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Arkansas State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 57-74
33-33 24-41
Position#278
Record9-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.8
Allowed / game64.8
vs
Position#21
Record14-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game63.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Arkansas State v Southern Miss
16 Jan 2027
ARKA v SOUT
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
ARKA89
SOUT84
12 Feb 2025
ARKA101
SOUT67
31 Jan 2024
ARKA78
SOUT71
14 Jan 2023
ARKA57
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
55-80
55
80
-25
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
W
68-61
68
61
+7
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
72-84
72
84
-12
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
45-63
45
63
-18
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-27
32-45
27-44
28-36
24-26
44-35
27-31
45-34
31-39
46-36
29-16
31-41
36-47
36-37
18-29
27-34
27-31
27-35
24-28
34-33
131.2Avg total
62.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.864.8130.7+1.050%
Season at home (11)72.063.0135.0+9.073%
Season away (7)56.167.7123.9-11.614%
Last 10 (10)62.868.4131.2-5.640%
Last 5 (5)57.866.2124.0-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)61.869.1130.9-7.333%
vs Similar (12)63.467.0130.4-3.642%
vs Weaker (8)70.960.5131.4+10.475%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
91-65
91
65
+26
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A13/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-40
43-44
50-22
45-37
40-29
51-36
42-35
44-32
33-32
30-42
26-23
38-37
30-33
46-37
23-37
38-38
32-31
33-29
29-37
38-52
145.3Avg total
75.0Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.663.5139.1+12.178%
Season at home (9)79.958.2138.1+21.7100%
Season away (9)71.368.8140.1+2.656%
Last 10 (10)75.070.3145.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)66.670.8137.4-4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)67.480.5147.8-13.115%
vs Similar (4)67.073.5140.5-6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.259.8138.0+18.585%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +2.2+2.2
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -4.0-4.01st half: +2.5+2.52nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: +2.2+2.2
Arkansas StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Arkansas
#341
W
35-27
35
27
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#187
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H15/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#348
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H20/12
NCAA
UALR
#322
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H22/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
29-16
29
16
+13
A30/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H31/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
18-29
18
29
-11
A06/01
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H13/01
NCAA
59.6Avg total
27.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.631.662.3-1.037%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.831.163.8+1.741%-
Last 30 away (13)27.832.460.2-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)27.831.859.6-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)26.830.257.0-3.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)27.935.163.0-7.20%-
vs Similar (12)29.531.360.8-1.833%-
vs Weaker (8)34.228.662.9+5.675%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwestern St.
#75
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A04/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
50-22
50
22
+28
H10/12
NCAA
Lamar
#339
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A14/12
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H18/12
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
34.4Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.333.266.6+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.533.268.7+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)31.133.364.4-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)34.431.966.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)28.032.260.2-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.837.368.2-6.515%-
vs Similar (4)27.032.559.5-5.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.829.467.2+8.485%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Arkansas State wins
0
Southern Miss wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23HTexas State58-61
07/01/23ATroy54-66
06/01/23ASouth Alabama45-63
31/12/22HLouisiana Monroe72-84
30/12/22AOld Dominion60-57
22/12/22HUALR77-75
20/12/22HAlabama State72-65
15/12/22HSoutheast Missouri State68-61
10/12/22AAir Force55-80
07/12/22ACentral Arkansas67-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/01/23AMarshall67-89
07/01/23ALouisiana Monroe65-60
06/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette61-75
31/12/22HAppalachian State76-70
30/12/22HTroy64-60
23/12/22AUNLV63-74
18/12/22HMcNeese State86-67
14/12/22ALamar91-65
10/12/22HLamar95-59
04/12/22ANorthwestern St.82-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL73%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %50%73%14%
Points / game65.872.056.1
Allowed / game64.863.067.7
Point differential+1.0+9.0-11.6
Avg total130.7135.0123.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %78%100%56%
Points / game75.679.971.3
Allowed / game63.558.268.8
Point differential+12.1+21.7+2.6
Avg total139.1138.1140.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%78%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marshall1814478%82.169.0+13.1
2 Southern Miss1814478%75.663.5+12.1
3 Louisiana Lafayette1713476%81.371.6+9.6
4 Troy1812667%75.464.4+11.0
5 James Madison1811761%85.165.3+19.8
6 Georgia Southern1811761%69.164.6+4.5
7 Old Dominion1710759%68.666.3+2.4
8 Texas State1810856%65.264.4+0.8
9 Appalachian State189950%73.865.1+8.7
10 Georgia State189950%68.264.3+3.9
11 Arkansas State189950%65.864.8+1.0
12 Coastal Carolina178947%74.570.4+4.2
13 South Alabama178947%68.165.9+2.2
14 Louisiana Monroe1871139%70.769.7+1.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Arkansas State332457
Southern Miss334174
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