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Niigata vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:10
Final 68-75
25-20 21-20 8-18 14-17
Position#14
Record1-22
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#3
Record14-9
FormLWWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game74.3
JapanB2.League· City Hall Plaza Aore Nagaoka
Other2023-24
Meetings · Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas
20 Dec 2023
NIIG68
KOSH75
08 Oct 2023
NIIG46
KOSH80
07 Oct 2023
NIIG65
KOSH75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niigata winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiigataJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNiigata
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
62-76
62
76
-14
49avg 59
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
77-82 OT
77
82
-5
no box
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
52-81
52
81
-29
42avg 59
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
54-78
54
78
-24
36avg 59
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
76-88
76
88
-12
74avg 59
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
69-80
69
80
-11
59avg 59
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
82-90
82
90
-8
67avg 59
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 59
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
90-95
90
95
-5
82avg 59
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
85-92
85
92
-7
78avg 59
A17/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
10-27
19-19
18-15
15-23
21-21
22-10
13-17
17-20
7-23
9-15
19-23
11-19
13-15
14-31
16-13
17-27
27-25
14-16
18-20
19-18
17-22
21-20
12-20
24-27
16-20
14-19
28-24
19-19
14-18
18-22
21-21
18-24
29-25
23-23
20-23
25-26
21-25
19-18
20-23
156.1Avg total
71.9Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)69.784.5154.2-14.74%
Season at home (10)70.182.0152.1-11.910%
Season away (13)69.586.4155.8-16.90%
Last 10 (10)71.984.2156.1-12.30%
Last 5 (5)79.687.4167.0-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)71.583.8155.3-12.211%
vs Similar (2)91.583.0174.5+8.5100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
80avg 77
H18/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 77
H19/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 77
A24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
90-63
90
63
+27
88avg 77
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 77
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 77
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 77
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 77
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 77
A17/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
21-24
15-12
16-10
17-19
25-20
17-18
10-20
24-17
22-31
19-24
24-21
19-20
19-17
33-17
19-9
10-24
24-18
16-12
15-14
14-21
22-24
27-21
17-15
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
156.1Avg total
79.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)83.674.3158.0+9.361%
Season at home (11)80.871.3152.1+9.564%
Season away (12)86.277.2163.3+9.058%
Last 10 (10)79.276.9156.1+2.340%
Last 5 (5)80.279.8160.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.773.8158.5+10.868%
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.9+1.9
NiigataKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NiigataLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nara
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H20/11
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H21/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A26/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H03/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H09/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H10/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/12
B2.League
79.4Avg total
35.5Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.642.277.8-6.617%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.041.176.1-6.114%-
Last 30 away (16)36.143.179.2-7.119%-
Last 10 (10)35.543.979.4-8.40%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.885.2-4.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)35.142.978.0-7.814%-
vs Similar (2)41.532.574.0+9.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H18/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
81.6Avg total
40.7Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)43.038.081.0+5.065%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.137.882.9+7.373%-
Last 30 away (12)41.138.179.2+3.058%-
Last 10 (10)40.740.981.6-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)40.039.279.2+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.337.481.6+6.974%-
This opponent (Niigata) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Niigatatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Niigata: 68.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.116.5
45.7%
52.4%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.8
31.0%
33.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws16.712.4
74.3%
71.0%12.4
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.6
50.5%
52.4%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.0
30.3%
33.6%21.0
🏀 Free throws20.515.0
73.2%
71.0%15.0
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Niigata
LLLLLLLLLL
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWWLLWLLW
#14
League position
#3
-19.3
Net rating
+9.9
94.0
Offensive rating
104.7
113.3
Defensive rating
94.8
46.0%
Effective FG%
48.7%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
43.0%
21.0%
Turnover %
18.9%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.0%
3-point %
30.3%
52.7%
Assist %
58.0%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 104.7Defence113.3 · 94.8Shooting46.0% · 48.7%3-point %31.0% · 30.3%Ball care21.0% · 18.9%Off. rebounds29.4% · 36.6%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)0% · 40%
■ Niigata   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Niigata wins
3
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Niigata99-70
08/10/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas46-80
07/10/23Niigata v Koshigaya Alphas65-75
Niigatalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AAomori85-92
16/12/23AAomori90-95
10/12/23HKumamoto72-80
09/12/23HKumamoto82-90
03/12/23HIwate69-80
02/12/23HIwate76-88
26/11/23AAltiri Chiba54-78
25/11/23AAltiri Chiba52-81
21/11/23HNara77-82 OT
20/11/23HNara62-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53
03/12/23HAltiri Chiba80-81
02/12/23HAltiri Chiba65-68
25/11/23AYamagata Wyverns90-63
24/11/23AYamagata Wyverns89-93
19/11/23HKobe69-77
18/11/23HKobe78-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niigata
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL4%
HomeLLLLL10%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %4%10%0%
Points / game69.770.169.5
Allowed / game84.582.086.4
Point differential-14.7-11.9-16.9
Avg total154.2152.1155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%10%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL61%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayWLWLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%64%58%
Points / game83.680.886.2
Allowed / game74.371.377.2
Point differential+9.3+9.5+9.0
Avg total158.0152.1163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%36%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %13%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2422292%88.775.8+12.9
2 Fukuoka2418675%80.174.5+5.6
3 Shiga2417771%85.777.3+8.4
4 Kumamoto2416867%84.382.2+2.0
5 Aomori2415962%87.187.5-0.4
6 Koshigaya Alphas2314961%83.674.3+9.3
7 Kobe24131154%81.078.3+2.7
8 Shizuoka24121250%80.678.6+2.0
9 Yamagata Wyverns24111346%80.885.0-4.2
10 Nara2491538%72.477.8-5.4
11 Fukushima2481633%79.883.0-3.2
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2461825%78.487.6-9.2
13 Iwate2451921%69.975.9-6.0
14 Niigata231224%69.784.5-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Niigata252181468
Koshigaya Alphas2020181775
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