PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

CD Povoa vs Ginasio Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 88-78
21-18 22-33 18-7 27-20
Position#1
Record17-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game65.6
CD Povoa 🏆
Portugal
vs
Ginasio
Portugal
Position#8
Record8-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.4
PortugalProligaRound 4· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2025-26
Meetings · CD Povoa v Ginasio
15 Feb 2026
CD P88
GINA78
25 Oct 2025
CD P87
GINA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 72
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 72
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 72
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 72
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-70
76
70
+6
70avg 72
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-66
89
66
+23
78avg 72
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 72
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 72
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
89-59
89
59
+30
81avg 72
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
75-68
75
68
+7
62avg 72
A07/02
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
18-15
17-17
24-15
31-22
11-11
25-16
20-25
20-18
21-16
24-21
20-18
24-11
23-23
23-16
16-14
20-19
18-11
20-27
12-19
21-12
19-16
34-18
13-19
23-6
14-15
16-20
24-9
21-24
149.5Avg total
82.7Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)86.465.6152.0+20.8100%
Season at home (8)87.262.9150.1+24.4100%
Season away (9)85.768.0153.7+17.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.766.8149.5+15.9100%
Last 5 (5)81.266.8148.0+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)72.082.6154.6-10.612%
vs Similar (4)85.888.0173.8-2.225%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.465.6152.0+20.8100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
57-83
57
83
-26
41avg 66
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
98avg 66
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 66
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
97-83
97
83
+14
95avg 66
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
69-90
69
90
-21
52avg 66
H13/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
L
76-85 OT
76
85
-9
66avg 66
A20/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
66-96
66
96
-30
47avg 66
A03/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
66-93
66
93
-27
51avg 66
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
72-78
72
78
-6
61avg 66
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 66
A31/01
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-26
9-15
18-20
18-22
20-12
35-25
17-16
17-21
22-16
22-20
13-28
24-9
19-21
25-22
21-17
32-23
15-18
17-17
15-24
22-31
18-12
18-19
20-24
15-16
14-24
17-27
15-27
20-18
19-23
18-25
16-26
13-19
12-17
15-13
20-19
25-29
22-24
17-25
18-20
16-25
159.5Avg total
74.6Scored
84.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.879.4155.2-3.750%
Season at home (8)74.874.4149.1+0.462%
Season away (8)76.884.5161.2-7.838%
Last 10 (10)74.684.9159.5-10.330%
Last 5 (5)70.689.2159.8-18.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)77.988.1166.0-10.129%
vs Similar (8)79.481.5160.9-2.138%
vs Weaker (8)78.872.4151.1+6.475%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.5+5.5Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -4.8-4.8Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.1-1.1
CD PovoaGinasio
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A13/12
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H20/12
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A03/01
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H10/01
Proliga
Ginasio Olhanense
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/01
Proliga
Imortal B
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H01/02
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
30-35
30
35
-5
A07/02
Proliga
76.4Avg total
42.3Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.078.4+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.736.279.8+7.569%-
Last 30 away (17)39.537.777.2+1.853%-
Last 10 (10)42.334.176.4+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.436.679.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.540.978.4-3.438%-
vs Similar (4)40.248.088.2-7.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)44.132.176.2+11.982%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illiabum
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/12
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A20/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A03/01
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H10/01
Proliga
Portimonense
#6
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H24/01
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A31/01
Proliga
76.7Avg total
36.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.140.580.5-0.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.778.1+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.743.282.9-3.540%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.176.7-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.041.875.8-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.944.983.8-5.914%-
vs Similar (8)41.839.681.4+2.162%-
vs Weaker (8)40.433.674.0+6.875%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.023.3
53.0%
50.0%46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
30.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws22.513.2
58.7%
67.4%13.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.922.3
50.8%
50.0%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.75.5
27.9%
30.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.5
70.6%
67.4%12.5
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
Ginasio
LLLLLLWWWL
#1
League position
#8
+20.0
Net rating
-13.6
98.5
Offensive rating
91.8
78.5
Defensive rating
105.4
51.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
40.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
17.9%
Turnover %
18.7%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.6%
3-point %
27.9%
51.4%
Assist %
49.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 91.8Defence78.5 · 105.4Shooting51.5% · 48.0%3-point %32.6% · 27.9%Ball care17.9% · 18.7%Off. rebounds36.8% · 25.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)100% · 30%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Ginasio
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CD Povoa wins
0
Ginasio wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Ginasio v CD Povoa69-90
25/10/25CD Povoa v Ginasio87-75
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26AIlliabum75-68
01/02/26HImortal B89-59
25/01/26AGinasio Olhanense71-69
10/01/26HLusitania82-72
03/01/26AAcademica89-66
20/12/25HIlliabum76-70
13/12/25AGinasio90-69
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26ACAB Madeira73-94
24/01/26HPortimonense72-78
10/01/26HIlliabum66-93
03/01/26AMaia66-96
20/12/25ASampaense76-85 OT
13/12/25HCD Povoa69-90
06/12/25ASangalhos97-83
30/11/25HLusitania81-73
22/11/25AAcademica89-74
15/11/25AIlliabum57-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.487.285.7
Allowed / game65.662.968.0
Point differential+20.8+24.4+17.7
Avg total152.0150.1153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%88%78%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWLLL62%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game75.874.876.8
Allowed / game79.474.484.5
Point differential-3.7+0.4-7.8
Avg total155.2149.1161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa17170100%86.465.6+20.8
2 CAB Madeira1815383%84.672.7+11.8
3 Illiabum1813572%78.368.7+9.6
4 Portimonense1712571%81.374.8+6.5
5 Imortal B1711665%78.978.6+0.2
6 Maia1710759%82.273.8+8.5
7 Galomar1710759%86.781.9+4.8
8 Lusitania179853%79.975.1+4.8
9 Sampaense179853%72.276.2-3.9
10 Ginasio Olhanense189950%79.876.1+3.7
11 Ginasio168850%75.879.4-3.7
12 Benfica Lisboa B1751229%70.273.7-3.5
13 Santo Andre1851328%74.080.7-6.7
14 Sangalhos1831517%70.486.9-16.5
15 CB Queluz171166%69.486.4-17.1
16 Academica171166%62.481.9-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa2122182788
Ginasio183372078
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.