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Fukuoka vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 74-68
18-17 20-12 18-15 18-24
Position#4
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game71.6
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#11
Record0-7
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game85.6
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Nara
05 Jan 2025
FUKU79
NARA98
04 Jan 2025
FUKU91
NARA68
27 Mar 2024
FUKU42
NARA71
28 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA72
27 Oct 2023
FUKU74
NARA68
01 Mar 2015
FUKU105
NARA82
28 Feb 2015
FUKU99
NARA94
02 Nov 2013
FUKU85
NARA64
01 Nov 2013
FUKU80
NARA57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#9
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
83-84 OT
83
84
-1
no box
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
78-75
78
75
+3
74avg 78
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
64avg 78
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
75-61
75
61
+14
79avg 78
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 78
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 78
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 78
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 78
A25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
19-26
23-17
23-22
19-21
12-21
26-21
16-14
16-18
25-15
16-14
15-25
20-11
21-17
16-28
21-19
24-17
20-23
13-20
13-17
20-16
25-10
16-13
14-22
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
21-28
21-12
22-10
23-17
15-15
21-14
22-23
19-18
154.1Avg total
79.6Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.171.6151.7+8.686%
Season at home (2)88.568.5157.0+20.0100%
Season away (5)76.872.8149.6+4.080%
Last 10 (10)79.674.5154.1+5.160%
Last 5 (5)82.669.8152.4+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.883.3157.1-9.518%
vs Similar (9)74.878.0152.8-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)81.272.2153.5+9.075%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
54-89
54
89
-35
no box
H19/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
70-77
70
77
-7
no box
A25/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
56-87
56
87
-31
no box
A26/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-95
80
95
-15
66avg 58
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
63avg 58
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
66-77
66
77
-11
52avg 58
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
58-96
58
96
-38
48avg 58
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
66-96
66
96
-30
48avg 58
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
78-88
78
88
-10
70avg 58
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
62-64
62
64
-2
59avg 58
A25/10
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
16-30
12-15
17-28
23-22
9-21
23-11
15-23
–
–
–
–
13-28
19-25
22-25
26-17
25-19
20-24
19-24
12-16
13-17
11-20
27-22
15-18
17-25
10-19
19-24
12-28
16-26
18-21
22-21
10-28
16-15
22-30
21-21
19-22
12-17
15-20
17-16
18-11
151.8Avg total
66.6Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.485.6155.0-16.10%
Season at home (4)67.089.2156.2-22.20%
Season away (3)72.780.7153.3-8.00%
Last 10 (10)66.685.2151.8-18.60%
Last 5 (5)66.084.2150.2-18.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)68.183.1151.3-15.04%
vs Similar (7)75.985.4161.3-9.614%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: -7.8-7.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -5.2-5.2
FukuokaNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kyoto
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A14/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H20/04
B League
Diamond Dolphins
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H21/04
B League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A06/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A07/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A14/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/10
B2.League
76.2Avg total
40.0Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.440.076.4-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.140.477.5-3.333%-
Last 30 away (15)35.739.775.3-4.033%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.276.2+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)42.035.077.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.240.575.8-5.324%-
vs Similar (9)35.741.076.7-5.322%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)42.835.878.5+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ryukyu
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
H19/04
BJ League
Shimane
#12
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A25/04
BJ League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A07/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A08/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H14/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
27-44
27
44
-17
H15/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H21/10
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H22/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A25/10
B2.League
75.4Avg total
31.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.740.474.1-6.731%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.139.771.9-7.627%-
Last 30 away (14)35.441.176.5-5.636%-
Last 10 (9)31.643.975.4-12.311%-
Last 5 (5)30.042.072.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)32.341.673.9-9.318%-
vs Similar (7)38.336.674.9+1.771%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.3 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.1
50.0%
52.4%40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.09.3
40.4%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws15.610.9
69.7%
71.0%10.9
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 68.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.9 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.4
46.4%
52.4%34.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.6
28.6%
33.6%19.7
🏀 Free throws19.914.0
70.5%
71.0%14.0
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
WWWWWLWLLL
Nara
LLLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#11
+10.9
Net rating
-21.5
107.7
Offensive rating
93.1
96.8
Defensive rating
114.6
53.8%
Effective FG%
45.0%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
18.8%
Turnover %
20.3%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.4%
3-point %
28.6%
71.8%
Assist %
53.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
0%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 93.1Defence96.8 · 114.6Shooting53.8% · 45.0%3-point %40.4% · 28.6%Ball care18.8% · 20.3%Off. rebounds31.4% · 28.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 0%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fukuoka wins
2
Nara wins
DateGameScore
15/03/15Nara v Fukuoka67-73
14/03/15Nara v Fukuoka88-87
01/03/15Fukuoka v Nara105-82
28/02/15Fukuoka v Nara99-94
16/02/14Nara v Fukuoka58-78
15/02/14Nara v Fukuoka84-73
02/11/13Fukuoka v Nara85-64
01/11/13Fukuoka v Nara80-57
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AKobe77-70
22/10/23HNiigata87-67
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
15/10/23AShiga84-81
14/10/23AShiga75-61
07/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings70-77
06/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings78-75
21/04/19HDiamond Dolphins83-84 OT
20/04/19HDiamond Dolphins73-77
14/04/19AKyoto79-83
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/23AKumamoto62-64
22/10/23HShiga78-88
21/10/23HShiga66-96
15/10/23HKobe58-96
14/10/23HKobe66-77
08/10/23AAltiri Chiba76-83
07/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-95
26/04/15AShimane56-87
25/04/15AShimane70-77
19/04/15HRyukyu54-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %86%100%80%
Points / game80.188.576.8
Allowed / game71.668.572.8
Point differential+8.6+20.0+4.0
Avg total151.7157.0149.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game69.467.072.7
Allowed / game85.689.280.7
Point differential-16.1-22.2-8.0
Avg total155.0156.2153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kobe76186%86.375.9+10.4
2 Fukuoka76186%80.171.6+8.6
3 Altiri Chiba76186%85.477.1+8.3
4 Koshigaya Alphas75271%85.773.6+12.1
5 Aomori75271%89.686.9+2.7
6 Shiga74357%86.076.0+10.0
7 Shizuoka74357%81.176.7+4.4
8 Kumamoto74357%82.380.6+1.7
9 Yamagata Wyverns74357%83.184.7-1.6
10 Fukushima72529%83.788.3-4.6
11 Ehime Orange Vikings72529%72.679.0-6.4
12 Iwate71614%67.978.7-10.9
13 Nara7070%69.485.6-16.1
14 Niigata7070%66.184.9-18.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1820181874
Nara1712152468
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