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Nara vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 29 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 81-80
20-23 17-19 22-19 22-19
Position#11
Record11-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game77.8
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#3
Record16-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game73.7
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Koshigaya Alphas
30 Dec 2023
NARA83
KOSH79
29 Dec 2023
NARA81
KOSH80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
77-71
77
71
+6
79avg 65
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 65
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 65
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 65
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 65
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 65
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 65
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 65
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 65
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 65
H24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-17
21-26
22-5
19-23
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
152.0Avg total
75.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)73.277.8151.0-4.642%
Season at home (13)72.279.8151.9-7.646%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)75.376.7152.0-1.460%
Last 5 (5)78.675.2153.8+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.584.1152.6-15.66%
vs Similar (12)74.873.4148.2+1.467%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
90-63
90
63
+27
88avg 76
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 76
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 76
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 76
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 76
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 76
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 76
H24/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-17
33-17
19-9
10-24
24-18
16-12
15-14
14-21
22-24
27-21
17-15
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
152.2Avg total
78.7Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)82.873.7156.5+9.262%
Season at home (13)80.470.8151.2+9.562%
Season away (13)85.376.5161.8+8.862%
Last 10 (10)78.773.5152.2+5.250%
Last 5 (5)83.281.2164.4+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)83.673.1156.7+10.568%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.6-3.6Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
NaraKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A26/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
72.5Avg total
34.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.439.373.8-4.934%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.339.572.8-6.133%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.274.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.072.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.836.071.8-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.342.174.3-9.820%-
vs Similar (12)35.737.473.1-1.842%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
77.9Avg total
38.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)42.538.180.5+4.462%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.937.581.4+6.569%-
Last 30 away (13)41.038.779.7+2.354%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.277.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.082.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (22)43.537.681.0+5.968%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.818.0
46.4%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.5
35.4%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.013.2
73.3%
71.0%13.2
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.719.0
47.9%
52.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.7
32.1%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws19.514.8
75.9%
71.0%14.8
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WWWLWLLLWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWLLWWLLW
#11
League position
#3
-1.4
Net rating
+7.8
103.9
Offensive rating
105.8
105.3
Defensive rating
98.0
49.0%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
17.5%
Turnover %
16.2%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.4%
3-point %
32.1%
59.2%
Assist %
58.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 105.8Defence105.3 · 98.0Shooting49.0% · 48.0%3-point %35.4% · 32.1%Ball care17.5% · 16.2%Off. rebounds31.6% · 34.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Nara   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nara wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
No previous meetings.
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
26/11/23AIwate77-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53
03/12/23HAltiri Chiba80-81
02/12/23HAltiri Chiba65-68
25/11/23AYamagata Wyverns90-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW42%
HomeWLWWW46%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %42%46%38%
Points / game73.272.274.2
Allowed / game77.879.875.8
Point differential-4.6-7.6-1.6
Avg total151.0151.9150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%8%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game82.880.485.3
Allowed / game73.770.876.5
Point differential+9.2+9.5+8.8
Avg total156.5151.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%38%46%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)20% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%23%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2624292%88.075.1+12.9
2 Shiga2720774%86.677.9+8.7
3 Fukuoka2619773%79.774.4+5.3
4 Koshigaya Alphas26161062%82.873.7+9.2
5 Kumamoto26161062%83.883.1+0.7
6 Aomori26151158%86.587.2-0.7
7 Kobe26141254%80.778.8+1.8
8 Yamagata Wyverns26131350%81.284.6-3.3
9 Shizuoka27131448%80.478.9+1.5
10 Nara26111542%73.277.8-4.6
11 Fukushima2691735%78.982.6-3.7
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2772026%78.786.4-7.7
13 Iwate2762122%70.076.1-6.1
14 Niigata261254%70.484.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nara2017222281
Koshigaya Alphas2319191980
← all games of the day
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