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Geelong vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 May 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 64-70
10-19 24-17 21-15 9-19
Position#8
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.5
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 4
Other2022
Meetings · Geelong v Knox
03 Jun 2023
GEEL79
KNOX97
13 May 2022
GEEL64
KNOX70
06 Apr 2019
GEEL88
KNOX72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
A27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
96-109
96
109
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
98-96 OT
98
96
+2
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
110-59
110
59
+51
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
36-18
28-22
21-20
–
–
–
–
34-20
23-8
28-9
13-33
18-26
24-22
26-25
22-23
17-23
24-22
27-15
22-20
22-15
22-24
16-25
23-21
26-21
29-23
17-19
15-24
26-12
21-16
24-15
39-16
22-29
24-19
23-13
21-12
30-25
17-16
21-16
16-19
177.7Avg total
95.5Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
Season at home (2)97.067.5164.5+29.5100%
Season away (2)94.084.5178.5+9.5100%
Last 10 (10)95.582.2177.7+13.370%
Last 5 (5)93.077.8170.8+15.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.881.8155.6-8.020%
vs Similar (14)86.381.1167.4+5.164%
vs Weaker (11)91.277.1168.3+14.1100%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#4
W
101-100
101
100
+1
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
94-80
94
80
+14
A04/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A10/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H11/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
124-75
124
75
+49
H31/07
NBL1 South
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
37-75
37
75
-38
A16/11
NCAA
Ringwood
#11
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H22/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A23/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H30/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
W
110-102 OT
110
102
+8
A07/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
21-22
32-26
21-24
22-19
23-24
26-19
23-18
20-32
22-19
15-17
20-15
22-33
26-17
18-18
21-24
32-16
26-11
37-19
29-29
0-0
21-39
0-0
16-36
17-22
8-13
16-17
19-14
18-12
20-18
13-12
13-24
29-19
18-30
25-28
18-17
21-29
26-21
18-22
26-19
167.7Avg total
84.4Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.082.0163.0-1.025%
Season at home (2)75.080.0155.0-5.00%
Season away (2)87.084.0171.0+3.050%
Last 10 (10)84.483.3167.7+1.140%
Last 5 (5)72.280.6152.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)82.294.7176.9-12.411%
vs Similar (15)81.782.5164.2-0.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)93.279.2172.4+14.080%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +5.7+5.7Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -1.4-1.4
GeelongKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#12
W
67-36
67
36
+31
A27/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/08
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#12
W
55-44
55
44
+11
A23/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#11
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H30/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A01/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/05
NBL1 South
89.2Avg total
49.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.339.683.0+3.766%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.639.680.2+0.957%-
Last 30 away (15)45.939.685.5+6.373%-
Last 10 (9)49.639.789.2+9.967%-
Last 5 (5)47.840.087.8+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.644.483.0-5.820%-
vs Similar (13)43.737.881.5+5.877%-
vs Weaker (11)45.139.584.6+5.573%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#4
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H03/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A04/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A10/07
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H11/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H31/07
NBL1 South
Siu Edwardsville
#296
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A16/11
NCAA
Ringwood
#11
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H22/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#3
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A23/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H30/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A07/05
NBL1 South
84.3Avg total
41.9Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.043.583.5-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.182.4-1.927%-
Last 30 away (15)39.744.984.7-5.247%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.484.3-0.530%-
Last 5 (5)35.640.676.2-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.149.186.2-12.00%-
vs Similar (15)42.342.384.7+0.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.038.080.0+4.040%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
0
Knox wins
DateGameScore
17/04/21Knox v Geelong68-78
06/04/19Geelong v Knox88-72
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22HKeilor Thunder84-76
01/05/22ABendigo Braves90-73
30/04/22HRingwood110-59
23/04/22ABallarat98-96 OT
01/08/21ANunawading83-85
31/07/21HBendigo Braves90-80
09/07/21HMt Gambier90-96
03/07/21ANW Tasmania98-70
02/07/21AHobart Chargers96-109
27/06/21ADiamond Valley116-78
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/22ADiamond Valley110-102 OT
30/04/22HWaverley90-94
23/04/22AKilsyth64-66
22/04/22HRingwood60-66
16/11/21ASiu Edwardsville37-75
31/07/21HMelbourne Tigers124-75
11/07/21HHobart Chargers87-92
10/07/21ABallarat77-83
04/07/21AEltham94-80
03/07/21HWaverley101-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game95.597.094.0
Allowed / game76.067.584.5
Point differential+19.5+29.5+9.5
Avg total171.5164.5178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
Knox
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game81.075.087.0
Allowed / game82.080.084.0
Point differential-1.0-5.0+3.0
Avg total163.0155.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong440100%95.576.0+19.5
2 Mt Gambier440100%104.288.8+15.5
3 Kilsyth54180%78.673.6+5.0
4 Frankston43175%94.081.0+13.0
5 Nunawading43175%78.267.2+11.0
6 Ringwood43175%72.879.8-7.0
7 Waverley32167%85.384.3+1.0
8 NW Tasmania32167%74.376.3-2.0
9 Ballarat42250%92.587.0+5.5
10 Diamond Valley42250%89.289.8-0.5
11 Melbourne Tigers42250%73.880.0-6.2
12 Hobart Chargers31233%78.079.3-1.3
13 Knox41325%81.082.0-1.0
14 Dandenong41325%85.086.8-1.8
15 Keilor Thunder41325%75.578.0-2.5
16 Casey Cavaliers41325%79.092.8-13.8
17 Sandringham Sabres51420%76.088.6-12.6
18 Eltham3030%68.380.0-11.7
19 Bendigo Braves4040%72.884.5-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong102421964
Knox1917151970
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