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Geelong vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 90-96
18-26 24-22 26-25 22-23
Position#7
Record9-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#5
Record7-4
FormLLWWL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game93.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2021
Meetings · Geelong v Mt Gambier
29 Mar 2025
GEEL58
MT G108
04 May 2024
GEEL81
MT G93
06 May 2023
GEEL106
MT G105
31 Jul 2022
GEEL86
MT G92
09 Jul 2021
GEEL90
MT G96
17 Jun 2017
GEEL72
MT G95
22 Apr 2016
GEEL74
MT G97
20 Jun 2015
GEEL73
MT G94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#4
W
81-79
81
79
+2
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
A27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
96-109
96
109
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A03/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-18
23-20
24-21
20-20
14-15
15-13
24-20
13-17
14-17
26-18
18-22
27-28
30-22
18-15
28-15
14-14
19-25
16-25
25-27
12-14
25-14
23-31
30-20
23-11
23-24
20-22
25-21
25-18
31-18
36-18
28-22
21-20
–
–
–
–
34-20
23-8
28-9
13-33
172.6Avg total
90.8Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.280.6169.8+8.775%
Season at home (5)82.075.4157.4+6.680%
Season away (7)94.484.3178.7+10.171%
Last 10 (10)90.881.8172.6+9.070%
Last 5 (5)100.883.6184.4+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.884.0153.8-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.382.2165.5+1.160%
vs Weaker (11)89.676.4166.0+13.3100%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
122-90
122
90
+32
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
97-93
97
93
+4
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
123-95
123
95
+28
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
118-93
118
93
+25
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
L
86-88 OT
86
88
-2
H22/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
A28/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
97-106
97
106
-9
A04/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
27-17
39-26
19-19
27-21
26-24
22-25
22-23
24-27
23-29
22-19
28-16
35-19
33-27
37-19
18-30
28-13
32-26
29-24
29-30
19-18
21-15
12-25
16-10
17-23
18-29
17-35
27-20
23-28
20-17
26-22
35-27
27-22
22-16
22-26
16-13
31-36
24-29
21-18
21-23
194.4Avg total
101.0Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)99.393.5192.8+5.764%
Season at home (4)95.892.2188.0+3.550%
Season away (7)101.394.3195.6+7.071%
Last 10 (10)101.093.4194.4+7.670%
Last 5 (5)90.694.4185.0-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)90.895.3186.2-4.533%
vs Weaker (24)96.181.5177.6+14.588%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +2.0+2.0
GeelongMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H01/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H08/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A09/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
67-36
67
36
+31
A27/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/07
NBL1 South
83.0Avg total
44.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)43.140.083.0+3.166%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.440.982.3+0.562%-
Last 30 away (16)44.439.283.6+5.269%-
Last 10 (9)44.938.183.0+6.867%-
Last 5 (5)50.041.091.0+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.843.580.2-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.039.383.3+4.771%-
vs Weaker (11)44.239.583.7+4.673%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
64-45
64
45
+19
A24/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
W
53-45
53
45
+8
H01/05
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A08/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
68-46
68
46
+22
A09/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H15/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H22/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A28/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A29/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A03/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
55-65
55
65
-10
A04/07
NBL1 South
97.8Avg total
51.4Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.042.690.6+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.239.787.9+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)47.745.593.3+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)51.446.497.8+5.060%-
Last 5 (5)44.446.691.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.349.592.8-6.217%-
vs Weaker (24)49.140.990.0+8.279%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
4
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
23/06/17Mt Gambier v Geelong104-94
17/06/17Geelong v Mt Gambier72-95
15/07/16Mt Gambier v Geelong87-98
22/04/16Geelong v Mt Gambier74-97
07/08/15Mt Gambier v Geelong68-69
20/06/15Geelong v Mt Gambier73-94
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/21ANW Tasmania98-70
02/07/21AHobart Chargers96-109
27/06/21ADiamond Valley116-78
26/06/21AEltham93-85
26/06/21HSandringham Sabres101-76
22/05/21HFrankston72-91
15/05/21HMelbourne Tigers90-66
09/05/21AWaverley95-99 OT
08/05/21HNunawading66-65
01/05/21HWaverley81-79
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/21ANunawading97-106
03/07/21AKilsyth87-77
29/05/21ANW Tasmania104-94
28/05/21AHobart Chargers79-107
22/05/21HBallarat86-88 OT
15/05/21HKnox118-93
09/05/21AMelbourne Tigers123-95
08/05/21ADandenong97-91
01/05/21HRingwood97-93
24/04/21ASandringham Sabres122-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW75%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLWWLW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %75%80%71%
Points / game89.282.094.4
Allowed / game80.675.484.3
Point differential+8.7+6.6+10.1
Avg total169.8157.4178.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%40%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%14%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayWLWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%50%71%
Points / game99.395.8101.3
Allowed / game93.592.294.3
Point differential+5.7+3.5+7.0
Avg total192.8188.0195.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%25%57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston129375%99.585.0+14.5
2 NW Tasmania129375%86.476.8+9.6
3 Geelong129375%89.280.6+8.7
4 Waverley128467%89.382.3+7.0
5 Hobart Chargers128467%94.888.3+6.5
6 Mt Gambier117464%99.393.5+5.7
7 Kilsyth106460%73.374.9-1.6
8 Knox95456%83.186.6-3.4
9 Nunawading116555%84.577.4+7.1
10 Ballarat116555%80.576.9+3.6
11 Bendigo Braves116555%87.289.0-1.8
12 Ringwood105550%87.488.2-0.8
13 Diamond Valley115645%85.988.1-2.2
14 Albury-Wodonga Bandits113827%82.089.7-7.7
15 Dandenong92722%86.994.9-8.0
16 Eltham112918%80.888.5-7.7
17 Melbourne Tigers1221017%80.897.2-16.3
18 Sandringham Sabres111109%81.599.5-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong1824262290
Mt Gambier2622252396
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