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Geelong W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:00
Final 84-69
28-17 20-17 15-21 21-14
Position#1
Record22-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game65.3
vs
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game73.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Geelong W v Keilor Thunder W
26 Jul 2025
GEEL84
KEIL69
15 Jul 2023
GEEL76
KEIL72
07 May 2022
GEEL101
KEIL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#10
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-51
90
51
+39
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-9
31-28
25-17
21-18
23-13
20-20
18-14
19-22
29-20
18-12
16-18
20-16
29-8
18-17
27-14
16-12
27-9
24-12
22-10
16-17
21-19
16-16
26-11
17-16
20-20
22-24
23-21
22-13
24-11
21-15
20-15
25-12
27-25
22-16
24-16
23-21
22-9
38-23
27-13
16-15
152.8Avg total
89.1Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)90.065.3155.3+24.7100%
Season at home (11)89.561.3150.7+28.2100%
Season away (11)90.569.3159.8+21.3100%
Last 10 (10)89.163.7152.8+25.4100%
Last 5 (5)91.266.2157.4+25.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.597.0181.5-12.50%
vs Similar (2)93.0107.5200.5-14.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.266.3156.5+23.9100%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
91-80
91
80
+11
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
93-70
93
70
+23
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H18/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-24
15-21
33-8
16-27
31-23
26-14
13-11
23-22
25-13
21-14
20-19
23-18
21-24
26-26
17-14
23-16
19-16
18-18
21-8
18-21
20-17
22-21
20-20
27-22
21-14
13-25
25-27
21-21
20-26
14-17
15-18
15-18
25-27
16-22
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-21
23-18
7-20
159.0Avg total
81.6Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)80.273.8154.0+6.473%
Season at home (11)81.571.8153.4+9.782%
Season away (11)78.975.8154.7+3.164%
Last 10 (10)81.677.4159.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)76.083.4159.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)63.289.0152.2-25.80%
vs Similar (10)74.570.5145.0+4.080%
vs Weaker (16)85.370.5155.8+14.881%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.9+7.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
Geelong WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ringwood W
#10
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A14/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
79.4Avg total
46.8Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.336.582.7+9.880%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.635.180.7+10.688%-
Last 30 away (14)47.038.185.1+8.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.832.679.4+14.290%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.682.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.056.0103.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)45.548.594.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.334.080.3+12.288%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
81.8Avg total
41.9Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.678.3+3.263%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.937.379.2+4.671%-
Last 30 away (13)39.337.977.2+1.454%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.981.8+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.041.279.2-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)36.048.884.8-12.80%-
vs Similar (10)38.036.674.6+1.460%-
vs Weaker (16)43.735.479.1+8.381%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Geelong W wins
1
Keilor Thunder W wins
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25HEltham W103-60
18/07/25AKeilor Thunder W96-78
12/07/25HCasey Cavaliers W90-53
11/07/25ADandenong Rangers W87-78
05/07/25HFrankston W80-62
28/06/25HNunawading W89-48
22/06/25AKilsyth W90-51
21/06/25HDiamond Valley W83-66
15/06/25HLaunceston W80-69
14/06/25ARingwood W93-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25ANunawading W69-75
18/07/25HGeelong W78-96
13/07/25HKnox W64-79
11/07/25ABallarat W80-87
08/07/25ASandringham W89-80
05/07/25HDiamond Valley W76-63
28/06/25HRingwood W87-80
21/06/25AEltham W89-64
14/06/25HBallarat W93-70
06/06/25AMelbourne Tigers W91-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.089.590.5
Allowed / game65.361.369.3
Point differential+24.7+28.2+21.3
Avg total155.3150.7159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+91%100%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %5%0%9%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL73%
HomeWWWLL82%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %73%82%64%
Points / game80.281.578.9
Allowed / game73.871.875.8
Point differential+6.4+9.7+3.1
Avg total154.0153.4154.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%55%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W22220100%90.065.3+24.7
2 Knox W2320387%81.863.9+18.0
3 Waverley W2216673%79.872.6+7.2
4 Keilor Thunder W2216673%80.273.8+6.4
5 Dandenong Rangers W2316770%85.872.9+12.9
6 Diamond Valley W2315865%83.079.8+3.2
7 Frankston W2314961%80.171.6+8.5
8 Melbourne Tigers W22121055%80.375.8+4.5
9 Sandringham W22121055%82.479.9+2.5
10 Ringwood W22121055%77.075.1+1.9
11 Casey Cavaliers W22111150%75.579.4-3.9
12 Nunawading W22101245%68.475.8-7.4
13 Ballarat W2271532%70.084.3-14.4
14 Mt. Gambier W2261627%67.275.7-8.5
15 Kilsyth W2251723%71.082.1-11.2
16 Hobart Chargers W2251723%71.483.3-11.9
17 Launceston W2241818%73.983.0-9.1
18 Bendigo Braves W2241818%71.783.3-11.6
19 Eltham W2241818%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W2820152184
Keilor Thunder W1717211469
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