Gimnasia vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 93-68

26-19 26-18 18-12 23-19

Position#3

Record24-15

FormLWLWW

Points / game83.3

Allowed / game76.8

Gimnasia 🏆

Libertad

Position#6

Record25-18

FormWLLWW

Points / game82.8

Allowed / game79.0

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Gimnasia v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gimnasia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Gimnasia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

50-52

-2

A05/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

69-81

-12

A08/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

73-69

H15/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

91-85

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

86-71

+15

H20/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

92-97 OT

-5

A25/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

85-70

+15

A28/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

78-85

-7

A01/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

107-80

107

+27

H05/03

Liga A

Penarol

101-84

101

+17

H08/03

Liga A

11-11

10-15

16-12

13-14

14-22

14-16

26-21

15-22

30-18

15-22

13-18

15-11

23-19

22-15

23-30

23-21

20-20

20-15

21-23

25-13

25-14

23-18

14-30

19-19

19-20

23-13

19-15

24-22

22-17

12-16

25-24

19-28

20-18

26-21

32-22

29-19

24-17

22-25

36-14

19-28

160.6Avg total

83.2Scored

77.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	83.3	76.8	160.1	+6.5	62%
Season at home (19)	89.5	77.0	166.5	+12.5	84%
Season away (20)	77.3	76.5	153.9	+0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	83.2	77.4	160.6	+5.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	92.6	83.2	175.8	+9.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	79.4	73.7	153.1	+5.8	56%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	79.5	75.2	154.7	+4.3	55%

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

70-79

-9

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

80-93

-13

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

85-67

+18

H10/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

95-77

+18

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

75-79

-4

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

83-73

+10

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

89-101

101

-12

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

88-101

101

-13

A28/02

Liga A

Regatas

89-80

H02/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

100-83

100

+17

H11/03

Liga A

16-19

15-16

25-19

14-25

15-26

27-25

23-20

15-22

14-10

36-15

20-20

27-9

21-19

24-25

23-24

13-13

20-23

24-24

18-19

23-24

16-11

17-12

27-26

15-21

30-30

26-21

18-29

27-23

17-31

23-28

21-19

22-13

11-28

29-17

27-22

15-22

26-13

31-27

28-21

168.7Avg total

85.4Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	82.8	79.0	161.8	+3.9	58%
Season at home (22)	87.6	74.3	161.9	+13.3	86%
Season away (21)	77.8	83.8	161.6	-6.0	29%
Last 10 (10)	85.4	83.3	168.7	+2.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.8	87.6	177.4	+2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar (26)	81.7	81.8	163.5	-0.0	42%
vs Weaker (2)	92.5	70.5	163.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

GimnasiaLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.2	37.9	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.1	19.0	35.1	-2.9	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.2	39.2	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.2	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.7	36.9	+1.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	15.8	36.6	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.2	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	19.2	38.0	-0.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	25.0	13.0	38.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar (26)	18.7	18.2	36.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.7	18.1	37.8	+1.6	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.9	33.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	17.6	36.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.4	16.9	35.3	+1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	18.9	17.6	36.5	+1.3	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.8	18.9	38.8	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	21.0	41.4	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (26)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	14.0	38.5	+10.5	50%	-

GimnasiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

21-26

-5

A05/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

28-38

-10

A08/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

45-40

H15/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

45-34

+11

H17/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

40-35

H20/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

48-32

+16

A25/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

42-33

A28/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

34-33

A01/03

Liga A

San Lorenzo

46-39

H05/03

Liga A

Penarol

46-42

H08/03

Liga A

74.7Avg total

39.5Scored

35.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.1	35.6	72.6	+1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	35.3	75.8	+5.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.2	35.9	69.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	35.2	74.7	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	35.8	79.0	+7.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	36.0	36.3	72.3	-0.3	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	37.8	35.1	72.9	+2.6	55%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

31-35

-4

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

42-51

-9

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

29-32

-3

H10/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

48-28

+20

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

33-36

-3

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

39-35

A20/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

45-51

-6

A26/02

Liga A

Penarol

44-54

-10

A28/02

Liga A

Regatas

33-41

-8

H02/03

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

41-35

H11/03

Liga A

78.3Avg total

38.5Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.3	37.6	76.9	+1.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.8	75.3	+5.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	40.8	78.7	-2.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	39.8	78.3	-1.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.2	83.6	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	46.0	33.0	79.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar (26)	38.4	38.5	76.8	-0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	30.5	77.0	+16.0	100%	-

This opponent (Gimnasia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	18.5	41.7	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.9	19.6	43.5	+4.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.9	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.0	46.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	25.3	19.2	44.6	+6.1	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	18.6	40.8	+3.5	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	18.2	41.8	+5.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.4	22.1	44.4	+0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	20.8	46.6	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.0	46.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (26)	23.1	19.9	43.0	+3.2	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	16.5	44.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.3	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.9	18.9	38.8	+1.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	20.7	37.8	-3.6	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.7	39.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.1	18.1	36.2	+0.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	23.4	43.2	-3.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.0	23.2	45.2	-1.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	23.6	40.8	-6.5	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	22.7	43.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	23.4	47.6	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	20.0	23.1	43.1	-3.1	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.3	80.0	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.9	38.4	82.3	+5.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.3	38.1	77.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.6	40.6	83.2	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	44.2	91.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	43.4	37.3	80.8	+6.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.2	39.2	80.4	+2.0	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	43.4	86.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.6	41.4	87.1	+4.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.5	45.7	85.2	-6.2	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.9	43.5	90.4	+3.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.4	44.4	93.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	41.0	49.0	90.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (26)	43.1	43.0	86.1	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Gimnasia wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
14/01/16	Libertad v Gimnasia	87-82
23/02/15	Libertad v Gimnasia	84-92
17/01/15	Gimnasia v Libertad	84-78
24/02/14	Gimnasia v Libertad	91-83
09/12/13	Libertad v Gimnasia	69-61
02/02/13	Gimnasia v Libertad	99-79
17/11/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	67-66
14/04/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	74-81
12/04/12	Gimnasia v Libertad	81-85
07/04/12	Libertad v Gimnasia	72-88

Gimnasialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/03/16	H	Penarol	101-84
05/03/16	H	San Lorenzo	107-80
01/03/16	A	San Lorenzo	78-85
28/02/16	A	Ferro	85-70
25/02/16	A	Boca Juniors	92-97 OT
20/02/16	H	Lanus	86-71
17/02/16	H	Instituto de Cordoba	91-85
15/02/16	H	Atenas	73-69
08/02/16	A	Atenas	69-81
05/02/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	50-52

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/16	H	Boca Juniors	100-83
02/03/16	H	Regatas	89-80
28/02/16	A	Penarol	88-101
26/02/16	A	Quilmes	89-101
20/02/16	A	Argentino	83-73
18/02/16	A	Weber Bahia	75-79
13/02/16	H	Ferro	95-77
10/02/16	H	San Martin	85-67
04/02/16	A	Atenas	80-93
02/02/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	70-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gimnasia

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWW	62%
Home	WWWWW	84%
Away	LLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	19	20
Win %	62%	84%	40%
Points / game	83.3	89.5	77.3
Allowed / game	76.8	77.0	76.5
Point differential	+6.5	+12.5	+0.8
Avg total	160.1	166.5	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	53%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	42% (12)	80% (5)	14% (7)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWW	58%
Home	WWWWW	86%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	58%	86%	29%
Points / game	82.8	87.6	77.8
Allowed / game	79.0	74.3	83.8
Point differential	+3.9	+13.3	-6.0
Avg total	161.8	161.9	161.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	59%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	80% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	42	29	13	69%	82.9	76.2	+6.7
2	Gimnasia	39	24	15	62%	83.3	76.8	+6.5
3	Libertad	43	25	18	58%	82.8	79.0	+3.9
4	Penarol	42	24	18	57%	84.7	83.4	+1.3
5	La Union	44	25	19	57%	79.9	78.4	+1.5
6	Quimsa	39	22	17	56%	80.6	77.9	+2.7
7	San Lorenzo	44	24	20	55%	83.9	80.3	+3.6
8	San Martin	43	22	21	51%	85.0	84.1	+0.9
9	Obras Sanitarias	43	22	21	51%	83.6	83.8	-0.2
10	Regatas	42	21	21	50%	80.5	79.3	+1.2
11	Estudiantes	43	21	22	49%	74.3	78.9	-4.6
12	Weber Bahia	41	20	21	49%	74.6	78.0	-3.4
13	Instituto de Cordoba	44	21	23	48%	76.4	76.5	-0.1
14	Quilmes	43	19	24	44%	79.8	81.2	-1.4
15	Boca Juniors	44	19	25	43%	79.4	80.9	-1.5
16	Ferro	44	19	25	43%	76.9	79.7	-2.8
17	Lanus	42	17	25	40%	79.7	82.2	-2.5
18	Atenas	45	18	27	40%	76.5	79.2	-2.7
19	Argentino	40	16	24	40%	77.5	81.1	-3.6
20	Sionista	41	16	25	39%	76.9	81.9	-5.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Gimnasia	26	26	18	23	93
Libertad	19	18	12	19	68

← all games of the day

Gimnasia vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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