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Nara vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 83-79 (OT)
23-14 13-21 15-13 15-18 17-13
Position#11
Record12-15
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game77.9
Nara 🏆
Japan
vs
Koshigaya Alphas
Japan
Position#3
Record16-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game73.9
JapanB2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nara v Koshigaya Alphas
30 Dec 2023
NARA83
KOSH79
29 Dec 2023
NARA81
KOSH80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
68-60
68
60
+8
63avg 65
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 65
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 65
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 65
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 65
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 65
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 65
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 65
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 65
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 65
H29/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
10-16
16-13
20-17
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
20-23
17-19
22-19
22-19
153.3Avg total
75.7Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)73.577.9151.4-4.444%
Season at home (14)72.879.8152.6-7.050%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)75.777.6153.3-1.960%
Last 5 (5)77.877.8155.6+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)69.283.5152.8-14.212%
vs Similar (12)74.873.4148.2+1.467%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 76
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 76
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 76
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 76
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 76
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 76
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 76
A29/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-24
24-18
16-12
15-14
14-21
22-24
27-21
17-15
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
153.0Avg total
77.7Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)82.773.9156.7+8.859%
Season at home (13)80.470.8151.2+9.562%
Season away (14)84.976.8161.7+8.157%
Last 10 (10)77.775.3153.0+2.440%
Last 5 (5)77.074.0151.0+3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.573.4156.9+10.065%
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +0.7+0.7
NaraKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H02/12
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H29/12
B2.League
72.5Avg total
34.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)34.639.373.9-4.734%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.739.473.1-5.733%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.274.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)34.637.972.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.436.472.8+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)32.742.074.7-9.320%-
vs Similar (12)35.737.473.1-1.842%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
78.3Avg total
39.1Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)42.438.080.5+4.463%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.937.581.4+6.569%-
Last 30 away (14)41.138.679.6+2.557%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.278.3-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.278.8+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.437.681.0+5.870%-
This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.0
45.2%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
71.0%13.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.1
47.6%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.7
33.0%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
71.0%13.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nara
WWWWLWLLLW
Koshigaya Alphas
LLWWLLWWLL
#11
League position
#3
-1.8
Net rating
+8.3
104.9
Offensive rating
105.1
106.7
Defensive rating
96.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
48.3%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
16.7%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
33.0%
59.6%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 105.1Defence106.7 · 96.9Shooting48.4% · 48.3%3-point %35.9% · 33.0%Ball care16.3% · 16.7%Off. rebounds31.1% · 34.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Nara   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nara wins
0
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
29/12/23Nara v Koshigaya Alphas81-80
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas81-80
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84
02/12/23HFukuoka68-60
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53
03/12/23HAltiri Chiba80-81
02/12/23HAltiri Chiba65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW44%
HomeLWWWW50%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game73.572.874.2
Allowed / game77.979.875.8
Point differential-4.4-7.0-1.6
Avg total151.4152.6150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%7%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL59%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %59%62%57%
Points / game82.780.484.9
Allowed / game73.970.876.8
Point differential+8.8+9.5+8.1
Avg total156.7151.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%38%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2725293%88.074.8+13.2
2 Shiga2720774%86.677.9+8.7
3 Fukuoka2619773%79.774.4+5.3
4 Kumamoto26161062%83.883.1+0.7
5 Koshigaya Alphas27161159%82.773.9+8.8
6 Aomori26151158%86.587.2-0.7
7 Kobe27141352%80.179.1+1.0
8 Yamagata Wyverns26131350%81.284.6-3.3
9 Shizuoka27131448%80.478.9+1.5
10 Nara27121544%73.577.9-4.4
11 Fukushima2691735%78.982.6-3.7
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2872125%78.586.0-7.6
14 Niigata261254%70.484.3-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Nara231315151783
Koshigaya Alphas142113181379
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