PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Geelong vs Knox Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 79-97
20-17 17-34 20-23 22-23
Position#10
Record6-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game87.5
vs
Knox 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record9-4
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game76.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Geelong v Knox
03 Jun 2023
GEEL79
KNOX97
13 May 2022
GEEL64
KNOX70
06 Apr 2019
GEEL88
KNOX72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeelongAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
85-96
85
96
-11
H15/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H21/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
106-105
106
105
+1
H06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A07/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A12/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A13/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H20/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
A27/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
32-19
12-22
20-28
21-23
31-27
13-23
22-19
15-22
11-29
15-18
22-21
26-18
15-22
18-16
20-17
32-27
33-30
22-22
19-26
37-18
14-18
18-22
24-24
13-21
23-11
24-15
19-17
26-20
21-13
24-20
27-19
24-21
28-26
24-11
14-24
27-30
28-21
27-30
15-28
174.2Avg total
87.7Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.487.5175.8+0.955%
Season at home (5)89.489.6179.0-0.260%
Season away (6)87.585.7173.2+1.850%
Last 10 (10)87.786.5174.2+1.260%
Last 5 (5)91.481.8173.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)75.884.1159.9-8.322%
vs Similar (10)86.488.1174.5-1.750%
vs Weaker (11)89.886.4176.2+3.564%
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
W
100-62
100
62
+38
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
W
99-92
99
92
+7
A13/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
93-80
93
80
+13
A14/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
H20/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
86-90
86
90
-4
H21/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
A27/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
20-15
23-20
30-12
13-25
22-17
27-20
11-14
11-22
18-12
17-9
28-17
10-24
26-14
24-19
21-14
21-18
20-21
29-23
17-14
23-38
30-30
22-8
24-16
25-26
26-13
29-12
13-29
23-15
13-17
21-21
17-21
25-26
22-22
25-19
14-23
18-17
20-13
14-14
25-19
160.5Avg total
85.7Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)84.876.4161.2+8.469%
Season at home (7)81.778.1159.9+3.657%
Season away (6)88.374.3162.7+14.083%
Last 10 (10)85.774.8160.5+10.980%
Last 5 (5)88.480.6169.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.592.0173.5-10.50%
vs Similar (4)85.884.8170.5+1.025%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)83.775.8159.5+8.070%
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
GeelongKnox
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GeelongLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H15/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H21/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A22/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H29/04
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H06/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A07/05
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A12/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A13/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H20/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A27/05
NBL1 South
92.1Avg total
47.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.644.589.1+0.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.845.188.9-1.450%-
Last 30 away (16)45.443.989.2+1.562%-
Last 10 (10)47.844.392.1+3.590%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.888.0+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.343.481.8-5.144%-
vs Similar (10)46.146.292.3-0.150%-
vs Weaker (11)48.543.792.2+4.773%-
This opponent (Knox) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#17
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A21/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#19
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H29/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#11
L
53-68
53
68
-15
A13/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#12
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A14/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H20/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H21/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#4
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A27/05
NBL1 South
81.3Avg total
41.3Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.740.580.3-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.239.779.9+0.550%-
Last 30 away (16)39.341.280.6-1.956%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.081.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)45.043.488.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.040.073.0-7.050%-
vs Similar (4)42.840.583.2+2.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)40.940.681.4+0.352%-
This opponent (Geelong) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Geelong wins
1
Knox wins
DateGameScore
13/05/22Geelong v Knox64-70
17/04/21Knox v Geelong68-78
06/04/19Geelong v Knox88-72
Geelonglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23ABendigo Braves97-109
20/05/23HNunawading90-82
13/05/23ANW Tasmania98-72
12/05/23AHobart Chargers79-64
07/05/23ADiamond Valley93-82
06/05/23HMt Gambier106-105
29/04/23HFrankston79-73
22/04/23ACasey Cavaliers63-90
21/04/23HSandringham Sabres87-92
15/04/23HBendigo Braves85-96
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/05/23AMt Gambier77-63
21/05/23HWaverley86-90
20/05/23HFrankston87-78 OT
14/05/23AMelbourne Tigers93-80
13/05/23ABallarat99-92
07/05/23HSandringham Sabres87-76
06/05/23HRingwood81-71
29/04/23HCasey Cavaliers74-60
22/04/23AHobart Chargers73-76
21/04/23ANW Tasmania100-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL55%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game88.489.487.5
Allowed / game87.589.685.7
Point differential+0.9-0.2+1.8
Avg total175.8179.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Knox
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWL57%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%57%83%
Points / game84.881.788.3
Allowed / game76.478.174.3
Point differential+8.4+3.6+14.0
Avg total161.2159.9162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Frankston1310377%95.083.8+11.2
2 Eltham129375%91.381.3+10.0
3 Knox139469%84.876.4+8.4
4 Sandringham Sabres139469%92.086.7+5.3
5 Nunawading128467%91.082.2+8.8
6 Mt Gambier127558%93.587.8+5.8
7 Diamond Valley127558%87.986.3+1.6
8 Geelong116555%88.487.5+0.9
9 Ballarat126650%92.292.8-0.6
10 Waverley126650%83.586.6-3.1
11 Hobart Chargers136746%82.085.1-3.1
12 NW Tasmania136746%82.989.6-6.7
13 Keilor Thunder125742%86.893.1-6.3
14 Bendigo Braves125742%90.197.2-7.1
15 Kilsyth135838%86.991.0-4.1
16 Melbourne Tigers124833%80.886.7-5.8
17 Ringwood134931%88.691.5-2.8
18 Casey Cavaliers123925%77.985.3-7.4
19 Dandenong1431121%86.891.4-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong2017202279
Knox1734232397
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.