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Aomori vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 72-100
13-29 19-27 19-21 21-23
Position#8
Record16-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#3
Record16-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game74.2
JapanB2.League· Tsugaru City General Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Aomori v Koshigaya Alphas
31 Jan 2024
AOMO102
KOSH98
07 Jan 2024
AOMO62
KOSH90
06 Jan 2024
AOMO72
KOSH100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aomori winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AomoriJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAomori
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
83-76
83
76
+7
63avg 71
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 71
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
100-94 OT
100
94
+6
no box
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
95-90
95
90
+5
100avg 71
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
92-85
92
85
+7
92avg 71
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
93-99
93
99
-6
92avg 71
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 71
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
75-76
75
76
-1
72avg 71
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
73-75
73
75
-2
72avg 71
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
85-80
85
80
+5
82avg 71
A31/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
23-16
16-24
26-15
22-17
19-24
30-16
23-34
19-22
25-9
23-25
16-27
24-18
25-29
23-23
23-20
26-25
25-21
18-19
23-20
21-28
18-22
25-25
29-24
17-16
18-26
18-22
29-26
20-16
17-20
25-19
13-21
26-22
16-23
15-10
16-20
19-13
16-20
22-19
28-28
172.8Avg total
87.2Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.986.5172.4-0.657%
Season at home (13)82.084.1166.1-2.162%
Season away (15)89.388.6177.9+0.753%
Last 10 (10)87.285.6172.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)81.684.0165.6-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)79.291.0170.2-11.838%
vs Similar (18)87.387.3174.6-0.156%
vs Weaker (4)86.282.5168.8+3.875%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 76
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 76
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
74-84
74
84
-10
62avg 76
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
75-68
75
68
+7
69avg 76
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 76
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
81-83
81
83
-2
73avg 76
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
80-81
80
81
-1
73avg 76
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
79-83 OT
79
83
-4
no box
A30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-21
22-24
27-21
17-15
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
19-22
22-20
18-18
15-24
20-25
20-21
18-8
17-14
19-14
17-16
16-12
23-12
22-19
17-22
27-13
15-29
23-20
19-17
19-22
19-22
14-23
21-13
13-15
18-15
155.9Avg total
79.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)82.674.2156.9+8.457%
Season at home (13)80.470.8151.2+9.562%
Season away (15)84.577.2161.7+7.353%
Last 10 (10)79.176.8155.9+2.340%
Last 5 (5)78.073.8151.8+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)83.373.8157.1+9.562%
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
AomoriKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AomoriLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H03/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A10/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H16/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H17/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H20/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A30/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A31/12
B2.League
82.2Avg total
41.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.643.785.3-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.543.885.3-2.246%-
Last 30 away (17)41.643.685.3-2.035%-
Last 10 (10)41.440.882.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)38.645.884.4-7.125%-
vs Similar (18)42.343.085.3-0.739%-
vs Weaker (4)44.242.887.0+1.575%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A17/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H23/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H24/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A29/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A30/12
B2.League
77.8Avg total
39.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)42.238.080.1+4.261%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.937.581.4+6.569%-
Last 30 away (15)40.738.479.1+2.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.677.8+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.076.4+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.037.580.5+5.567%-
This opponent (Aomori) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Aomoritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aomori: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.923.1
56.5%
52.4%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.3
34.6%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.312.7
69.4%
71.0%12.7
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.1
47.6%
52.4%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.7
33.0%
33.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.913.7
72.5%
71.0%13.7
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Aomori
WLLLLWWWWW
Koshigaya Alphas
LLLWWLLWWL
#8
League position
#3
-2.5
Net rating
+8.3
109.8
Offensive rating
105.1
112.3
Defensive rating
96.9
54.8%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.7%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.6%
3-point %
33.0%
67.2%
Assist %
58.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.8 · 105.1Defence112.3 · 96.9Shooting54.8% · 48.3%3-point %34.6% · 33.0%Ball care16.8% · 16.7%Off. rebounds26.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Aomori   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Aomori wins
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
15/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori77-81
14/10/23Koshigaya Alphas v Aomori100-95
Aomorilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23ANiigata85-80
30/12/23ANiigata73-75
24/12/23ANara75-76
23/12/23ANara82-90
20/12/23HYamagata Wyverns93-99
17/12/23HNiigata92-85
16/12/23HNiigata95-90
10/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings100-94 OT
09/12/23AEhime Orange Vikings94-91
03/12/23HFukushima83-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23ANara79-83 OT
29/12/23ANara80-81
24/12/23HFukushima81-83
23/12/23HFukushima75-54
20/12/23ANiigata75-68
17/12/23AKumamoto74-84
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53
03/12/23HAltiri Chiba80-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aomori
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW57%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLLW53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %57%62%53%
Points / game85.982.089.3
Allowed / game86.584.188.6
Point differential-0.6-2.1+0.7
Avg total172.4166.1177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (14)100% (3)55% (11)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL57%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %57%62%53%
Points / game82.680.484.5
Allowed / game74.270.877.2
Point differential+8.4+9.5+7.3
Avg total156.9151.2161.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%38%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won12% (8)20% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2826293%88.675.4+13.1
2 Shiga3023777%87.478.2+9.1
3 Fukuoka3021970%79.074.5+4.5
4 Kumamoto29191066%84.782.3+2.4
5 Koshigaya Alphas28161257%82.674.2+8.4
6 Aomori28161257%85.986.5-0.6
7 Yamagata Wyverns28151354%81.484.2-2.8
8 Kobe30141647%79.779.3+0.4
9 Shizuoka28131546%80.279.6+0.6
10 Nara29131645%73.678.2-4.7
11 Fukushima2891932%79.083.5-4.4
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings3072323%78.986.5-7.6
14 Niigata282267%70.983.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Aomori1319192172
Koshigaya Alphas29272123100
← all games of the day
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