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Aomori vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 62-90
14-21 20-22 10-27 18-20
Position#8
Record16-13
FormLLLWL
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#3
Record17-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game74.2
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas
31 Jan 2024
AOMO102
KOSH98
07 Jan 2024
AOMO62
KOSH90
06 Jan 2024
AOMO72
KOSH100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 70
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-90
95
90
+5
100avg 70
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 70
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 70
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 70
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 70
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 70
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 70
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
72-100
72
100
-28
50avg 70
H06/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
24-18
25-29
23-23
23-20
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
13-29
19-27
19-21
21-23
174.1Avg total
86.1Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.487.0172.4-1.555%
Season at home (14)81.385.2166.5-3.957%
Season away (15)89.388.6177.9+0.753%
Last 10 (10)86.188.0174.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)77.484.2161.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.491.4168.8-14.038%
vs Similar (18)87.387.3174.6-0.156%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 77
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 77
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 77
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 77
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 77
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 77
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 77
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
100-72
100
72
+28
101avg 77
A06/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
29-13
27-19
21-19
23-21
157.0Avg total
81.1Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)83.274.2157.4+9.059%
Season at home (13)80.470.8151.2+9.562%
Season away (16)85.576.9162.4+8.656%
Last 10 (10)81.175.9157.0+5.250%
Last 5 (5)83.074.6157.6+8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.073.8157.7+10.264%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +0.9+0.9
AomoriKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H06/01
B2.League
83.2Avg total
40.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.544.285.7-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.944.685.5-3.843%-
Last 30 away (16)42.143.885.8-1.738%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.783.2-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)36.242.478.6-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.247.585.8-9.225%-
vs Similar (18)42.343.085.3-0.739%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A06/01
B2.League
78.5Avg total
41.2Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.737.880.4+4.962%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.937.581.4+6.569%-
Last 30 away (16)41.638.079.6+3.656%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.378.5+3.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.276.8+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.637.380.8+6.368%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
52.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.5
34.6%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.912.7
67.2%
71.0%12.7
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.219.1
47.5%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.5
33.0%
33.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.1
73.7%
71.0%15.1
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
LWLLLLWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
WLLLWWLLWW
#8
League position
#3
-2.3
Net rating
+7.7
109.0
Offensive rating
104.3
111.3
Defensive rating
96.6
54.3%
Effective FG%
48.3%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
16.9%
Turnover %
17.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.6%
3-point %
33.0%
67.0%
Assist %
60.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 104.3Defence111.3 · 96.6Shooting54.3% · 48.3%3-point %34.6% · 33.0%Ball care16.9% · 17.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 32.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Aomori   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
06/01/24Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas72-100
15/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori77-81
14/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori100-95
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HKoshigaya Alphas72-100
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
16/12/23HNiigata95-90
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AAomori100-72
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL55%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %55%57%53%
Points / game85.481.389.3
Allowed / game87.085.288.6
Point differential-1.5-3.9+0.7
Avg total172.4166.5177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (3)55% (11)
Overtime %10%7%13%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW59%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game83.280.485.5
Allowed / game74.270.876.9
Point differential+9.0+9.5+8.6
Avg total157.4151.2162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3027390%89.076.4+12.6
2 Shiga3023777%87.478.2+9.1
3 Fukuoka3021970%79.074.5+4.5
4 Kumamoto30201067%84.381.5+2.8
5 Koshigaya Alphas29171259%83.274.2+9.0
6 Aomori29161355%85.487.0-1.5
7 Yamagata Wyverns29161355%82.184.4-2.3
8 Kobe30141647%79.779.3+0.4
9 Shizuoka29131645%80.680.4+0.2
10 Nara30131743%73.178.1-5.0
11 Fukushima30102033%79.784.2-4.5
12 Iwate3072323%69.475.3-5.9
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3072323%78.986.5-7.6
14 Niigata3042613%70.682.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori1420101862
Koshigaya Alphas2122272090
← all games of the day
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