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Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 121-111
42-17 30-38 32-32 17-24
Position#1
Record33-6
FormWWWWL
Points / game116.4
Allowed / game103.8
vs
Position#7
Record25-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game102.3
USANBA· ORACLE Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Golden State Warriors v Toronto Raptors
25 Mar 2027
GSW v TOR
upcoming
20 Jan 2026
GSW127
TOR145
20 Mar 2025
GSW117
TOR114
07 Jan 2024
GSW118
TOR133
27 Jan 2023
GSW129
TOR117
21 Nov 2021
GSW119
TOR104
11 Aug 2021
GSW90
TOR84
10 Jan 2021
GSW106
TOR105
05 Mar 2020
GSW113
TOR121
12 Dec 2018
GSW93
TOR113
25 Oct 2017
GSW117
TOR112
28 Dec 2016
GSW121
TOR111
17 Nov 2015
GSW115
TOR110
05 Oct 2015
GSW95
TOR87
02 Jan 2015
GSW126
TOR105
03 Dec 2013
GSW112
TOR103
04 Mar 2013
GSW125
TOR118
25 Mar 2011
GSW138
TOR100
13 Mar 2010
GSW124
TOR112
29 Dec 2008
GSW117
TOR111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
106-99
106
99
+7
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
89-110
89
110
-21
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
116-108
116
108
+8
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
113-109
113
109
+4
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
103-90
103
90
+13
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
135-90
135
90
+45
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
104-74
104
74
+30
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
117-101
117
101
+16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-113
119
113
+6
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
108-109
108
109
-1
A25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-17
30-29
17-24
24-29
16-31
22-30
27-26
24-23
30-27
30-31
18-30
38-20
29-35
29-30
37-29
18-15
32-25
27-20
29-21
15-24
39-21
31-24
38-27
27-18
19-15
36-18
27-21
22-20
33-34
16-31
39-19
29-17
33-32
24-27
31-25
31-29
27-25
28-27
32-28
21-29
211.3Avg total
111.0Scored
100.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)116.4103.8220.1+12.685%
Season at home (17)119.8101.3221.1+18.588%
Season away (22)113.7105.7219.4+8.082%
Last 10 (10)111.0100.3211.3+10.780%
Last 5 (5)116.697.4214.0+19.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)117.6103.1220.7+14.587%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
112-116
112
116
-4
H06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
124-110
124
110
+14
H09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
101-94
101
94
+7
A10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
122-100
122
100
+22
H13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
123-114
123
114
+9
A15/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
121-125
121
125
-4
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
109-79
109
79
+30
A18/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
116-104
116
104
+12
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
95-91
95
91
+4
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
34-32
20-28
31-26
22-32
37-27
29-30
36-21
25-28
17-22
33-18
26-26
33-23
36-26
23-33
30-18
22-25
38-29
32-20
31-40
27-35
25-34
30-26
39-30
23-30
32-21
29-13
25-15
29-23
35-23
27-26
25-32
28-29
28-22
16-23
32-24
21-24
22-18
30-26
22-23
215.8Avg total
112.7Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)109.7102.3212.0+7.469%
Season at home (18)111.8101.3213.1+10.467%
Season away (18)107.6103.3210.8+4.372%
Last 10 (10)112.7103.1215.8+9.680%
Last 5 (5)109.099.4208.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)121.0127.0248.0-6.00%
vs Similar (20)111.8103.9215.7+7.975%
vs Weaker (9)109.696.4206.0+13.178%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +4.2+4.2
Golden State WarriorsToronto Raptors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#9
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A09/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
38-61
38
61
-23
A11/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
60-58
60
58
+2
A12/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
58-65
58
65
-7
A14/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H16/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
70-45
70
45
+25
H18/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A23/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A25/12
NBA
109.5Avg total
56.6Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.452.1112.5+8.273%-
Last 30 at home (13)64.248.5112.8+15.785%-
Last 30 away (17)57.454.9112.3+2.565%-
Last 10 (10)56.652.9109.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.250.8108.0+6.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)60.452.1112.5+8.273%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
61-62
61
62
-1
H06/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H09/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A10/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
69-49
69
49
+20
H13/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
60-54
60
54
+6
A15/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
52-69
52
69
-17
H17/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A18/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H21/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A24/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A27/12
NBA
109.4Avg total
56.1Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.651.9107.5+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.452.7110.1+4.856%-
Last 30 away (14)53.451.0104.4+2.464%-
Last 10 (10)56.153.3109.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)54.051.8105.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.066.0119.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (20)54.952.1107.0+2.750%-
vs Weaker (9)57.449.8107.2+7.789%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.730.4
53.6%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.911.2
37.5%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.6
79.0%
77.0%16.6
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 112.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.130.2
49.4%
50.2%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.3
40.6%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws26.821.4
79.9%
77.0%21.4
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Golden State Warriors
LWWWWWWWLW
Toronto Raptors
WWWWLWWWWL
#1
League position
#7
+10.5
Net rating
+9.9
108.9
Offensive rating
115.8
98.4
Defensive rating
106.0
54.5%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
15.0%
Turnover %
10.6%
20.7%
Off. rebound %
25.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.5%
3-point %
40.6%
70.0%
Assist %
47.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 115.8Defence98.4 · 106.0Shooting54.5% · 52.8%3-point %37.5% · 40.6%Ball care15.0% · 10.6%Off. rebounds20.7% · 25.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Golden State Warriors   ■ Toronto Raptors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers108-109
24/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-113
23/12/16ABrooklyn Nets117-101
21/12/16HUtah Jazz104-74
18/12/16HPortland Trail Blazers135-90
16/12/16HNew York Knicks103-90
14/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans113-109
12/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves116-108
11/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies89-110
09/12/16AUtah Jazz106-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/16APortland Trail Blazers95-91
24/12/16AUtah Jazz104-98
21/12/16HBrooklyn Nets116-104
18/12/16AOrlando Magic109-79
17/12/16HAtlanta Hawks121-125
15/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers123-114
13/12/16HMilwaukee Bucks122-100
10/12/16ABoston Celtics101-94
09/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves124-110
06/12/16HCleveland Cavaliers112-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391722
Win %85%88%82%
Points / game116.4119.8113.7
Allowed / game103.8101.3105.7
Point differential+12.6+18.5+8.0
Avg total220.1221.1219.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%76%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %5%6%5%
Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW69%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361818
Win %69%67%72%
Points / game109.7111.8107.6
Allowed / game102.3101.3103.3
Point differential+7.4+10.4+4.3
Avg total212.0213.1210.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)29% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3933685%116.4103.8+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs3830879%103.897.2+6.6
3 Houston Rockets39281172%114.2107.1+7.1
4 Toronto Raptors36251169%109.7102.3+7.4
5 Cleveland Cavaliers36251169%108.8103.6+5.2
6 Los Angeles Clippers40251562%105.9101.8+4.1
7 Boston Celtics39241562%105.4102.6+2.8
8 Oklahoma City Thunder36221461%106.5104.4+2.1
9 Memphis Grizzlies40241660%99.298.7+0.4
10 Utah Jazz38221658%98.995.2+3.7
11 New York Knicks37201754%105.9107.6-1.7
12 Charlotte Hornets39211854%102.8102.0+0.8
13 Atlanta Hawks39211854%101.2101.8-0.6
14 Milwaukee Bucks36181850%102.4101.4+1.1
15 Washington Wizards38191950%105.4105.1+0.3
16 Chicago Bulls39192049%101.3100.2+1.2
17 Indiana Pacers39182146%104.4105.9-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons40182245%97.997.2+0.7
19 Denver Nuggets40182245%106.8108.1-1.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers41182344%106.9109.8-2.9
21 Sacramento Kings37162143%101.9104.1-2.2
22 Orlando Magic41172441%98.8103.6-4.8
23 Minnesota Timberwolves39152438%103.2103.8-0.6
24 Miami Heat40142635%99.7101.0-1.4
25 New Orleans Pelicans40142635%103.2107.0-3.8
26 Phoenix Suns38132534%106.5112.5-6.0
27 Los Angeles Lakers43142933%104.7109.7-5.1
28 Dallas Mavericks39112828%94.6101.1-6.5
29 Philadelphia 76ers3792824%98.3106.4-8.1
30 Brooklyn Nets3792824%105.5113.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Golden State Warriors42303217121
Toronto Raptors17383224111
← all games of the day
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