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Troy vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-74
23-30 42-44
Position#115
Record13-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game65.6
vs
Position#21
Record19-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Troy v Southern Miss
08 Mar 2026
TROY78
SOUT70
14 Jan 2026
TROY91
SOUT65
27 Jan 2025
TROY70
SOUT61
13 Jan 2024
TROY82
SOUT56
02 Feb 2023
TROY65
SOUT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TroyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#21
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
78-71
78
71
+7
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
45-58
45
58
-13
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
L
87-89 OT
87
89
-2
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
77-53
77
53
+24
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
23-26
37-38
20-22
35-30
38-32
40-39
31-27
35-27
30-27
35-26
20-25
25-33
42-35
32-39
31-27
46-26
17-41
40-31
25-37
35-40
129.3Avg total
65.0Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)73.265.6138.7+7.657%
Season at home (10)84.863.7148.5+21.180%
Season away (13)64.267.0131.2-2.838%
Last 10 (10)65.064.3129.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)65.269.8135.0-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.089.0176.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.268.9130.1-7.88%
vs Weaker (13)72.161.8133.8+10.392%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
67-58
67
58
+9
H28/01
NCAA
1H
2H
26-23
38-37
30-33
46-37
23-37
38-38
32-31
33-29
29-37
38-52
33-33
41-24
33-37
43-35
43-36
40-34
33-27
40-30
34-27
33-31
137.4Avg total
70.6Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)75.463.3138.7+12.083%
Season at home (13)78.360.1138.4+18.2100%
Season away (10)71.667.6139.2+4.060%
Last 10 (10)70.666.8137.4+3.880%
Last 5 (5)74.662.8137.4+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)66.276.1142.4-9.925%
vs Similar ◀ (6)71.272.7143.8-1.567%
vs Weaker (16)76.959.3136.2+17.688%
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -2.2-2.21st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +4.3+4.3
TroySouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#21
L
23-26
23
26
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Texas State
#236
L
20-22
20
22
-2
A31/12
NCAA
Old Dominion
#111
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H06/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H07/01
NCAA
Georgia State
#320
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
20-25
20
25
-5
A14/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A27/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A28/01
NCAA
57.6Avg total
27.7Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.464.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.729.467.1+8.379%-
Last 30 away (16)29.233.162.3-3.838%-
Last 10 (10)27.729.957.6-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)27.033.060.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.035.077.0+7.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)28.833.061.8-4.233%-
vs Weaker (13)32.529.261.7+3.469%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
Texas State
#236
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H28/01
NCAA
63.7Avg total
31.6Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.431.765.1+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.531.266.7+4.369%-
Last 30 away (14)30.932.463.3-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.163.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.232.067.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.235.063.2-6.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.733.864.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker (16)36.929.366.2+7.681%-
This opponent (Troy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Troy wins
1
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
30/12/22Southern Miss v Troy64-60
Troylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23ASouth Alabama60-77
27/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette57-72
21/01/23HLouisiana Monroe77-53
20/01/23HJames Madison87-89 OT
14/01/23AAppalachian State45-58
13/01/23AGeorgia State65-53
07/01/23HArkansas State66-54
06/01/23HOld Dominion78-71
31/12/22ATexas State55-52
30/12/22ASouthern Miss60-64
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/23HTexas State67-58
27/01/23HArkansas State73-57
21/01/23HJames Madison83-70
20/01/23HSouth Alabama76-72
14/01/23AArkansas State74-57
13/01/23AMarshall67-89
07/01/23ALouisiana Monroe65-60
06/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette61-75
31/12/22HAppalachian State76-70
30/12/22HTroy64-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeLWWLW80%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231013
Win %57%80%38%
Points / game73.284.864.2
Allowed / game65.663.767.0
Point differential+7.6+21.1-2.8
Avg total138.7148.5131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%70%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231310
Win %83%100%60%
Points / game75.478.371.6
Allowed / game63.360.167.6
Point differential+12.0+18.2+4.0
Avg total138.7138.4139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%69%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2319483%75.463.3+12.0
2 Louisiana Lafayette2218482%80.370.9+9.4
3 Marshall2419579%82.169.5+12.6
4 James Madison2315865%82.966.6+16.3
5 Old Dominion2213959%67.566.0+1.5
6 Troy23131057%73.265.6+7.6
7 Appalachian State24131154%72.264.3+8.0
8 Georgia Southern23121152%69.066.7+2.3
9 Texas State23111248%64.565.0-0.5
10 Coastal Carolina22101245%74.771.4+3.3
11 Louisiana Monroe23101343%69.169.0+0.1
12 South Alabama2291341%69.567.5+1.9
13 Georgia State2291341%66.466.3+0.1
14 Arkansas State2391439%65.267.1-2.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Troy234265
Southern Miss304474
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