5151.8-3.240%
Last 5 (5)80.079.8159.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)68.876.1144.9-7.322%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.485.2166.6-3.840%
vs Weaker (6)78.562.8141.3+15.783%
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
59-80
59
80
-21
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
73-94
73
94
-21
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
72-61
72
61
+11
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
W
82-65
82
65
+17
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#206
L
68-84
68
84
-16
H15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
56-38
29-41
30-39
38-44
35-50
42-35
30-26
29-29
53-36
32-30
45-48
37-30
39-32
45-31
34-39
26-28
37-30
28-47
40-37
147.2Avg total
74.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season at home (4)71.568.5140.0+3.075%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.173.1147.2+1.060%
Last 5 (5)72.670.4143.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.679.8146.3-13.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.175.9152.0+0.357%
vs Weaker (14)76.169.1145.2+6.971%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: -1.4-1.42nd half2nd half: -8.0-8.02nd half: +2.4+2.4
Fresno StateSan Francisco
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A25/02
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H01/03
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/03
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A08/03
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A12/03
NCAA
Fresno Pacific
#354
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H03/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#169
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#300
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H11/11
NCAA
UC Riverside
#109
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H14/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
37.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.834.268.9+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.468.4+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)33.336.269.5-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.833.371.1+4.580%-
Last 5 (5)39.632.672.2+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)31.132.463.5-1.339%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)40.841.081.8-0.260%-
vs Weaker (6)39.733.272.8+6.583%-
This opponent (San Francisco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San FranciscoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Diego Toreros
#301
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Gonzaga
#9
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/02
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Pacific
#165
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/02
NCAA
Portland
#253
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Oregon State
#195
W
32-30
32
30
+2
A09/03
NCAA
Radford
#310
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/11
NCAA
North Dakota St
#264
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Montana
#196
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H11/11
NCAA
Portland State
#206
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H15/11
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.067.1-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.935.669.5-1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)32.131.863.9+0.246%-
Last 10 (10)34.235.669.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.633.266.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)29.338.167.4-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.735.372.0+1.457%-
vs Weaker (14)33.830.664.4+3.171%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fresno State wins
4
San Francisco wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HUC Riverside89-80
11/11/26HGeorgia State95-92 OT
08/11/26AUC San Diego65-81
03/11/26HFresno Pacific88-79
12/03/26AColorado State63-67
08/03/26AGrand Canyon60-85
04/03/26HSan Jose State82-68
01/03/26HBoise State53-69
25/02/26AColorado State70-74
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HPortland State68-84
11/11/26HMontana63-58
07/11/26HNorth Dakota St79-70
03/11/26HRadford76-62
09/03/26AOregon State77-78
08/03/26HPortland82-65
28/02/26APacific72-61
22/02/26HSanta Clara73-94
19/02/26HGonzaga59-80
15/02/26ASan Diego Toreros92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fresno State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game84.290.765.0
Allowed / game83.083.781.0
Point differential+1.2+7.0-16.0
Avg total167.2174.3146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
San Francisco
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWWL75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game71.571.5-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+3.0+3.0-
Avg total140.0140.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boise State330100%114.371.0+43.3
2 Utah State440100%105.570.5+35.0
3 Grand Canyon440100%97.270.8+26.5
4 San Diego State330100%89.073.0+16.0
5 UNLV330100%84.374.7+9.7
6 New Mexico43175%93.271.0+22.2
7 Wyoming43175%81.859.8+22.0
8 Air Force43175%93.583.8+9.8
9 Colorado State43175%76.871.2+5.5
10 Fresno State43175%84.283.0+1.2
11 Nevada42250%79.073.2+5.8
12 San Jose State31233%83.081.7+1.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
West Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oregon State440100%93.269.5+23.8
2 Santa Clara550100%86.675.0+11.6
3 St. Marys (CA)43175%93.576.5+17.0
4 San Diego Toreros43175%84.275.5+8.8
5 San Francisco43175%71.568.5+3.0
6 Pacific32167%74.753.7+21.0
7 Pepperdine42250%96.070.0+26.0
8 Portland52340%87.093.6-6.6
9 Gonzaga31233%87.075.7+11.3
10 Seattle31233%70.373.3-3.0
11 Loyola Marymount41325%84.574.8+9.8
12 Washington State41325%81.579.5+2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.