Georgia State will host Bowling Green on 2 November 2026 in a low-scoring NCAA contest where the model projects a 69-75 finish and a total of 144.7 points, a pace that suggests both sides will guard the ball closely. Georgia State's recent form has been shaky, with one win and four losses in their last five outings, including defeats to Louisiana Lafayette 75-84, Old Dominion 73-81 and Coastal Carolina 71-76, all on the road or at home. Bowling Green, meanwhile, has won two of its last five games, beating Eastern Michigan 77-69 away and UMass 81-62 at home, but also fell to Toledo 76-77 away. The Pythia model favours Bowling Green with a 70% chance of victory against Georgia State's 30%, and it sees the home team covering the -3.5 line only 22% of the time while the over on the 158.0 line is predicted 20%.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 68.8 | 76.2 | 145.0 | -7.4 | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 70.0 | 77.0 | 147.0 | -7.0 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 69.5 | 76.2 | 145.7 | -6.6 | 35% |
| vs Similar (7) | 67.4 | 76.9 | 144.3 | -9.4 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 93.5 | 64.5 | 158.0 | +29.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 74.0 | 73.0 | 147.0 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.0 | 77.4 | 155.4 | +0.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 75.7 | 87.0 | 162.7 | -11.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 62.5 | 86.5 | 149.0 | -24.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 79.8 | 70.5 | 150.4 | +9.3 | 62% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.2 | 35.6 | 69.8 | -1.4 | 43% | 13% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 35.9 | 32.1 | 68.1 | +3.8 | 60% | 13% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.5 | 39.1 | 71.6 | -6.5 | 27% | 13% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.8 | 34.5 | 67.3 | -1.7 | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 34.2 | 33.8 | 68.0 | +0.4 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (20) | 31.9 | 35.9 | 67.8 | -4.0 | 30% | 10% |
| vs Similar (7) | 35.0 | 35.4 | 70.4 | -0.4 | 71% | 14% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 47.0 | 38.5 | 85.5 | +8.5 | 50% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.5 | 34.2 | 70.7 | +2.4 | 50% | 27% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 37.5 | 34.3 | 71.8 | +3.2 | 53% | 29% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 35.2 | 34.0 | 69.2 | +1.2 | 46% | 23% |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.6 | 34.2 | 65.8 | -2.6 | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.4 | 38.2 | 70.6 | -5.8 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 28.3 | 47.3 | 75.7 | -19.0 | 0% | 33% |
| vs Similar (2) | 22.5 | 39.0 | 61.5 | -16.5 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (24) | 37.3 | 32.5 | 69.8 | +4.8 | 58% | 25% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State under 77.5 | 78.5% | 2.67 | 2.67 | - | - | - | - | +44.6pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 76.5 | 75.6% | 2.99 | 3.25 | 2.87 | 2.85 | - | - | +44.1pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 75.5 | 72.5% | 3.16 | 3.50 | 2.82 | - | - | - | +43.4pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 81.5 | 87.7% | 1.92 | 1.99 | 1.95 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.80 | +40.3pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 80.5 | 85.8% | 1.96 | 2.12 | 2.07 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.86 | +40.2pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 82.5 | 89.5% | 1.83 | 1.90 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.80 | +40.1pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 82 | 89.3% | 1.83 | 1.83 | - | - | - | - | +38.8pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 81 | 87.5% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +37.5pp | Won |
| Under 160 | 82.9% | 1.91 | 2.09 | 1.93 | 1.71 | - | - | +37.5pp | Won |
| Under 161 | 84.4% | 1.83 | 1.98 | 1.86 | 1.64 | - | - | +36.3pp | Won |
| Under 160.5 | 83.2% | 1.86 | 2.03 | 1.91 | 1.91 | 1.88 | 1.85 | +36.3pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 83.5 | 91.1% | 1.65 | 1.65 | - | - | - | - | +36.3pp | Won |
| Under 153.5 | 70.7% | 2.67 | 2.80 | 2.55 | - | - | - | +36.0pp | Won |
| Under 154.5 | 72.7% | 2.49 | 2.62 | 2.35 | - | - | - | +35.4pp | Won |
| Under 161.5 | 84.6% | 1.77 | 1.93 | 1.81 | 1.78 | 1.73 | 1.60 | +35.3pp | Won |
| Under 162 | 85.8% | 1.74 | 1.89 | 1.77 | 1.57 | - | - | +35.2pp | Won |
| Under 154 | 72.2% | 2.50 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - | +34.7pp | Won |
| Under 153 | 70.1% | 2.62 | 2.62 | - | - | - | - | +34.6pp | Won |
| Under 163 | 87.0% | 1.66 | 1.81 | 1.68 | 1.50 | - | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| Under 162.5 | 85.9% | 1.71 | 1.84 | 1.72 | 1.72 | 1.54 | - | +34.4pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 79.5 | 83.6% | 2.12 | 2.25 | 2.20 | 1.92 | - | - | +34.2pp | Won |
| Under 159 | 81.3% | 1.87 | 2.00 | 1.82 | 1.80 | - | - | +33.8pp | Won |
| Under 158.5 | 80.0% | 1.92 | 2.12 | 2.05 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.86 | +33.7pp | Won |
| Under 164 | 88.2% | 1.59 | 1.74 | 1.45 | - | - | - | +33.6pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 87.2% | 1.62 | 1.77 | 1.62 | 1.47 | - | - | +33.5pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 78.5 | 81.1% | 2.22 | 2.45 | 2.35 | 2.10 | 1.98 | - | +33.5pp | Won |
| Under 155 | 74.2% | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | +33.1pp | Won |
| Under 159.5 | 81.6% | 1.89 | 2.02 | 1.96 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.88 | +33.0pp | Won |
| Under 155.5 | 74.7% | 2.21 | 2.47 | 2.20 | 1.96 | - | - | +32.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +2 | 75.0% | 2.13 | 2.22 | 2.05 | - | - | - | +31.9pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 84.5 | 92.5% | 1.52 | 1.55 | 1.53 | 1.47 | - | - | +31.6pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 85.5 | 93.7% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +31.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +1.5 | 72.4% | 2.20 | 2.32 | 2.15 | 2.12 | - | - | +31.1pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +2.5 | 75.8% | 2.06 | 2.12 | 2.05 | 2.00 | - | - | +30.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +3 | 77.7% | 1.97 | 2.02 | 1.95 | 1.94 | - | - | +30.3pp | Won |
| Under 156 | 76.1% | 2.03 | 2.12 | 2.06 | 1.92 | - | - | +30.0pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +1 | 71.7% | 2.20 | 2.20 | - | - | - | - | +29.5pp | Won |
| Under 157 | 77.9% | 1.99 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.96 | - | - | +29.4pp | Won |
| Under 156.5 | 76.6% | 2.09 | 2.32 | 2.10 | 2.03 | 2.01 | 2.00 | +29.3pp | Won |
| Under 157.5 | 78.3% | 1.94 | 2.18 | 1.97 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.91 | +28.6pp | Won |
| Under 158 | 79.7% | 1.90 | 1.94 | 1.91 | 1.86 | - | - | +28.5pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +3.5 | 78.2% | 1.93 | 2.00 | 2.00 | 1.94 | 1.93 | 1.91 | +28.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +4 | 80.3% | 1.81 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1.80 | - | - | +28.0pp | Won |
| Bowling Green win | 70.1% | 2.33 | 2.40 | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.38 | 2.34 | +27.8pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 86.5 | 94.7% | 1.36 | 1.39 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +27.4pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +6 | 85.0% | 1.61 | 1.63 | 1.60 | - | - | - | +26.3pp | Won |
| Under 164.5 | 88.4% | 1.49 | 1.57 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +4.5 | 80.8% | 1.76 | 1.78 | 1.78 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.74 | +26.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +5 | 82.8% | 1.70 | 1.71 | 1.71 | 1.69 | - | - | +26.1pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 87.5 | 95.6% | 1.31 | 1.33 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +7 | 87.0% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Under 167.5 | 91.4% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +25.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +7.5 | 87.3% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +25.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +6.5 | 85.3% | 1.58 | 1.59 | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | +25.2pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 89.5% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +25.1pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +5.5 | 83.2% | 1.65 | 1.66 | 1.66 | 1.65 | 1.64 | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +8 | 88.8% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +24.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +8.5 | 88.9% | 1.42 | 1.43 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 90.5% | 1.39 | 1.45 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +23.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +9 | 90.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +23.3pp | Won |
| Under 165 | 89.3% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 88.5 | 96.4% | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +9.5 | 90.4% | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +22.8pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +10 | 91.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +22.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +10.5 | 91.8% | 1.31 | 1.32 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +21.4pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +11 | 92.8% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Under 166 | 90.4% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +12.5 | 93.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.26 | - | - | - | +20.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +12 | 93.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +20.5pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +11.5 | 92.9% | 1.27 | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +20.3pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 92.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +17.8pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 90.5 | 97.6% | 1.16 | 1.17 | 1.15 | - | - | - | +17.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +13.5 | 94.8% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +17.0pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +14.5 | 95.6% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +16.7pp | Won |
| Georgia State under 91.5 | 98.1% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +16.2pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 95.6% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +13.3pp | Won |
| Bowling Green under 82.5 | 76.1% | 1.43 | 1.50 | 1.44 | 1.35 | - | - | +13.2pp | Won |
| Bowling Green under 81.5 | 73.0% | 1.52 | 1.53 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +12.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +18.5 | 97.7% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +11.6pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +19.5 | 98.0% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Bowling Green under 83.5 | 79.1% | 1.33 | 1.37 | 1.30 | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +23.5 | 99.0% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +9.4pp | Won |
| Bowling Green +24.5 | 99.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Bowling Green under 84.5 | 81.8% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 95.3% | 1.04 | 1.05 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +4.8pp | - |
| Bowling Green over 58.5 | 95.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 60.5 | 92.8% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 62.5 | 89.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -0.8pp | Won |
| Georgia State +21.5 | 91.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 64.5 | 85.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Georgia State +20.5 | 89.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.1pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 66.5 | 80.8% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 67.5 | 78.1% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | -5.0pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 68.5 | 75.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | 1.14 | - | - | - | -5.9pp | Won |
| Georgia State +16.5 | 82.4% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -7.3pp | Won |
| Georgia State +15.5 | 80.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -9.5pp | Won |
| Bowling Green over 69.5 | 71.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -9.6pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 75.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -17.3pp | Won |
| Georgia State over 62.5 | 74.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -18.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 | A | Louisiana Lafayette | 75-84 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Old Dominion | 73-81 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Coastal Carolina | 71-76 |
| 21/02/26 | H | James Madison | 65-80 |
| 20/02/26 | H | Georgia Southern | 66-64 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Old Dominion | 55-78 |
| 13/02/26 | A | James Madison | 79-81 OT |
| 07/02/26 | H | Northern Illinois | 74-75 |
| 05/02/26 | H | Troy | 63-74 |
| 01/02/26 | A | South Alabama | 67-69 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/03/26 | A | Toledo | 76-77 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Eastern Michigan | 77-69 |
| 28/02/26 | H | UMass | 81-62 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Western Michigan | 79-88 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Miami (Ohio) | 77-91 |
| 18/02/26 | H | Kent State | 71-78 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Toledo | 80-70 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Northern Illinois | 68-52 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Arkansas State | 54-91 |
| 04/02/26 | H | Ball State | 77-52 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 157.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over 157.5 | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nicholls State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 110.0 | 56.0 | +54.0 |
| 2 | Illinois (Chi.) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 96.0 | 47.0 | +49.0 |
| 3 | Hofstra | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 51.0 | +46.0 |
| 4 | Middle Tenn. St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 117.0 | 73.0 | +44.0 |
| 5 | South Carolina St | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 55.0 | +39.0 |
| 6 | IU Indy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 113.0 | 76.0 | +37.0 |
| 7 | Mercer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 90.0 | 53.0 | +37.0 |
| 8 | Princeton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 46.0 | +32.0 |
| 9 | Murray State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 94.0 | 64.0 | +30.0 |
| 10 | George Mason | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 54.0 | +28.0 |
| 11 | McNeese State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 99.0 | 78.0 | +21.0 |
| 12 | San Jose State | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 74.0 | +21.0 |
| 13 | High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 14 | Merrimack Warriors | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 63.0 | 49.0 | +14.0 |
| 15 | Northern Kentucky | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 84.0 | 76.0 | +8.0 |
| 16 | Queens Royals | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 103.0 | 98.0 | +5.0 |
| 17 | Grambling St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 |
| 18 | Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 |
| 19 | Northern Illinois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 |
| 20 | Villanova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| 21 | Winthrop | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 |
| 22 | UTEP | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 84.0 | -8.0 |
| 23 | Appalachian State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 49.0 | 63.0 | -14.0 |
| 24 | Liberty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 |
| 25 | UAB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 78.0 | 99.0 | -21.0 |
| 26 | UTSA Roadrunners | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 74.0 | 95.0 | -21.0 |
| 27 | UMBC Retrievers | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 54.0 | 82.0 | -28.0 |
| 28 | Tennessee State | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 94.0 | -30.0 |
| 29 | Carnegie Mellon | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 46.0 | 78.0 | -32.0 |
| 30 | Miami (OH) - Middletown | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 76.0 | 113.0 | -37.0 |
| 31 | Reinhardt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 53.0 | 90.0 | -37.0 |
| 32 | Morris College | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 94.0 | -39.0 |
| 33 | Fisk | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 73.0 | 117.0 | -44.0 |
| 34 | St. Joseph's (Brooklyn) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 51.0 | 97.0 | -46.0 |
| 35 | St. Francis (ILL) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 |
| 36 | North American Stallions | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 56.0 | 110.0 | -54.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State | 34 | 39 | 73 |
| Bowling Green | 34 | 42 | 76 |
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