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Ginasio vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 77-87
30-20 19-19 14-18 14-30
Position#8
Record11-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game81.2
Ginasio
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record22-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game66.6
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v CD Povoa
04 Apr 2026
GINA77
CD P87
13 Dec 2025
GINA69
CD P90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Ginasio
Needs player box scores: 6 games per player in the last year.
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 78.4
86.0▲ 7.6
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.8
89.0▲ 7.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
60%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.0
18.0▲ 3.0
🔥 Form · CD Povoa
3.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.8
83.8▼ 0.0
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 69.7
66.0▼ 3.7
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 53%
49%▼ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 17.5
19.6▲ 2.1
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
92-65
92
65
+27
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
H21/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A28/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
81-109
81
109
-28
H29/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-17
15-13
20-19
25-29
22-24
17-25
18-20
16-25
18-21
33-22
7-18
20-27
19-19
27-12
20-16
16-20
27-34
12-21
18-7
8-15
26-17
19-14
25-17
22-17
22-24
28-23
22-27
19-15
18-27
20-25
25-18
23-25
18-24
22-19
15-18
25-26
18-29
16-20
28-32
19-28
164.9Avg total
80.0Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.881.2159.0-3.446%
Season at home (12)78.277.6155.8+0.758%
Season away (12)77.384.8162.1-7.433%
Last 10 (10)80.084.9164.9-4.930%
Last 5 (5)86.089.0175.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)78.787.0165.7-8.328%
vs Similar (6)76.779.0155.7-2.333%
vs Weaker (6)81.371.3152.7+10.083%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
70-75
70
75
-5
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
94-58
94
58
+36
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-48
75
48
+27
H28/03
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-11
20-27
12-19
21-12
19-16
34-18
13-19
23-6
14-15
16-20
24-9
21-24
21-18
22-33
18-7
27-20
17-25
10-21
18-18
25-11
22-27
25-12
16-21
22-16
14-15
22-22
11-13
19-16
32-14
19-15
23-19
20-10
19-17
29-10
23-23
19-19
18-12
17-13
22-14
18-9
149.1Avg total
81.2Scored
67.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)85.266.6151.8+18.792%
Season at home (12)86.763.6150.2+23.1100%
Season away (12)83.869.6153.4+14.283%
Last 10 (10)81.267.9149.1+13.380%
Last 5 (5)83.866.0149.8+17.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)72.284.6156.8-12.420%
vs Similar (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)85.266.6151.8+18.792%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +7.2+7.2
GinasioCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/01
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A15/02
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H21/02
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A01/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H07/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A14/03
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H21/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A28/03
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H29/03
Proliga
83.9Avg total
40.9Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.740.180.8+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.838.178.9+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.542.182.7-1.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.943.083.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.485.8-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)39.643.382.8-3.728%-
vs Similar (6)41.839.281.0+2.783%-
vs Weaker (6)42.831.774.5+11.2100%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/02
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H15/02
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A21/02
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/03
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A07/03
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H14/03
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
48-27
48
27
+21
A22/03
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H28/03
Proliga
76.9Avg total
40.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.835.276.9+6.663%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.133.978.1+10.279%-
Last 30 away (16)39.736.275.9+3.450%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.176.9+4.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.431.474.8+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.241.476.6-6.220%-
vs Similar (1)41.048.089.0-7.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.233.376.5+9.875%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.822.8
53.3%
50.0%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.7
33.3%
30.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws15.810.9
69.0%
67.4%10.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.024.6
49.2%
50.0%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.96.7
29.3%
30.3%20.1
🏀 Free throws20.111.2
55.7%
67.4%11.2
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
LLLWWLWLLL
CD Povoa
WWWLWLWWWW
#8
League position
#1
-5.0
Net rating
+13.8
90.7
Offensive rating
86.6
95.7
Defensive rating
72.8
52.1%
Effective FG%
47.5%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.3%
3-point %
29.3%
54.1%
Assist %
55.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 86.6Defence95.7 · 72.8Shooting52.1% · 47.5%3-point %33.3% · 29.3%Ball care16.8% · 14.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Ginasio   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ginasio wins
3
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
15/02/26CD Povoa v Ginasio88-78
13/12/25Ginasio v CD Povoa69-90
25/10/25CD Povoa v Ginasio87-75
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HMaia81-109
28/03/26AMaia80-87
21/03/26HCAB Madeira86-95
14/03/26APortimonense91-89
07/03/26HIlliabum92-65
01/03/26AImortal B65-77
21/02/26HGinasio Olhanense82-67
15/02/26ACD Povoa78-88
31/01/26ACAB Madeira73-94
24/01/26HPortimonense72-78
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/26HIlliabum75-48
22/03/26AImortal B90-69
14/03/26HGinasio Olhanense94-58
07/03/26APortimonense75-79 OT
01/03/26HMaia85-76
21/02/26ACAB Madeira70-75
15/02/26HGinasio88-78
07/02/26AIlliabum75-68
01/02/26HImortal B89-59
25/01/26AGinasio Olhanense71-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL46%
HomeLWWLL58%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %46%58%33%
Points / game77.878.277.3
Allowed / game81.277.684.8
Point differential-3.4+0.7-7.4
Avg total159.0155.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game85.286.783.8
Allowed / game66.663.669.6
Point differential+18.7+23.1+14.2
Avg total151.8150.2153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%83%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa2422292%85.266.6+18.7
2 CAB Madeira2420483%84.474.8+9.7
3 Lusitania2517868%82.674.8+7.8
4 Portimonense2416867%81.076.1+4.9
5 Galomar2516964%83.878.2+5.7
6 Illiabum2415962%75.970.8+5.1
7 Maia25151060%83.974.7+9.2
8 Imortal B24131154%77.880.4-2.6
9 Ginasio24111346%77.881.2-3.4
10 Ginasio Olhanense23101343%78.578.6-0.1
11 Sampaense2491538%68.477.4-9.0
12 Benfica Lisboa B2581732%70.973.2-2.3
13 Santo Andre2581732%73.077.1-4.1
14 CB Queluz2461825%69.280.5-11.4
15 Sangalhos2451921%71.285.6-14.3
16 Academica2432112%64.078.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio3019141477
CD Povoa2019183087
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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