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CD Povoa vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-75
19-19 24-21 22-17 22-18
Position#1
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Position#8
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game63.7
PortugalProligaRound 4· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Ginasio
15 Feb 2026
CD P88
GINA78
25 Oct 2025
CD P87
GINA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
76avg 63
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
57-84
57
84
-27
40avg 63
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
81-71
81
71
+10
72avg 63
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
85-106
85
106
-21
78avg 63
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
65avg 63
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
61-68
61
68
-7
47avg 63
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 63
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 63
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 63
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
26-22
12-18
19-12
15-22
20-20
12-21
10-21
17-15
21-21
19-27
24-8
27-25
15-22
18-28
25-31
13-21
18-22
21-22
25-29
15-20
15-19
17-11
14-18
20-24
21-24
17-15
23-22
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
158.0Avg total
80.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)91.766.3158.0+25.3100%
Season at home (1)80.056.0136.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)97.571.5169.0+26.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.177.9158.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)83.470.4153.8+13.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)69.681.4151.0-11.917%
vs Similar (8)82.183.5165.6-1.425%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)91.766.3158.0+25.3100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
59-74
59
74
-15
46avg 67
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
no box
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 67
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
83-79
83
79
+4
78avg 67
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
64avg 67
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
L
74-88
74
88
-14
66avg 67
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
L
92-95
92
95
-3
84avg 67
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 67
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 67
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 67
H19/10
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-18
17-20
16-23
16-13
23-25
26-25
23-23
21-22
22-19
21-20
16-20
19-24
19-27
27-16
15-21
22-15
23-22
19-14
17-24
19-20
17-21
18-10
18-28
21-29
30-30
25-21
17-28
20-16
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
157.3Avg total
78.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)77.063.7140.7+13.3100%
Season at home (2)75.058.5133.5+16.5100%
Season away (1)81.074.0155.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.878.5157.3+0.340%
Last 5 (5)79.474.8154.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)82.892.9175.7-10.231%
vs Similar (11)82.382.3164.5+0.036%
vs Weaker (5)74.468.8143.2+5.680%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +5.5+5.5Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -5.6-5.6Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
CD PovoaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galomar
#12
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A15/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A29/03
LPB
Vitoria
#9
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H05/04
LPB
Benfica
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#1
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A12/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H19/04
LPB
Imortal
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A26/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
79.3Avg total
41.2Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.639.478.0-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.538.876.3-1.454%-
Last 30 away (17)39.539.879.3-0.447%-
Last 10 (10)41.238.179.3+3.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)36.839.175.8-2.344%-
vs Similar (8)40.543.684.1-3.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)47.328.075.3+19.3100%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos Aveiro
#16
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A15/03
Proliga
Santo Andre
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H22/03
Proliga
Barreirense
#13
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A29/03
Proliga
Sampaense
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H05/04
Proliga
Benfica Lisboa B
#12
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A18/04
Proliga
Maia
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A25/04
Proliga
Lusitania
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H04/05
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
80.6Avg total
42.7Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.143.385.4-1.233%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.240.483.6+2.844%-
Last 30 away (14)40.946.687.6-5.721%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.980.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.034.678.6+9.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)43.249.592.6-6.315%-
vs Similar (11)43.540.584.0+3.155%-
vs Weaker (5)37.432.469.8+5.040%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.920.9
51.1%
50.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.67.4
30.1%
30.3%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.212.4
64.6%
67.4%12.4
They take 65.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.821.6
57.1%
50.0%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.8%
30.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws19.013.0
68.4%
67.4%13.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWLLLLWLW
Ginasio
WWWLLLWLLL
#1
League position
#8
-2.2
Net rating
-1.4
99.6
Offensive rating
102.8
101.8
Defensive rating
104.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.4%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
26.9%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.1%
3-point %
27.8%
50.9%
Assist %
53.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 102.8Defence101.8 · 104.2Shooting48.9% · 51.5%3-point %30.1% · 27.8%Ball care20.0% · 19.4%Off. rebounds31.2% · 26.9%Free throws0.29 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CD Povoa wins
0
Ginasio wins
No previous meetings.
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56
26/04/25AImortal81-85
19/04/25HOliveirense61-68
12/04/25ABenfica77-94
09/04/25ABenfica85-106
05/04/25HVitoria81-71
29/03/25ASporting CP57-84
15/03/25AGalomar84-72
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
04/05/25HLusitania92-95
25/04/25AMaia74-88
18/04/25ABenfica Lisboa B78-80
05/04/25HSampaense83-79
29/03/25ABarreirense78-83
22/03/25HSanto Andre93-95
15/03/25AGalitos Aveiro59-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.780.097.5
Allowed / game66.356.071.5
Point differential+25.3+24.0+26.0
Avg total158.0136.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.075.081.0
Allowed / game63.758.574.0
Point differential+13.3+16.5+7.0
Avg total140.7133.5155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa330100%91.766.3+25.3
2 Illiabum330100%81.363.3+18.0
3 Portimonense330100%84.770.3+14.3
4 CAB Madeira330100%86.372.3+14.0
5 Ginasio330100%77.063.7+13.3
6 Galomar32167%87.380.3+7.0
7 Benfica Lisboa B32167%76.774.0+2.7
8 Sampaense32167%79.385.7-6.3
9 Imortal B21150%76.572.0+4.5
10 Maia31233%79.379.3+0.0
11 Ginasio Olhanense31233%77.781.7-4.0
12 Lusitania3030%70.380.7-10.3
13 Santo Andre4040%75.088.0-13.0
14 Sangalhos3030%61.776.3-14.7
15 CB Queluz3030%68.388.0-19.7
16 Academica3030%57.783.0-25.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa1924222287
Ginasio1921171875
← all games of the day
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