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Libertad vs Boca Juniors Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 11 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 100-83
15-22 26-13 31-27 28-21
Position#6
Record24-18
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#18
Record19-24
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game80.4
ArgentinaLiga A
Other2015-16
Meetings · Libertad v Boca Juniors
14 Feb 2021
LIBE66
BOCA81
03 Dec 2019
LIBE67
BOCA91
07 Dec 2018
LIBE56
BOCA79
28 Jan 2017
LIBE84
BOCA73
10 Mar 2016
LIBE100
BOCA83
09 Apr 2015
LIBE81
BOCA86
13 Jan 2014
LIBE86
BOCA67
18 Dec 2012
LIBE91
BOCA97
16 Dec 2011
LIBE96
BOCA82
25 Mar 2011
LIBE94
BOCA55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Libertad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boca Juniors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LibertadArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#1
W
85-81
85
81
+4
H30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A02/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
80-93
80
93
-13
A04/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H10/02
Liga A
Ferro
#15
W
95-77
95
77
+18
H13/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A18/02
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
83-73
83
73
+10
A20/02
Liga A
Quilmes
#17
L
89-101
89
101
-12
A26/02
Liga A
Penarol
#4
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A28/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H02/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-18
24-20
21-12
29-31
16-19
15-16
25-19
14-25
15-26
27-25
23-20
15-22
15-22
14-10
36-15
20-20
27-9
21-19
24-25
23-24
13-13
20-23
24-24
18-19
23-24
16-11
17-12
27-26
15-21
30-30
26-21
18-29
27-23
17-31
23-28
21-19
22-13
11-28
29-17
27-22
167.0Avg total
83.9Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)82.478.9161.3+3.557%
Season at home (21)87.073.9160.9+13.186%
Season away (21)77.883.8161.6-6.029%
Last 10 (10)83.983.1167.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)84.886.8171.6-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.082.0169.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (26)81.981.1163.0+0.842%
vs Weaker (2)92.570.5163.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#9
L
72-80
72
80
-8
H08/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H13/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
L
89-99
89
99
-10
A18/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A20/02
Liga A
La Union
#7
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A22/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
97-92 OT
97
92
+5
H25/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H28/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H29/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
L
46-84
46
84
-38
A07/03
Liga A
Sionista
#20
W
81-76
81
76
+5
A09/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
18-27
17-9
16-25
25-18
19-11
26-20
19-20
23-20
19-19
20-29
27-31
21-21
16-17
27-19
15-23
16-22
10-17
13-14
22-17
14-25
18-23
30-14
19-19
21-29
14-12
25-25
23-22
17-22
11-12
20-14
23-16
13-15
12-21
4-20
17-28
19-20
19-23
22-16
21-17
157.0Avg total
76.8Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)79.380.4159.7-1.144%
Season at home (22)84.879.0163.8+5.959%
Season away (21)73.682.0155.5-8.429%
Last 10 (10)76.880.2157.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)75.680.8156.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.488.0166.4-9.620%
vs Similar ◀ (25)78.879.1158.0-0.348%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
LibertadBoca Juniors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#1
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H30/01
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A02/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H10/02
Liga A
Ferro
#15
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/02
Liga A
Weber Bahia
#5
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A18/02
Liga A
Argentino
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A20/02
Liga A
Quilmes
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A26/02
Liga A
Penarol
#4
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A28/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H02/03
Liga A
78.0Avg total
37.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.577.2+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.234.775.9+6.669%-
Last 30 away (14)37.940.878.7-2.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.940.178.0-2.220%-
Last 5 (5)38.843.482.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.033.079.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (26)38.838.477.2+0.442%-
vs Weaker (2)46.530.577.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H08/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#19
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H13/02
Liga A
Regatas
#9
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A18/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/02
Liga A
La Union
#7
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A22/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H25/02
Liga A
San Martin
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H28/02
Liga A
Atenas
#14
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H29/02
Liga A
Estudiantes
#11
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A07/03
Liga A
Sionista
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
Liga A
73.9Avg total
34.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.938.874.7-2.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.337.175.4+1.147%-
Last 30 away (15)33.540.473.9-6.920%-
Last 10 (10)34.639.373.9-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)31.640.472.0-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.443.076.4-9.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)36.437.974.3-1.536%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Libertad wins
6
Boca Juniors wins
Libertadlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/16HRegatas89-80
28/02/16APenarol88-101
26/02/16AQuilmes89-101
20/02/16AArgentino83-73
18/02/16AWeber Bahia75-79
13/02/16HFerro95-77
10/02/16HSan Martin85-67
04/02/16AAtenas80-93
02/02/16AInstituto de Cordoba70-79
30/01/16HOlimpico85-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/16ASionista81-76
07/03/16AEstudiantes46-84
29/02/16HAtenas71-64
28/02/16HSan Martin83-88
25/02/16HGimnasia97-92 OT
22/02/16ALa Union61-70
20/02/16ASan Martin79-80
18/02/16ARegatas89-99
13/02/16HInstituto de Cordoba89-69
08/02/16HRegatas72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Libertad
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %57%86%29%
Points / game82.487.077.8
Allowed / game78.973.983.8
Point differential+3.5+13.1-6.0
Avg total161.3160.9161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%57%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Boca Juniors
Liga A 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayLLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432221
Win %44%59%29%
Points / game79.384.873.6
Allowed / game80.479.082.0
Point differential-1.1+5.9-8.4
Avg total159.7163.8155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%32%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)33% (9)50% (8)
Overtime %16%23%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpico41291271%82.975.9+7.0
2 Gimnasia39241562%83.376.8+6.5
3 Quimsa37221559%81.077.8+3.2
4 Penarol40231757%83.382.5+0.8
5 Libertad42241857%82.478.9+3.5
6 San Lorenzo43241956%84.380.4+3.9
7 La Union42231955%79.878.5+1.2
8 Obras Sanitarias41221954%83.482.9+0.6
9 San Martin42222052%85.484.2+1.2
10 Estudiantes41202149%74.079.0-5.0
11 Regatas40192148%80.379.4+0.9
12 Weber Bahia40192148%74.277.9-3.6
13 Instituto de Cordoba43202347%76.176.5-0.4
14 Ferro42192345%76.779.0-2.4
15 Boca Juniors43192444%79.380.4-1.1
16 Quilmes41172441%79.481.2-1.8
17 Atenas43172640%76.078.9-2.9
18 Argentino38152339%77.881.3-3.5
19 Lanus41162539%79.682.6-3.0
20 Sionista39152438%75.981.1-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Libertad15263128100
Boca Juniors2213272183
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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