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Southern Miss vs Texas State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 67-58
34-27 33-31
Position#21
Record18-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game63.6
vs
Position#236
Record11-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.8
Allowed / game65.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Southern Miss v Texas State
08 Jan 2026
SOUT80
TEXA70
11 Jan 2025
SOUT92
TEXA88
07 Mar 2024
SOUT59
TEXA75
17 Feb 2024
SOUT78
TEXA74
28 Jan 2023
SOUT67
TEXA58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Texas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
L
63-74
63
74
-11
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
67-89
67
89
-22
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-32
30-42
26-23
38-37
30-33
46-37
23-37
38-38
32-31
33-29
29-37
38-52
33-33
41-24
33-37
43-35
43-36
40-34
33-27
40-30
138.6Avg total
70.2Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.863.6139.4+12.282%
Season at home (12)79.260.2139.5+19.0100%
Season away (10)71.667.6139.2+4.060%
Last 10 (10)70.268.4138.6+1.870%
Last 5 (5)74.669.0143.6+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)66.777.0143.7-10.322%
vs Similar (6)71.272.7143.8-1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)77.659.4137.0+18.287%
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Sciences
#398
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
63-62
63
62
+1
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
W
70-67
70
67
+3
H27/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-29
46-43
25-32
28-25
22-20
30-35
27-27
36-35
36-21
28-37
28-24
33-34
25-22
33-39
33-33
40-48
22-27
29-33
31-36
39-31
126.3Avg total
63.2Scored
63.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)64.865.0129.8-0.150%
Season at home (11)66.666.6133.3+0.036%
Season away (11)63.063.3126.3-0.364%
Last 10 (10)63.263.1126.3+0.150%
Last 5 (5)62.665.4128.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.565.2128.8-1.838%
vs Similar (10)63.665.3128.9-1.760%
vs Weaker (8)68.661.8130.4+6.975%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.8-1.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +1.9+1.92nd half2nd half: +2.9+2.92nd half: -1.8-1.8
Southern MissTexas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A23/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Appalachian State
#203
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A06/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A13/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A14/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H20/01
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H27/01
NCAA
64.1Avg total
31.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.332.265.5+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.432.167.5+3.262%-
Last 30 away (14)30.932.463.3-1.443%-
Last 10 (10)31.532.664.1-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.234.068.2+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)28.735.864.4-7.122%-
vs Similar (6)30.733.864.5-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)37.129.566.6+7.780%-
This opponent (Texas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Texas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University of Sciences
#398
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H21/12
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H30/12
NCAA
Troy
#115
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H31/12
NCAA
James Madison
#69
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A06/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#166
W
36-21
36
21
+15
A07/01
NCAA
Arkansas State
#278
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A13/01
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#301
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A14/01
NCAA
Marshall
#38
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/01
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
22-27
22
27
-5
H21/01
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H27/01
NCAA
56.1Avg total
29.0Scored
27.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.728.659.3+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.630.462.0+1.343%-
Last 30 away (16)29.827.156.9+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)29.027.156.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)27.828.456.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.627.657.2+2.050%-
vs Similar (10)29.229.258.4+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)31.928.460.2+3.575%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Southern Miss wins
0
Texas State wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HArkansas State73-57
21/01/23HJames Madison83-70
20/01/23HSouth Alabama76-72
14/01/23AArkansas State74-57
13/01/23AMarshall67-89
07/01/23ALouisiana Monroe65-60
06/01/23ALouisiana Lafayette61-75
31/12/22HAppalachian State76-70
30/12/22HTroy64-60
23/12/22AUNLV63-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/23HGeorgia Southern70-67
21/01/23HLouisiana Lafayette51-60
20/01/23HMarshall73-81
14/01/23ALouisiana Monroe58-61
13/01/23AArkansas State61-58
07/01/23ASouth Alabama64-58
06/01/23AJames Madison63-62
31/12/22HTroy52-55
30/12/22HLouisiana Monroe53-57
21/12/22HUniversity of Sciences87-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Southern Miss
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %82%100%60%
Points / game75.879.271.6
Allowed / game63.660.267.6
Point differential+12.2+19.0+4.0
Avg total139.4139.5139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%75%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Texas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeLLLLW36%
AwayWWWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %50%36%64%
Points / game64.866.663.0
Allowed / game65.066.663.3
Point differential-0.1+0.0-0.3
Avg total129.8133.3126.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss2218482%75.863.6+12.2
2 Louisiana Lafayette2117481%79.770.1+9.5
3 Marshall2217577%81.970.2+11.7
4 James Madison2214864%84.067.5+16.5
5 Troy2213959%73.865.0+8.7
6 Old Dominion2112957%67.966.4+1.5
7 Appalachian State22121055%73.364.8+8.5
8 Georgia Southern22121055%68.165.5+2.7
9 Texas State22111150%64.865.0-0.1
10 Coastal Carolina21101148%75.471.9+3.5
11 Louisiana Monroe22101245%70.269.5+0.7
12 Georgia State2191243%66.564.6+1.9
13 Arkansas State2291341%65.867.3-1.5
14 South Alabama2181338%69.167.9+1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Southern Miss343367
Texas State273158
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