NW Tasmania vs Waverley Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jul 2019

Tip-off: 09:30

Final 103-95

31-23 25-19 29-22 18-31

Position#14

Record7-12

FormLWLLL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game87.6

NW Tasmania 🏆

Waverley

Position#10

Record10-9

FormLLWWL

Points / game87.9

Allowed / game89.4

NBL 1

Other2019

Meetings · NW Tasmania v Waverley

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NW Tasmania winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Waverley winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NW Tasmania Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

67-94

-27

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

59-66

-7

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

85-94

-9

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

75-54

+21

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

74-79

-5

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

61-74

-13

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

90-82 OT

H28/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

81-86

-5

H06/07

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

76-90

-14

A13/07

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

90-104

104

-14

A14/07

NBL 1

15-24

20-28

10-22

22-20

15-12

9-25

21-16

14-13

21-29

18-17

16-24

30-24

13-9

17-10

26-13

19-22

25-14

11-25

18-20

20-20

16-16

11-21

20-24

14-13

12-19

21-18

19-15

23-23

23-21

22-21

16-22

20-22

26-9

22-22

9-26

19-33

29-29

14-21

20-23

27-31

158.1Avg total

75.8Scored

82.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	83.9	87.6	171.5	-3.6	37%
Season at home (10)	79.9	79.5	159.4	+0.4	40%
Season away (9)	88.4	96.6	185.0	-8.1	33%
Last 10 (10)	75.8	82.3	158.1	-6.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	87.2	166.8	-7.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	78.7	93.1	171.8	-14.4	9%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	89.6	85.2	174.8	+4.4	62%
vs Weaker (3)	89.3	69.7	159.0	+19.7	100%

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Waverley

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

67-95

-28

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

68-101

101

-33

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

97-78

+19

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

94-99

-5

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

101-94 OT

101

A23/06

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

77-91

-14

H30/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

82-95

-13

H07/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

90-77

+13

A13/07

NBL 1

Knox

#13

83-73

+10

H14/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

95-98

-3

A19/07

NBL 1

17-18

25-29

14-26

11-22

15-18

11-32

17-30

25-21

26-26

22-17

28-16

21-19

18-27

30-35

24-16

22-21

24-15

20-14

18-31

24-26

20-19

22-28

25-17

10-27

19-23

23-31

21-15

19-26

23-18

21-21

23-23

23-15

25-20

14-21

20-12

24-20

30-20

27-27

25-32

13-19

175.5Avg total

85.4Scored

90.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	87.9	89.4	177.4	-1.5	53%
Season at home (11)	82.6	88.7	171.4	-6.1	36%
Season away (8)	95.2	90.4	185.6	+4.9	75%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	90.1	175.5	-4.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	86.8	172.2	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	93.8	90.2	184.0	+3.6	80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)	86.5	89.0	175.5	-2.5	46%
vs Weaker (1)	77.0	91.0	168.0	-14.0	0%

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NW TasmaniaWaverley

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.7	41.6	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.3	19.8	44.1	+4.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	23.3	43.4	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	24.5	18.3	42.8	+6.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.7	19.3	42.0	+3.3	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.7	21.9	42.6	-1.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (8)	24.6	21.2	45.9	+3.4	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	20.4	42.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	20.0	43.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	23.6	20.8	44.4	+2.8	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.1	22.2	44.2	-0.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	22.2	42.6	-1.8	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	20.8	37.3	-4.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	20.6	38.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.8	23.0	39.8	-6.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.6	20.6	41.1	+0.0	56%	-
vs Weaker (3)	23.7	15.7	39.3	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.3	24.0	46.3	-1.7	32%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.5	24.6	46.1	-3.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (8)	23.4	23.1	46.5	+0.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	25.5	47.0	-4.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	25.6	47.0	-4.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	21.0	22.4	43.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	22.8	24.3	47.1	-1.5	31%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	28.0	50.0	-6.0	0%	-

NW TasmaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ballarat

35-52

-17

A25/05

NBL 1

BA CoE

#15

24-37

-13

H26/05

NBL 1

Geelong

39-46

-7

H01/06

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

30-19

+11

H15/06

NBL 1

Geelong

36-39

-3

A21/06

NBL 1

Knox

#13

27-37

-10

H22/06

NBL 1

Melbourne Tigers

33-37

-4

H28/06

NBL 1

Kilsyth

45-42

H06/07

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

48-31

+17

A13/07

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

43-50

-7

A14/07

NBL 1

75.0Avg total

36.0Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	40.3	79.6	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.7	42.0	86.7	+2.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.0	39.0	75.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.4	78.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	36.9	46.3	83.2	-9.4	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	45.1	38.9	83.9	+6.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (3)	46.3	35.0	81.3	+11.3	100%	-

This opponent (Waverley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

WaverleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BA CoE

#15

42-47

-5

H25/05

NBL 1

Kilsyth

26-50

-24

H02/06

NBL 1

Ringwood

#16

48-43

H16/06

NBL 1

Diamond Valley

#11

48-62

-14

A22/06

NBL 1

Nunawading

44-29

+15

A23/06

NBL 1

Southern Sabres

#18

42-47

-5

H30/06

NBL 1

Dandenong

42-54

-12

H07/07

NBL 1

Ballarat

44-39

A13/07

NBL 1

Knox

#13

39-41

-2

H14/07

NBL 1

Hobart Huskies

57-47

+10

A19/07

NBL 1

89.1Avg total

43.2Scored

45.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	44.6	45.6	90.3	-1.0	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	42.2	46.5	88.7	-4.4	27%	-
Last 30 away (8)	48.0	44.4	92.4	+3.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.2	45.9	89.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.8	45.6	90.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	44.6	43.2	87.8	+1.4	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	44.8	46.5	91.3	-1.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	47.0	89.0	-5.0	0%	-

This opponent (NW Tasmania) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	21.9	41.6	-2.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.8	22.1	41.9	-2.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.5	21.7	40.2	-3.3	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.4	22.9	43.3	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker (3)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.7	18.8	39.5	+1.9	55%	-
Last 30 away (8)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	19.8	42.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	24.2	21.2	45.4	+3.0	60%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.5	21.1	41.5	-0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	25.0	17.0	42.0	+8.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.8	45.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	19.4	40.1	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	24.1	25.7	49.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.1	42.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	22.0	24.5	46.5	-2.5	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	22.9	22.6	45.5	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.7	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.1	21.5	41.6	-1.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.5	21.6	40.1	-3.2	45%	-
Last 30 away (8)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.4	39.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	22.0	24.2	46.2	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	10.0	27.0	37.0	-17.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	44.6	86.9	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.4	41.0	81.4	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	43.9	47.8	91.8	-3.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	42.6	80.9	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	46.4	83.8	-9.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	40.5	46.2	86.6	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (16)	43.4	45.4	88.8	-2.1	31%	-
vs Weaker (3)	43.0	34.7	77.7	+8.3	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	41.8	42.4	84.2	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.2	40.5	79.6	-1.3	45%	-
Last 30 away (8)	45.4	45.0	90.4	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.7	43.4	84.1	-2.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.2	81.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	46.2	45.4	91.6	+0.8	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (13)	40.6	41.1	81.7	-0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	35.0	44.0	79.0	-9.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

NW Tasmania wins

Waverley wins

Date	Game	Score
28/04/19	Waverley v NW Tasmania	116-121 OT

NW Tasmanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/07/19	A	Diamond Valley	90-104
13/07/19	A	Ringwood	76-90
06/07/19	H	Kilsyth	81-86
28/06/19	H	Melbourne Tigers	90-82 OT
22/06/19	H	Knox	61-74
21/06/19	A	Geelong	74-79
15/06/19	H	Hobart Huskies	75-54
01/06/19	H	Geelong	85-94
26/05/19	H	BA CoE	59-66
25/05/19	A	Ballarat	67-94

Waverleylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/07/19	A	Hobart Huskies	95-98
14/07/19	H	Knox	83-73
13/07/19	A	Ballarat	90-77
07/07/19	H	Dandenong	82-95
30/06/19	H	Southern Sabres	77-91
23/06/19	A	Nunawading	101-94 OT
22/06/19	A	Diamond Valley	94-99
16/06/19	H	Ringwood	97-78
02/06/19	H	Kilsyth	68-101
25/05/19	H	BA CoE	67-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NW Tasmania

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	37%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	37%	40%	33%
Points / game	83.9	79.9	88.4
Allowed / game	87.6	79.5	96.6
Point differential	-3.6	+0.4	-8.1
Avg total	171.5	159.4	185.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	16%	30%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	0% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	11%	10%	11%

Waverley

NBL 1 2019

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	53%
Home	LWLLW	36%
Away	WLWWL	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	11	8
Win %	53%	36%	75%
Points / game	87.9	82.6	95.2
Allowed / game	89.4	88.7	90.4
Point differential	-1.5	-6.1	+4.9
Avg total	177.4	171.4	185.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	26%	27%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	33% (3)	50% (4)
Overtime %	11%	9%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ballarat	19	16	3	84%	90.8	75.7	+15.2
2	Nunawading	19	13	6	68%	92.5	84.1	+8.5
3	Frankston	19	13	6	68%	94.1	88.1	+5.9
4	Geelong	20	12	8	60%	80.8	79.8	+1.1
5	Kilsyth	19	11	8	58%	85.4	84.0	+1.4
6	Dandenong	18	10	8	56%	90.9	86.7	+4.2
7	Melbourne Tigers	18	10	8	56%	87.2	85.6	+1.6
8	Bendigo Braves	20	11	9	55%	84.6	82.6	+2.0
9	Waverley	19	10	9	53%	87.9	89.4	-1.5
10	Hobart Huskies	20	10	10	50%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
11	Diamond Valley	19	8	11	42%	86.5	88.5	-2.1
12	Albury-Wodonga Bandits	19	8	11	42%	92.6	95.5	-2.9
13	BA CoE	20	8	12	40%	83.0	86.8	-3.8
14	Knox	19	7	12	37%	80.2	83.5	-3.4
15	NW Tasmania	19	7	12	37%	83.9	87.6	-3.6
16	Eltham	18	6	12	33%	85.8	90.6	-4.8
17	Ringwood	19	6	13	32%	89.6	94.5	-4.9
18	Southern Sabres	18	5	13	28%	87.6	99.7	-12.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
NW Tasmania	31	25	29	18	103
Waverley	23	19	22	31	95

← all games of the day

NW Tasmania vs Waverley Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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