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Geelong vs Bendigo Braves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 90-80
17-23 24-22 27-15 22-20
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game81.8
Geelong 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#8
Record7-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game87.3
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Geelong v Bendigo Braves
12 Apr 2025
GEEL89
BEND91
12 Apr 2024
GEEL81
BEND88
15 Apr 2023
GEEL85
BEND96
01 Jul 2022
GEEL71
BEND79
31 Jul 2021
GEEL90
BEND80
20 Jul 2019
GEEL67
BEND84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bendigo Braves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#10
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
A27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
96-109
96
109
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
15-13
24-20
13-17
14-17
26-18
18-22
27-28
30-22
18-15
28-15
14-14
19-25
16-25
25-27
12-14
25-14
23-31
30-20
23-11
23-24
20-22
25-21
25-18
31-18
36-18
28-22
21-20
–
–
–
–
34-20
23-8
28-9
13-33
18-26
24-22
26-25
22-23
175.2Avg total
91.7Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)89.381.8171.1+7.569%
Season at home (6)83.378.8162.2+4.567%
Season away (7)94.484.3178.7+10.171%
Last 10 (10)91.783.5175.2+8.260%
Last 5 (5)98.687.6186.2+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.884.0153.8-14.20%
vs Similar (16)83.883.1166.8+0.756%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.376.8168.1+14.5100%
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#9
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
A01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
91-89
91
89
+2
H02/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
100-62
100
62
+38
H08/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
92-78
92
78
+14
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
82-111
82
111
-29
A16/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
89-100
89
100
-11
A23/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
95-118
95
118
-23
A25/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A26/06
NBL1 South
Albury-Wodonga Bandits
#15
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H02/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H10/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
30-8
12-21
11-25
19-19
21-22
23-24
28-24
26-18
20-16
27-12
27-16
21-20
22-22
21-17
28-19
21-31
19-28
18-27
24-25
21-20
24-22
20-28
24-30
23-34
20-30
29-27
23-27
16-24
16-24
10-17
28-17
–
–
–
–
21-16
24-18
18-18
15-17
174.1Avg total
86.9Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.487.3173.8-0.958%
Season at home (6)86.879.2166.0+7.783%
Season away (6)86.095.5181.5-9.533%
Last 10 (10)86.987.2174.1-0.360%
Last 5 (5)83.890.4174.2-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)83.695.9179.4-12.311%
vs Similar (8)88.179.6167.8+8.588%
vs Weaker (13)88.280.5168.7+7.677%
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
GeelongBendigo Braves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
67-36
67
36
+31
A27/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
45.4Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.440.183.5+3.466%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.441.482.9+0.057%-
Last 30 away (15)45.338.884.1+6.573%-
Last 10 (9)45.439.284.7+6.267%-
Last 5 (5)51.440.692.0+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.843.580.2-6.825%-
vs Similar (15)43.939.983.7+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.539.084.5+6.580%-
This opponent (Bendigo Braves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Bendigo BravesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ballarat
#9
W
46-23
46
23
+23
A01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H02/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A16/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A23/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
43-64
43
64
-21
A25/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H10/07
NBL1 South
85.2Avg total
42.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.243.086.2+0.255%-
Last 30 at home (12)44.443.287.7+1.258%-
Last 30 away (17)42.342.885.1-0.553%-
Last 10 (9)42.243.085.2-0.856%-
Last 5 (5)41.049.490.4-8.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)42.150.192.2-8.033%-
vs Similar (8)45.538.984.4+6.675%-
vs Weaker (12)42.440.482.8+2.058%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Geelong wins
2
Bendigo Braves wins
DateGameScore
20/07/19Geelong v Bendigo Braves67-84
12/05/19Bendigo Braves v Geelong96-80
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/07/21HMt Gambier90-96
03/07/21ANW Tasmania98-70
02/07/21AHobart Chargers96-109
27/06/21ADiamond Valley116-78
26/06/21AEltham93-85
26/06/21HSandringham Sabres101-76
22/05/21HFrankston72-91
15/05/21HMelbourne Tigers90-66
09/05/21AWaverley95-99 OT
08/05/21HNunawading66-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/07/21HNunawading78-69
02/07/21HAlbury-Wodonga Bandits87-83
26/06/21ANW Tasmania70-82
25/06/21AHobart Chargers95-118
23/05/21AWaverley89-100
16/05/21AFrankston82-111
15/05/21HEltham92-78
08/05/21HMelbourne Tigers100-62
02/05/21HDandenong91-89
01/05/21ABallarat85-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL69%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game89.383.394.4
Allowed / game81.878.884.3
Point differential+7.5+4.5+10.1
Avg total171.1162.2178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Bendigo Braves
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW58%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%83%33%
Points / game86.486.886.0
Allowed / game87.379.295.5
Point differential-0.9+7.7-9.5
Avg total173.8166.0181.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NW Tasmania1411379%86.777.8+8.9
2 Hobart Chargers1511473%95.587.4+8.1
3 Frankston1410471%98.584.9+13.6
4 Geelong139469%89.381.8+7.5
5 Mt Gambier139469%99.893.1+6.7
6 Waverley128467%89.382.3+7.0
7 Kilsyth128467%75.274.9+0.3
8 Ballarat127558%80.876.9+3.8
9 Bendigo Braves127558%86.487.3-0.9
10 Nunawading136746%82.578.8+3.6
11 Diamond Valley136746%86.789.5-2.8
12 Ringwood115645%86.488.2-1.8
13 Knox115645%82.986.7-3.8
14 Dandenong113827%84.991.0-6.1
15 Albury-Wodonga Bandits1331023%82.791.5-8.8
16 Eltham1221017%79.987.9-8.0
17 Melbourne Tigers1321115%82.097.4-15.4
18 Sandringham Sabres121118%82.2100.3-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1724272290
Bendigo Braves2322152080
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