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Knox W vs Keilor Thunder W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 80-73
19-23 18-23 26-18 17-9
Position#2
Record20-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game63.9
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#4
Record17-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.5
AustraliaNBL1 South WomenNBL1 South Women - Semi-finals
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Keilor Thunder W
09 Aug 2025
KNOX80
KEIL73
10 May 2025
KNOX85
KEIL58
13 Jul 2024
KNOX73
KEIL64
17 Jun 2023
KNOX89
KEIL58
14 Aug 2022
KNOX64
KEIL58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Keilor Thunder W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
81-51
81
51
+30
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
88-59
88
59
+29
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
100-56
100
56
+44
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
86-40
86
40
+46
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
81-49
81
49
+32
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
98-55
98
55
+43
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
W
65-62
65
62
+3
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
9-21
12-15
16-10
15-18
23-7
18-10
25-16
30-17
26-15
13-16
19-11
28-9
17-19
21-23
20-10
18-14
31-9
26-14
25-19
21-4
19-13
26-9
20-14
29-13
20-8
22-21
10-7
26-20
17-14
18-15
18-15
25-18
28-20
24-8
21-9
20-17
14-21
22-16
9-8
139.3Avg total
83.2Scored
56.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)81.863.9145.7+18.087%
Season at home (12)81.363.8145.2+17.592%
Season away (11)82.463.9146.3+18.582%
Last 10 (10)83.256.1139.3+27.1100%
Last 5 (5)81.854.0135.8+27.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.089.0160.0-18.00%
vs Similar (1)73.064.0137.0+9.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.066.0149.0+17.086%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
W
89-64
89
64
+25
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
76-63
76
63
+13
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
78-96
78
96
-18
H18/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
69-84
69
84
-15
A26/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H02/08
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
21-14
20-19
23-18
21-24
26-26
17-14
23-16
19-16
18-18
21-8
18-21
20-17
22-21
20-20
27-22
21-14
13-25
25-27
21-21
20-26
14-17
15-18
15-18
25-27
16-22
16-24
21-23
20-16
19-21
23-18
7-20
17-28
17-20
21-15
14-21
27-21
27-23
13-16
19-21
157.6Avg total
78.7Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)80.074.5154.5+5.571%
Season at home (12)81.972.6154.5+9.383%
Season away (12)78.176.5154.6+1.658%
Last 10 (10)78.778.9157.6-0.250%
Last 5 (5)73.283.0156.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.488.0152.4-23.60%
vs Similar (10)77.570.3147.8+7.290%
vs Weaker (15)86.472.0158.4+14.480%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +9.5+9.5Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +5.7+5.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +6.4+6.4Q4: -1.3-1.3
Knox WKeilor Thunder W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H15/06
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
56-32
56
32
+24
A20/06
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Eltham W
#19
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
40-17
40
17
+23
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
W
49-21
49
21
+28
H12/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A13/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H19/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/07
NBL1 South Women
74.2Avg total
44.7Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.535.076.6+6.567%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.036.878.8+5.265%-
Last 30 away (13)40.932.873.7+8.269%-
Last 10 (10)44.729.574.2+15.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.829.673.4+14.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.047.081.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (1)30.026.056.0+4.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)42.234.977.1+7.368%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham W
#19
W
46-27
46
27
+19
A21/06
NBL1 South Women
Ringwood W
#10
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H28/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/07
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A08/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#13
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A11/07
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H18/07
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A19/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A26/07
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H02/08
NBL1 South Women
81.7Avg total
40.8Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.738.480.1+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.138.182.2+6.075%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.6+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.981.7-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.444.284.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)35.648.684.2-13.00%-
vs Similar (10)40.337.077.3+3.370%-
vs Weaker (15)44.735.980.5+8.880%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Knox W wins
0
Keilor Thunder W wins
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HDandenong Rangers W65-62
19/07/25HBallarat W98-55
13/07/25AKeilor Thunder W79-64
12/07/25HRingwood W81-49
05/07/25ANunawading W86-40
28/06/25AEltham W100-56
21/06/25ALaunceston W86-61
20/06/25AHobart Chargers W88-59
15/06/25HMt. Gambier W81-51
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers W68-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25HWaverley W86-81
26/07/25AGeelong W69-84
19/07/25ANunawading W69-75
18/07/25HGeelong W78-96
13/07/25HKnox W64-79
11/07/25ABallarat W80-87
08/07/25ASandringham W89-80
05/07/25HDiamond Valley W76-63
28/06/25HRingwood W87-80
21/06/25AEltham W89-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %87%92%82%
Points / game81.881.382.4
Allowed / game63.963.863.9
Point differential+18.0+17.5+18.5
Avg total145.7145.2146.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+70%75%64%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW71%
HomeWWLLW83%
AwayWWLLL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game80.081.978.1
Allowed / game74.572.676.5
Point differential+5.5+9.3+1.6
Avg total154.5154.5154.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%50%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W23230100%89.765.4+24.3
2 Knox W2320387%81.863.9+18.0
3 Waverley W2417771%80.273.5+6.7
4 Keilor Thunder W2417771%80.074.5+5.5
5 Dandenong Rangers W2416867%85.273.3+12.0
6 Diamond Valley W2416867%83.079.5+3.4
7 Frankston W2314961%80.171.6+8.5
8 Melbourne Tigers W22121055%80.375.8+4.5
9 Sandringham W22121055%82.479.9+2.5
10 Ringwood W23121152%77.275.7+1.4
11 Casey Cavaliers W22111150%75.579.4-3.9
12 Nunawading W22101245%68.475.8-7.4
13 Ballarat W2271532%70.084.3-14.4
14 Mt. Gambier W2261627%67.275.7-8.5
15 Kilsyth W2251723%71.082.1-11.2
16 Hobart Chargers W2251723%71.483.3-11.9
17 Launceston W2241818%73.983.0-9.1
18 Bendigo Braves W2241818%71.783.3-11.6
19 Eltham W2241818%73.287.0-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1918261780
Keilor Thunder W232318973
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