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Germany vs Netherlands Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 99-83
38-31 26-19 18-16 17-17
Position#8
Record5-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game80.0
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#56
Record5-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game77.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Lanxess Arena
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Netherlands winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
W
85-58
85
58
+27
76avg 97
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 97
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
98-86
98
86
+12
93avg 97
H12/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
91avg 97
A14/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#67
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
88-93
88
93
-5
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Croatia
#5
W
91-89 OT
91
89
+2
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
92-86
92
86
+6
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
111-79
111
79
+32
no box
H06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
14-20
21-19
33-7
21-32
24-19
25-23
29-17
30-26
31-21
20-26
17-13
24-22
16-24
26-21
22-16
26-22
24-9
19-22
20-16
20-17
22-22
27-9
14-16
26-20
24-26
22-29
16-18
22-24
19-26
21-17
15-10
23-15
22-22
31-18
16-31
22-21
34-10
30-25
25-23
172.2Avg total
92.4Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.380.0172.3+12.383%
Season at home (3)97.079.0176.0+18.0100%
Season away (3)87.781.0168.7+6.767%
Last 10 (10)92.479.8172.2+12.690%
Last 5 (5)93.082.2175.2+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)83.685.2168.8-1.660%
vs Similar (2)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.273.3166.5+19.991%
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNetherlands
Date
Competition
Austria
#54
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
81-70
81
70
+11
no box
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
97-70
97
70
+27
no box
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
86-78
86
78
+8
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
83-85
83
85
-2
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
81-71
81
71
+10
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
87-88
87
88
-1
no box
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
69-72
69
72
-3
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
84-92
84
92
-8
no box
A06/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
13-23
18-14
13-15
22-15
22-17
18-21
19-17
10-19
21-20
17-30
22-14
25-29
26-12
16-14
30-15
26-12
22-17
17-21
21-28
28-22
25-15
17-21
13-27
17-13
23-21
15-19
26-18
23-18
27-25
17-18
20-27
26-18
7-23
21-11
15-20
16-18
28-28
21-27
19-19
157.6Avg total
80.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)80.377.3157.6+3.050%
Season at home (5)80.275.8156.0+4.440%
Season away (5)80.478.8159.2+1.660%
Last 10 (10)80.377.3157.6+3.050%
Last 5 (5)80.881.6162.4-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.282.4154.6-10.25%
vs Similar (7)76.977.7154.6-0.943%
vs Weaker (2)89.070.0159.0+19.0100%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -0.2-0.2
GermanyNetherlands
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portugal
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H12/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#67
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
World Cup
Croatia
#5
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A27/02
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H01/03
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/07
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H06/07
World Cup
87.1Avg total
46.1Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.538.483.9+7.270%-
Last 30 at home (19)46.137.483.4+8.768%-
Last 30 away (11)44.640.184.7+4.573%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.087.1+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)46.840.687.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.137.384.3+9.878%-
This opponent (Netherlands) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NetherlandsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#54
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A09/08
World Cup
Austria
#54
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H20/08
World Cup
Latvia
#40
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A28/11
World Cup
Poland
#7
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H01/12
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/02
World Cup
Austria
#54
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H01/03
World Cup
Latvia
#40
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#7
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A06/07
World Cup
80.5Avg total
42.8Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.077.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.938.478.3+1.457%-
Last 30 away (16)37.039.576.5-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.837.780.5+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.040.284.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.739.377.0-1.638%-
vs Similar (7)37.638.776.3-1.143%-
vs Weaker (2)47.536.584.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.5
60.9%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.3
39.0%
-36.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.5
80.3%
-17.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Netherlandstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Netherlands: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.315.5
49.5%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.2
35.5%
-27.5
🏀 Free throws20.213.7
67.8%
-13.7
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/6 games with a box score before 27 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Germany
WWWLWWWWWW
Netherlands
LLLWLWWLWW
#8
League position
#56
+27.8
Net rating
-7.9
129.0
Offensive rating
97.5
101.2
Defensive rating
105.3
59.8%
Effective FG%
51.2%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
13.3%
Turnover %
23.6%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.0%
3-point %
35.5%
60.9%
Assist %
81.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 50%
■ Germany   ■ Netherlands
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Netherlands wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26HCyprus111-79
03/07/26AIsrael92-86
01/03/26HCroatia91-89 OT
27/02/26ACroatia88-93
01/12/25ACyprus83-64
28/11/25HIsrael89-69
14/09/25ATurkey88-83
12/09/25HFinland98-86
10/09/25HSlovenia99-91
06/09/25HPortugal85-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/07/26APoland84-92
03/07/26HLatvia69-72
01/03/26HAustria87-88
27/02/26AAustria81-71
01/12/25HPoland83-85
28/11/25ALatvia86-78
20/08/25HBulgaria97-70
13/08/25AAustria70-83
09/08/25ABulgaria81-70
02/08/25HAustria65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game92.397.087.7
Allowed / game80.079.081.0
Point differential+12.3+18.0+6.7
Avg total172.3176.0168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%33%0%
Netherlands
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game80.380.280.4
Allowed / game77.375.878.8
Point differential+3.0+4.4+1.6
Avg total157.6156.0159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%20%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada660100%104.081.8+22.2
4 Brazil660100%93.775.3+18.3
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia109190%97.570.3+27.2
8 Ivory Coast76186%93.175.4+17.7
9 Cameroon76186%76.970.4+6.4
10 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
11 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
12 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
13 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
14 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
15 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
16 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
17 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
18 France65183%84.272.8+11.3
19 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
20 Dominican Republic43175%91.277.8+13.5
21 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
22 South Sudan75271%82.466.1+16.3
23 Angola75271%86.971.9+15.0
24 Japan75271%86.475.4+11.0
25 Mali75271%80.175.6+4.6
26 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
27 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
28 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
29 Serbia64267%86.581.3+5.2
30 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
31 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
32 Guinea74357%72.366.7+5.6
33 China74357%83.980.9+3.0
34 Nigeria74357%77.175.1+2.0
35 Qatar74357%76.775.6+1.1
36 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
37 Sweden74357%82.983.4-0.6
38 Finland74357%78.481.0-2.6
39 Hungary116555%81.376.6+4.6
40 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
41 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
42 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
43 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
44 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Slovenia63350%85.583.5+2.0
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
50 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
51 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
52 Colombia63350%83.288.0-4.8
53 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
54 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
55 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
56 Estonia73443%82.381.1+1.1
57 Saudi Arabia73443%77.078.9-1.9
58 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina62433%79.077.2+1.8
60 Israel62433%79.779.5+0.2
61 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
62 Puerto Rico62433%89.592.2-2.7
63 Bahamas62433%90.593.5-3.0
64 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
65 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
66 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
67 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
68 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
69 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
70 D.R. Congo72529%66.685.0-18.4
71 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
72 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
73 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany3826181799
Netherlands3119161783
← all games of the day
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