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Geelong W vs Knox W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 64-84
19-18 14-22 13-18 18-26
Position#1
Record24-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game65.7
Geelong W
Australia
vs
Knox W 🏆
Australia
Position#2
Record21-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game64.2
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenNBL1 South Women - Final
Women2025
Meetings · Geelong W v Knox W
16 Aug 2025
GEEL64
KNOX84
03 Jun 2023
GEEL82
KNOX47
13 May 2022
GEEL77
KNOX71
06 Apr 2019
GEEL94
KNOX89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Geelong W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Geelong WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
90-51
90
51
+39
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
87-78
87
78
+9
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
96-78
96
78
+18
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
103-60
103
60
+43
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H09/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
18-12
16-18
20-16
29-8
18-17
27-14
16-12
27-9
24-12
22-10
16-17
21-19
16-16
26-11
17-16
20-20
22-24
23-21
22-13
24-11
21-15
20-15
25-12
27-25
22-16
24-16
23-21
22-9
38-23
27-13
16-15
28-17
20-17
15-21
21-14
17-19
19-18
17-16
27-19
151.9Avg total
88.2Scored
63.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)89.365.7155.0+23.6100%
Season at home (13)88.362.7151.0+25.6100%
Season away (11)90.569.3159.8+21.3100%
Last 10 (10)88.263.7151.9+24.5100%
Last 5 (5)90.666.4157.0+24.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.597.0181.5-12.50%
vs Similar (2)93.0107.5200.5-14.50%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.166.5156.6+23.5100%
This opponent (Knox W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
100-56
100
56
+44
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
86-40
86
40
+46
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H09/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
23-7
18-10
25-16
30-17
26-15
13-16
19-11
28-9
17-19
21-23
20-10
18-14
31-9
26-14
25-19
21-4
19-13
26-9
20-14
29-13
20-8
22-21
10-7
26-20
17-14
18-15
18-15
25-18
28-20
24-8
21-9
20-17
14-21
22-16
9-8
19-23
18-23
26-18
17-9
141.4Avg total
84.4Scored
57.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)81.864.2146.0+17.588%
Season at home (13)81.264.5145.8+16.792%
Season away (11)82.463.9146.3+18.582%
Last 10 (10)84.457.0141.4+27.4100%
Last 5 (5)80.660.6141.2+20.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)71.089.0160.0-18.00%
vs Similar (1)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker (28)82.365.8148.1+16.586%
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.7+8.7Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +6.6+6.6
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +8.7+8.7Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +4.8+4.8Q2: +6.4+6.4Q3Q3: +6.2+6.2Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +6.6+6.6
Geelong WKnox W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Geelong WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/06
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-25
47
25
+22
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
51-21
51
21
+30
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Casey Cavaliers W
#11
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A18/07
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
60-32
60
32
+28
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H09/08
NBL1 South Women
78.9Avg total
46.2Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.336.082.3+10.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.634.279.9+11.488%-
Last 30 away (14)47.038.185.1+8.971%-
Last 10 (10)46.232.778.9+13.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.081.6+13.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)47.056.0103.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (2)45.548.594.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.333.579.8+12.788%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
40-17
40
17
+23
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H09/08
NBL1 South Women
74.6Avg total
44.4Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.934.975.8+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.936.677.5+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)40.932.873.7+8.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.430.274.6+14.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.235.478.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (1)30.026.056.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker (28)41.534.876.4+6.764%-
This opponent (Geelong W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Geelong W wins
2
Knox W wins
DateGameScore
16/05/25Knox W v Geelong W71-89
07/07/24Knox W v Geelong W97-90
03/06/23Geelong W v Knox W82-47
13/05/22Geelong W v Knox W77-71
17/04/21Knox W v Geelong W79-72
06/04/19Geelong W v Knox W94-89 OT
Geelong Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HDiamond Valley W80-72
26/07/25HKeilor Thunder W84-69
19/07/25HEltham W103-60
18/07/25AKeilor Thunder W96-78
12/07/25HCasey Cavaliers W90-53
11/07/25ADandenong Rangers W87-78
05/07/25HFrankston W80-62
28/06/25HNunawading W89-48
22/06/25AKilsyth W90-51
21/06/25HDiamond Valley W83-66
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/08/25HKeilor Thunder W80-73
26/07/25HDandenong Rangers W65-62
19/07/25HBallarat W98-55
13/07/25AKeilor Thunder W79-64
12/07/25HRingwood W81-49
05/07/25ANunawading W86-40
28/06/25AEltham W100-56
21/06/25ALaunceston W86-61
20/06/25AHobart Chargers W88-59
15/06/25HMt. Gambier W81-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Geelong W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.388.390.5
Allowed / game65.762.769.3
Point differential+23.6+25.6+21.3
Avg total155.0151.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%92%82%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %4%0%9%
Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %88%92%82%
Points / game81.881.282.4
Allowed / game64.264.563.9
Point differential+17.5+16.7+18.5
Avg total146.0145.8146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%69%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W24240100%89.365.7+23.6
2 Knox W2421388%81.864.2+17.5
3 Waverley W2417771%80.273.5+6.7
4 Keilor Thunder W2517868%79.774.8+5.0
5 Dandenong Rangers W2416867%85.273.3+12.0
6 Diamond Valley W2516964%82.579.6+3.0
7 Frankston W2314961%80.171.6+8.5
8 Melbourne Tigers W22121055%80.375.8+4.5
9 Sandringham W22121055%82.479.9+2.5
10 Ringwood W23121152%77.275.7+1.4
11 Casey Cavaliers W22111150%75.579.4-3.9
12 Nunawading W22101245%68.475.8-7.4
13 Ballarat W2271532%70.084.3-14.4
14 Mt. Gambier W2261627%67.275.7-8.5
15 Kilsyth W2251723%71.082.1-11.2
16 Hobart Chargers W2251723%71.483.3-11.9
17 Launceston W2241818%73.983.0-9.1
18 Bendigo Braves W2241818%71.783.3-11.6
19 Eltham W2241818%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Geelong W1914131864
Knox W1822182684
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