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Crailsheim Merlins vs Bayern Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 69-78
12-13 19-15 24-22 14-28
Position#14
Record10-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.5
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
vs
Bayern 🏆
Germany
Position#3
Record23-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game74.4
GermanyBBLRound 30
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern
22 Oct 2023
CME62
BAY97
23 Apr 2023
CME69
BAY78
26 Dec 2021
CME77
BAY68
25 May 2021
CME72
BAY86
23 May 2021
CME96
BAY82
21 Mar 2021
CME74
BAY79
26 Oct 2020
CME63
BAY80
08 Jun 2020
CME79
BAY110
15 Apr 2020
CME v BAY
upcoming
04 Nov 2018
CME71
BAY96
22 Apr 2016
CME78
BAY89
23 Nov 2014
CME66
BAY103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 79
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 79
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 79
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 79
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 79
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 79
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 79
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 79
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 79
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
L
85-86
85
86
-1
79avg 79
H15/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
22-14
10-23
15-22
29-9
30-22
16-23
21-24
15-24
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
18-12
19-29
20-21
20-20
24-20
25-16
18-31
18-19
168.6Avg total
82.4Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)85.989.5175.4-3.734%
Season at home (14)89.188.0177.1+1.150%
Season away (15)82.890.9173.7-8.120%
Last 10 (10)82.486.2168.6-3.830%
Last 5 (5)83.084.4167.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)83.792.5176.2-8.817%
vs Similar (16)87.187.9175.1-0.844%
vs Weaker (2)85.576.0161.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
74-63
74
63
+11
68avg 72
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
76-86
76
86
-10
72avg 72
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
79avg 72
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
87avg 72
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
73avg 72
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
67-79
67
79
-12
56avg 72
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
67-49
67
49
+18
70avg 72
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
80-83
80
83
-3
72avg 72
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 72
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
95-89
95
89
+6
95avg 72
H19/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
13-23
21-15
19-12
27-21
16-27
11-23
22-15
22-23
18-22
20-12
21-27
16-18
24-16
18-20
31-18
26-18
11-11
24-19
16-11
13-19
23-21
8-16
23-23
18-12
22-9
7-14
20-14
18-19
20-15
9-17
33-32
15-18
22-20
20-19
16-15
21-21
26-14
26-24
22-30
151.5Avg total
77.9Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.674.4156.0+7.279%
Season at home (15)85.176.4161.5+8.780%
Season away (14)77.972.3150.2+5.679%
Last 10 (10)77.973.6151.5+4.360%
Last 5 (5)76.474.4150.8+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.083.7157.7-9.70%
vs Similar (10)78.579.2157.7-0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.573.3156.8+10.292%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: +2.6+2.6
Crailsheim MerlinsBayern
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#11
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H15/04
BBL
84.9Avg total
41.0Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.086.3-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.343.385.6-1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)42.444.687.0-2.240%-
Last 10 (10)41.043.984.9-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.085.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)39.346.585.8-7.217%-
vs Similar (16)44.542.687.1+1.962%-
vs Weaker (2)43.040.083.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A26/03
BBL
Panathinaikos
#15
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A28/03
Euroleague
Monaco
#4
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H31/03
Euroleague
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H02/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A04/04
BBL
Real Madrid
#2
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A06/04
Euroleague
Wurzburg
#11
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A10/04
BBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H14/04
Euroleague
Bamberg
#9
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H16/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/04
BBL
75.2Avg total
39.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.638.978.4+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.578.2+1.256%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.378.7+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)39.236.075.2+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)39.633.673.2+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)36.741.678.3-4.914%-
vs Similar (10)38.838.677.4+0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)41.737.679.3+4.162%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.917.8
55.8%
54.4%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.110.1
35.9%
35.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.415.5
84.2%
75.8%15.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.418.4
58.6%
54.4%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
35.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws17.513.6
77.7%
75.8%13.6
They take 57.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWWLWLLLL
Bayern
WWLWLWWLLW
#14
League position
#3
-4.9
Net rating
+6.5
111.2
Offensive rating
112.1
116.1
Defensive rating
105.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
19.1%
Turnover %
20.2%
27.8%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
35.9%
3-point %
34.2%
59.1%
Assist %
57.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 112.1Defence116.1 · 105.6Shooting54.9% · 55.3%3-point %35.9% · 34.2%Ball care19.1% · 20.2%Off. rebounds27.8% · 33.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Bayern
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crailsheim Merlins wins
7
Bayern wins
DateGameScore
30/10/22Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins88-77
27/03/22Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins93-64
26/12/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern77-68
25/05/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern72-86
23/05/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern96-82
21/05/21Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins83-79
19/05/21Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins86-66
21/03/21Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern74-79
31/01/21Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins103-105 OT
26/10/20Crailsheim Merlins v Bayern63-80
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/04/23HWurzburg85-86
08/04/23ALudwigsburg77-82
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
26/03/23AHeidelberg82-93
18/03/23HUlm76-68
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/23HFrankfurt95-89
16/04/23HBamberg73-72
14/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-83
10/04/23AWurzburg67-49
06/04/23AReal Madrid67-79
04/04/23AUlm77-59
02/04/23HLudwigsburg89-72
31/03/23HMonaco81-84
28/03/23APanathinaikos76-86
26/03/23ABasketball Braunschweig74-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL34%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%50%20%
Points / game85.989.182.8
Allowed / game89.588.090.9
Point differential-3.7+1.1-8.1
Avg total175.4177.1173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bayern
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %79%80%79%
Points / game81.685.177.9
Allowed / game74.476.472.3
Point differential+7.2+8.7+5.6
Avg total156.0161.5150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (4)75% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin3028293%88.276.7+11.5
2 Bonn2927293%89.272.6+16.7
3 Bayern2923679%81.674.4+7.2
4 Oldenburg29181162%85.182.9+2.2
5 Gottingen29171259%86.886.9-0.1
6 Ludwigsburg30171357%86.785.0+1.6
7 Ulm29151452%87.184.9+2.2
8 Wurzburg31151648%81.583.4-1.8
9 Rostock29141548%83.687.4-3.8
10 Bamberg30141647%87.186.9+0.2
11 Chemnitz30131743%83.883.5+0.3
12 Heidelberg30121840%86.790.0-3.3
13 Hamburg31112035%81.286.5-5.4
14 Crailsheim Merlins29101934%85.989.5-3.7
15 Syntainics MBC29101934%83.387.2-3.9
16 Basketball Braunschweig3092130%79.983.9-4.1
17 Frankfurt2982128%79.086.1-7.1
18 Bayreuth2952417%81.089.6-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1219241469
Bayern1315222878
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