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Ballarat vs Geelong Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 96-98 (OT)
21-26 23-29 19-17 24-15 9-11
Position#12
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ballarat
Australia
vs
Geelong 🏆
Australia
Position#8
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
AustraliaNBL1 SouthRound 1
Other2022
Meetings · Ballarat v Geelong
07 Apr 2024
BALL79
GEEL81
23 Apr 2022
BALL96
GEEL98
03 Jul 2019
BALL97
GEEL69
07 Jul 2017
BALL107
GEEL84
02 Jul 2016
BALL78
GEEL91
08 Jul 2015
BALL77
GEEL93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Geelong winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
W
88-86 OT
88
86
+2
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
94-67
94
67
+27
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
88-69
88
69
+19
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
86-76
86
76
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
71-84
71
84
-13
A01/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
24-29
18-20
15-23
22-20
17-22
27-20
19-25
18-19
15-21
25-12
10-16
9-12
16-10
13-20
12-19
16-18
26-21
21-22
29-16
26-15
27-17
21-21
20-14
29-14
18-23
23-12
18-20
32-20
19-22
17-15
15-20
30-11
22-28
18-20
16-17
14-22
18-29
19-14
20-19
158.7Avg total
81.4Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.477.3158.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)84.474.6159.0+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.080.3156.3-4.333%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.776.7154.3+1.050%
vs Weaker (21)86.376.1162.5+10.271%
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
72-91
72
91
-19
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
101-76
101
76
+25
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
93-85
93
85
+8
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
116-78
116
78
+38
A27/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#3
L
96-109
96
109
-13
A02/07
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
98-70
98
70
+28
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
90-96
90
96
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
L
83-85
83
85
-2
A01/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-22
18-15
28-15
14-14
19-25
16-25
25-27
12-14
25-14
23-31
30-20
23-11
23-24
20-22
25-21
25-18
31-18
36-18
28-22
21-20
–
–
–
–
34-20
23-8
28-9
13-33
18-26
24-22
26-25
22-23
17-23
24-22
27-15
22-20
22-15
22-24
16-25
23-21
176.5Avg total
92.9Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.983.6176.5+9.360%
Last 5 (5)91.488.0179.4+3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.884.0153.8-14.20%
vs Similar ◀ (15)83.583.8167.3-0.353%
vs Weaker (11)91.277.1168.3+14.1100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.1+0.1
BallaratGeelong
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Frankston
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A22/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#6
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H10/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H31/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A01/08
NBL1 South
80.8Avg total
41.8Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.039.681.6+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.939.282.2+3.759%-
Last 30 away (13)40.840.180.9+0.854%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)47.040.287.2+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.035.370.3-0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.238.875.0-2.750%-
vs Weaker (21)44.740.485.1+4.362%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#17
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H15/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H22/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#18
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H26/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A26/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#12
W
67-36
67
36
+31
A27/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#1
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A03/07
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H09/07
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#8
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H31/07
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A01/08
NBL1 South
88.8Avg total
47.2Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.839.982.7+3.066%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.881.7+0.157%-
Last 30 away (15)44.639.083.6+5.673%-
Last 10 (9)47.241.688.8+5.756%-
Last 5 (5)50.239.289.4+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.843.580.2-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)42.839.181.9+3.771%-
vs Weaker (11)45.139.584.6+5.573%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ballarat wins
3
Geelong wins
DateGameScore
03/07/19Ballarat v Geelong97-69
15/06/19Geelong v Ballarat62-66
07/07/17Ballarat v Geelong107-84
31/03/17Geelong v Ballarat100-76
02/07/16Ballarat v Geelong78-91
08/07/15Ballarat v Geelong77-93
11/04/15Geelong v Ballarat87-89
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/21ABendigo Braves71-84
31/07/21HEltham86-76
10/07/21HKnox83-77
04/07/21ADiamond Valley88-69
03/07/21HNunawading94-67
27/06/21AMelbourne Tigers92-77
26/06/21HKilsyth50-61
22/05/21AMt Gambier88-86 OT
15/05/21ARingwood85-87
08/05/21HFrankston77-89
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/08/21ANunawading83-85
31/07/21HBendigo Braves90-80
09/07/21HMt Gambier90-96
03/07/21ANW Tasmania98-70
02/07/21AHobart Chargers96-109
27/06/21ADiamond Valley116-78
26/06/21AEltham93-85
26/06/21HSandringham Sabres101-76
22/05/21HFrankston72-91
15/05/21HMelbourne Tigers90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Geelong
NBL1 South 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston220100%96.078.0+18.0
2 Ringwood220100%76.566.0+10.5
3 Nunawading110100%66.058.0+8.0
4 NW Tasmania110100%73.067.0+6.0
5 Casey Cavaliers110100%84.079.0+5.0
6 Melbourne Tigers1010%79.084.0-5.0
7 Hobart Chargers1010%67.073.0-6.0
8 Knox1010%60.066.0-6.0
9 Dandenong1010%74.081.0-7.0
10 Eltham1010%58.066.0-8.0
11 Kilsyth1010%72.087.0-15.0
12 Sandringham Sabres1010%82.0111.0-29.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ballarat21231924996
Geelong262917151198
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