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Ginasio vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 69-90
15-18 17-17 15-24 22-31
Position#8
Record8-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game64.2
PortugalProligaRound 11· Pavilhão Galamba Marques
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ginasio v CD Povoa
04 Apr 2026
GINA77
CD P87
13 Dec 2025
GINA69
CD P90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ginasio winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GinasioPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGinasio
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
85-67
85
67
+18
81avg 68
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-74
81
74
+7
41avg 68
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
65-50
65
50
+15
15avg 68
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
75-87
75
87
-12
68avg 68
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
76-69
76
69
+7
63avg 68
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 68
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
57-83
57
83
-26
41avg 68
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
89-74
89
74
+15
98avg 68
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
81-73
81
73
+8
70avg 68
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
97-83
97
83
+14
95avg 68
A06/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
27-15
8-17
23-24
17-27
25-16
18-18
21-13
17-12
17-10
10-12
21-16
19-19
21-24
17-22
18-22
20-17
14-14
23-22
19-16
17-19
20-18
20-19
27-19
12-26
9-15
18-20
18-22
20-12
35-25
17-16
17-21
22-16
22-20
13-28
24-9
19-21
25-22
21-17
32-23
152.5Avg total
79.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.073.5152.5+5.580%
Season at home (5)78.266.8145.0+11.4100%
Season away (5)79.880.2160.0-0.460%
Last 10 (10)79.073.5152.5+5.580%
Last 5 (5)81.677.6159.2+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)80.290.5170.7-10.231%
vs Similar (9)81.879.8161.6+2.044%
vs Weaker (7)79.170.6149.7+8.686%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
80-56
80
56
+24
74avg 68
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
82avg 68
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
104-74
104
74
+30
no box
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
87-75
87
75
+12
85avg 68
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
76-56
76
56
+20
69avg 68
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
116-44
116
44
+72
120avg 68
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
88-73
88
73
+15
88avg 68
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
87-68
87
68
+19
78avg 68
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
64avg 68
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
95-77
95
77
+18
93avg 68
H08/12
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-15
28-10
21-19
18-12
22-15
29-11
17-23
23-20
30-20
20-13
24-18
30-23
19-19
24-21
22-17
22-18
22-12
12-12
21-16
21-16
36-14
32-9
22-10
26-11
19-17
20-17
23-14
26-25
40-15
13-16
19-13
15-24
27-14
21-13
17-11
8-12
20-20
19-21
30-16
26-20
153.9Avg total
89.7Scored
64.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)89.764.2153.9+25.5100%
Season at home (5)90.260.4150.6+29.8100%
Season away (5)89.268.0157.2+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)89.764.2153.9+25.5100%
Last 5 (5)91.862.4154.2+29.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)69.583.0152.5-13.514%
vs Similar (5)84.687.2171.8-2.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.764.2153.9+25.5100%
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +8.7+8.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +8.7+8.7Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +3.4+3.4
GinasioCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GinasioLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Academica
#16
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/10
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A11/10
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H19/10
Proliga
CD Povoa
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A25/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H01/11
Proliga
Maia
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/11
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A15/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A22/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A06/12
Proliga
76.4Avg total
40.5Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.483.5+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.738.982.6+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)40.344.384.6-4.036%-
Last 10 (10)40.535.976.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.879.0+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)42.246.688.8-4.423%-
vs Similar (9)43.338.882.1+4.667%-
vs Weaker (7)41.034.075.0+7.071%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sangalhos
#15
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H04/10
Proliga
Maia
#4
W
51-26
51
26
+25
A11/10
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/10
Proliga
Ginasio
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H25/10
Proliga
Illiabum
#7
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A01/11
Proliga
Academica
#16
W
68-23
68
23
+45
H08/11
Proliga
Lusitania
#3
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A15/11
Proliga
Sangalhos
#15
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A22/11
Proliga
Sampaense
#10
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H07/12
Proliga
Maia
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H08/12
Proliga
77.0Avg total
46.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.037.377.3+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)39.738.277.9+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)46.630.477.0+16.290%-
Last 5 (5)49.431.280.6+18.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.339.475.6-3.143%-
vs Similar (5)38.246.684.8-8.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)46.630.477.0+16.290%-
This opponent (Ginasio) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ginasiotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ginasio: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.620.4
55.7%
50.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.46.9
35.6%
30.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.8
74.2%
67.4%11.8
They take 56.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.0 points a game
52%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.823.1
56.6%
50.0%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.5
34.2%
30.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.412.2
62.9%
67.4%12.2
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ginasio
WWWLWWLWWW
CD Povoa
WWWWWWWWWW
#8
League position
#1
+5.8
Net rating
+27.7
106.6
Offensive rating
110.0
100.7
Defensive rating
82.3
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
40.7%
21.4%
Turnover %
21.0%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
37.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
34.2%
51.3%
Assist %
59.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence106.6 · 110.0Defence100.7 · 82.3Shooting54.9% · 54.4%3-point %35.6% · 34.2%Ball care21.4% · 21.0%Off. rebounds28.3% · 37.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Ginasio   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ginasio wins
1
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
25/10/25CD Povoa v Ginasio87-75
Ginasiolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ASangalhos97-83
30/11/25HLusitania81-73
22/11/25AAcademica89-74
15/11/25AIlliabum57-83
08/11/25HMaia84-75
01/11/25HSampaense76-69
25/10/25ACD Povoa75-87
19/10/25HSangalhos65-50
11/10/25ALusitania81-74
04/10/25HAcademica85-67
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/25HMaia95-77
07/12/25HSampaense73-50
22/11/25ASangalhos87-68
15/11/25ALusitania88-73
08/11/25HAcademica116-44
01/11/25AIlliabum76-56
25/10/25HGinasio87-75
18/10/25ASampaense104-74
11/10/25AMaia91-69
04/10/25HSangalhos80-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ginasio
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%100%60%
Points / game79.078.279.8
Allowed / game73.566.880.2
Point differential+5.5+11.4-0.4
Avg total152.5145.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
Proliga 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.790.289.2
Allowed / game64.260.468.0
Point differential+25.5+29.8+21.2
Avg total153.9150.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CD Povoa10100100%89.764.2+25.5
2 CAB Madeira1110191%88.472.5+15.8
3 Illiabum108280%79.067.6+11.4
4 Ginasio108280%79.073.5+5.5
5 Imortal B118373%82.978.2+4.7
6 Portimonense107370%83.276.8+6.4
7 Galomar106460%85.682.5+3.1
8 Maia105550%80.374.2+6.1
9 Lusitania115645%76.671.6+5.0
10 Ginasio Olhanense115645%80.378.9+1.4
11 Sampaense104640%70.879.3-8.5
12 Benfica Lisboa B103730%70.372.6-2.3
13 Santo Andre102820%73.583.9-10.4
14 Sangalhos101910%67.985.3-17.4
15 CB Queluz9090%68.191.3-23.2
16 Academica110110%58.584.0-25.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ginasio1517152269
CD Povoa1817243190
← all games of the day
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