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Crailsheim Merlins vs Wurzburg Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Apr 2023
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 85-86
24-20 25-16 18-31 18-19
Position#14
Record10-18
FormWLWWL
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game89.6
vs
Position#11
Record14-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game83.4
GermanyBBLRound 28
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Wurzburg
23 Dec 2023
CME96
WUR98
15 Apr 2023
CME85
WUR86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
79-92
79
92
-13
70avg 78
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
73avg 78
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
80avg 78
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
86-94
86
94
-8
81avg 78
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
79-86
79
86
-7
70avg 78
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
76-68
76
68
+8
70avg 78
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
82-93
82
93
-11
72avg 78
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
93-88
93
88
+5
91avg 78
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
78-73
78
73
+5
75avg 78
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
77-82
77
82
-5
74avg 78
A08/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
24-25
18-22
19-21
16-16
24-27
19-23
26-25
22-32
22-30
13-17
26-22
22-27
21-20
16-24
27-23
15-21
17-19
22-20
25-26
22-14
10-23
15-22
29-9
30-22
16-23
21-24
15-24
30-21
21-23
23-27
19-17
14-20
22-24
14-17
28-12
18-12
19-29
20-21
20-20
168.6Avg total
81.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)85.989.6175.5-3.836%
Season at home (13)89.588.2177.6+1.354%
Season away (15)82.890.9173.7-8.120%
Last 10 (10)81.886.8168.6-5.030%
Last 5 (5)81.280.8162.0+0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)83.792.5176.2-8.817%
vs Similar ◀ (15)87.388.1175.3-0.847%
vs Weaker (3)91.077.7168.7+13.3100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
90-56
90
56
+34
83avg 69
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
83-98
83
98
-15
75avg 69
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
90-71
90
71
+19
88avg 69
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
62-82
62
82
-20
55avg 69
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
62avg 69
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
96-89 OT
96
89
+7
no box
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
76-72
76
72
+4
66avg 69
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
no box
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
47-76
47
76
-29
26avg 69
A05/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
49-67
49
67
-18
38avg 69
H10/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
24-15
10-19
31-4
21-30
20-23
26-20
16-25
23-23
24-17
19-14
24-17
20-12
11-27
12-20
19-23
21-27
24-27
15-23
13-17
23-19
24-25
14-19
17-15
13-20
23-18
17-13
23-21
22-20
16-26
26-21
24-21
9-19
9-22
14-15
15-20
12-18
9-22
14-7
14-20
157.6Avg total
77.2Scored
80.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)81.683.4165.1-1.850%
Season at home (14)82.581.1163.6+1.450%
Season away (14)80.885.7166.5-4.950%
Last 10 (10)77.280.4157.6-3.250%
Last 5 (5)74.880.6155.4-5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.082.0151.0-13.022%
vs Similar ◀ (17)86.583.9170.4+2.659%
vs Weaker (2)97.586.0183.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
Crailsheim MerlinsWurzburg
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gottingen
#7
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A11/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H14/02
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
44-62
44
62
-18
A02/03
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A05/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A12/03
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H18/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A26/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H01/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H05/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/04
BBL
85.5Avg total
40.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.544.086.5-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.843.985.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)43.144.287.2-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.345.285.5-4.920%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.282.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)39.346.585.8-7.217%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.243.087.2+1.260%-
vs Weaker (3)46.339.385.7+7.067%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hamburg
#15
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H06/02
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A12/02
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/02
BBL
Ulm
#4
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H03/03
BBL
Bonn
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A11/03
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H17/03
BBL
Rostock
#8
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A25/03
BBL
Bamberg
#9
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A01/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
18-41
18
41
-23
A05/04
BBL
Bayern
#3
L
21-40
21
40
-19
H10/04
BBL
80.1Avg total
37.3Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.143.184.2-2.048%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.341.183.4+1.167%-
Last 30 away (14)39.945.285.1-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)37.342.880.1-5.530%-
Last 5 (5)32.041.873.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.143.779.8-7.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)42.842.284.9+0.653%-
vs Weaker (2)48.548.597.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.2
57.2%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
35.4%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.715.7
84.0%
75.8%15.7
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.619.6
48.3%
54.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.6
36.2%
35.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws14.19.9
70.2%
75.8%9.9
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Apr 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWWLWLLLLL
Wurzburg
LLWWWLLWLW
#14
League position
#11
-7.4
Net rating
-7.7
110.8
Offensive rating
101.3
118.3
Defensive rating
109.0
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
18.4%
Turnover %
19.9%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
35.1%
3-point %
36.2%
59.2%
Assist %
48.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 101.3Defence118.3 · 109.0Shooting55.1% · 50.3%3-point %35.1% · 36.2%Ball care18.4% · 19.9%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.3%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Wurzburg
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
1
Wurzburg wins
DateGameScore
26/12/22Wurzburg v Crailsheim Merlins87-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/23ALudwigsburg77-82
05/04/23HBayreuth78-73
01/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig93-88
26/03/23AHeidelberg82-93
18/03/23HUlm76-68
12/03/23ARostock79-86
05/03/23AOldenburg86-94
02/03/23ABonn83-101
14/02/23HAlba Berlin85-91
11/02/23AGottingen79-92
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/23HBayern49-67
05/04/23AAlba Berlin47-76
01/04/23ABamberg106-99 OT
25/03/23ARostock76-72
17/03/23HBayreuth96-89 OT
11/03/23ABonn73-94
03/03/23HUlm62-82
15/02/23HHeidelberg90-71
12/02/23ASyntainics MBC83-98
06/02/23HHamburg90-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL36%
HomeLLWWW54%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %36%54%20%
Points / game85.989.582.8
Allowed / game89.688.290.9
Point differential-3.8+1.3-8.1
Avg total175.5177.6173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%15%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wurzburg
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL50%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.682.580.8
Allowed / game83.481.185.7
Point differential-1.8+1.4-4.9
Avg total165.1163.6166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)25% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %11%14%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn2826293%89.172.5+16.6
2 Alba Berlin2826293%88.577.1+11.4
3 Bayern2721678%81.474.0+7.5
4 Oldenburg28171161%85.283.0+2.2
5 Gottingen26151158%87.187.2-0.0
6 Ludwigsburg28161257%87.185.2+1.9
7 Ulm27151256%87.984.6+3.3
8 Wurzburg28141450%81.683.4-1.8
9 Bamberg29141548%87.787.4+0.2
10 Rostock28131546%83.287.5-4.3
11 Heidelberg28121643%87.290.0-2.8
12 Chemnitz28111739%82.983.3-0.4
13 Crailsheim Merlins28101836%85.989.6-3.8
14 Hamburg28101836%81.585.4-3.9
15 Syntainics MBC2791833%82.588.1-5.6
16 Basketball Braunschweig2781930%79.884.7-4.9
17 Frankfurt2772026%78.986.6-7.7
18 Bayreuth2852318%80.889.1-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins2425181885
Wurzburg2016311986
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