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Toronto Raptors vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 121-127
38-34 15-32 33-29 35-32
Position#7
Record10-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game104.4
Allowed / game101.5
vs
Position#1
Record14-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game105.5
USANBA· Air Canada Centre
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
18 Dec 2026
TOR v GSW
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
TOR141
GSW127
17 Jul 2025
TOR81
GSW69
13 Jan 2025
TOR104
GSW101
01 Mar 2024
TOR105
GSW120
15 Jul 2023
TOR108
GSW101
18 Dec 2022
TOR110
GSW126
18 Dec 2021
TOR119
GSW100
02 Apr 2021
TOR130
GSW77
16 Mar 2020
TOR v GSW
upcoming
07 Jul 2019
TOR71
GSW80
29 Nov 2018
TOR131
GSW128
13 Jan 2018
TOR125
GSW127
16 Nov 2016
TOR121
GSW127
01 Oct 2016
TOR97
GSW93
14 Jul 2016
TOR75
GSW69
05 Dec 2015
TOR109
GSW112
27 Feb 2015
TOR89
GSW113
02 Mar 2014
TOR104
GSW98
28 Jan 2013
TOR102
GSW114
04 Mar 2012
TOR83
GSW75
08 Nov 2010
TOR102
GSW109
04 Apr 2010
TOR112
GSW113
31 Oct 2008
TOR112
GSW108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Toronto Raptors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Toronto RaptorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
109-91
109
91
+18
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
91-94
91
94
-3
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
105-102
105
102
+3
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
113-103
113
103
+10
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
91-96
91
96
-5
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
112-102
112
102
+10
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
113-111
113
111
+2
A12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
118-107
118
107
+11
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
117-121
117
121
-4
A16/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-23
25-23
28-25
23-20
23-28
17-22
27-21
24-23
33-24
29-25
26-35
17-18
27-29
27-27
30-19
29-28
25-27
27-19
23-26
21-15
23-20
27-24
16-24
25-28
20-27
42-28
26-20
24-27
28-27
30-17
21-38
34-29
24-28
29-28
34-29
31-22
25-30
32-31
27-30
33-30
207.9Avg total
106.5Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)104.4101.5205.9+2.962%
Season at home (8)101.697.2198.9+4.462%
Season away (8)107.1105.8212.9+1.462%
Last 10 (10)106.5101.4207.9+5.170%
Last 5 (5)110.2107.4217.6+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)97.093.0190.0+4.0100%
vs Similar (22)100.5102.1202.6-1.555%
vs Weaker (7)87.678.4166.0+9.171%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-129
100
129
-29
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
122-114
122
114
+8
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
106-100
106
100
+6
A30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
127-104
127
104
+23
A02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
122-96
122
96
+26
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
97-117
97
117
-20
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
116-106
116
106
+10
H08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
116-95
116
95
+21
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
125-101
125
101
+24
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
133-120
133
120
+13
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
26-33
31-33
23-32
32-22
27-28
33-31
30-33
22-30
33-27
26-21
25-22
34-25
25-28
41-20
27-31
31-32
37-11
30-27
24-26
15-24
34-41
33-28
15-24
28-24
35-25
21-29
32-28
34-15
33-21
17-32
32-27
38-19
27-32
34-24
26-26
28-32
34-27
37-33
34-28
224.6Avg total
116.4Scored
108.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)114.9105.5220.4+9.482%
Season at home (8)114.9101.6216.5+13.288%
Season away (9)114.9108.9223.8+6.078%
Last 10 (10)116.4108.2224.6+8.280%
Last 5 (5)117.4107.8225.2+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)70.874.6145.4-3.820%
vs Similar (8)97.497.4194.8+0.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)114.9105.5220.4+9.482%
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -0.9-0.9
Toronto RaptorsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Toronto RaptorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-46
58
46
+12
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H28/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
62-49
62
49
+13
H31/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H04/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H06/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A10/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A12/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A16/11
NBA
105.3Avg total
54.6Scored
50.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.748.999.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.844.894.6+5.171%-
Last 30 away (13)51.854.3106.2-2.538%-
Last 10 (10)54.650.7105.3+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)56.052.0108.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)53.051.0104.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (22)53.253.1106.3+0.150%-
vs Weaker (7)42.635.478.0+7.171%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
46-64
46
64
-18
H26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
59-50
59
50
+9
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A30/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A02/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
68-43
68
43
+25
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
49-65
49
65
-16
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H08/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
67-36
67
36
+31
H10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
65-51
65
51
+14
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H14/11
NBA
112.0Avg total
59.3Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.048.4100.4+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.345.699.9+8.780%-
Last 30 away (15)49.751.2100.9-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)59.352.7112.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)61.252.0113.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.638.070.6-5.440%-
vs Similar (8)49.248.697.9+0.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)58.951.4110.3+7.665%-
This opponent (Toronto Raptors) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Toronto Raptorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Toronto Raptors: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.232.7
51.7%
50.2%65.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.1
31.0%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws24.619.8
80.5%
77.0%19.8
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 116.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.031.7
57.6%
50.2%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.911.6
37.5%
35.7%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.718.2
80.2%
77.0%18.2
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Toronto Raptors
LWWWLWWWLW
Golden State Warriors
WWWWLWWWWL
#7
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+8.0
110.4
Offensive rating
113.2
105.1
Defensive rating
105.2
50.3%
Effective FG%
57.2%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
10.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
21.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.0%
3-point %
37.5%
47.0%
Assist %
70.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 113.2Defence105.1 · 105.2Shooting50.3% · 57.2%3-point %31.0% · 37.5%Ball care10.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds25.3% · 21.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Toronto Raptors   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/16ACleveland Cavaliers117-121
13/11/16HNew York Knicks118-107
12/11/16ACharlotte Hornets113-111
10/11/16AOklahoma City Thunder112-102
06/11/16HSacramento Kings91-96
04/11/16HMiami Heat96-87
02/11/16AWashington Wizards113-103
31/10/16HDenver Nuggets105-102
28/10/16HCleveland Cavaliers91-94
26/10/16HDetroit Pistons109-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/16HPhoenix Suns133-120
11/11/16ADenver Nuggets125-101
10/11/16HDallas Mavericks116-95
08/11/16HNew Orleans Pelicans116-106
05/11/16ALos Angeles Lakers97-117
04/11/16HOklahoma City Thunder122-96
02/11/16APortland Trail Blazers127-104
30/10/16APhoenix Suns106-100
29/10/16ANew Orleans Pelicans122-114
26/10/16HSan Antonio Spurs100-129

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Toronto Raptors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL62%
HomeLWWLW62%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game104.4101.6107.1
Allowed / game101.597.2105.8
Point differential+2.9+4.4+1.4
Avg total205.9198.9212.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)40% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeLWWWW88%
AwayWWWLW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %82%88%78%
Points / game114.9114.9114.9
Allowed / game105.5101.6108.9
Point differential+9.4+13.2+6.0
Avg total220.4216.5223.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1714382%114.9105.5+9.4
2 Atlanta Hawks1814478%104.095.8+8.2
3 Los Angeles Clippers1713476%102.995.8+7.1
4 San Antonio Spurs1712571%99.895.1+4.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers1711665%106.5104.5+1.9
6 Houston Rockets1610662%111.1106.9+4.1
7 Toronto Raptors1610662%104.4101.5+2.9
8 Boston Celtics1811761%105.8103.2+2.6
9 Charlotte Hornets1710759%99.899.5+0.4
10 Portland Trail Blazers1911858%105.0107.7-2.7
11 Memphis Grizzlies169756%101.2101.9-0.8
12 Chicago Bulls1810856%105.8100.4+5.4
13 Utah Jazz1810856%97.694.1+3.5
14 Oklahoma City Thunder158753%103.1102.3+0.7
15 New York Knicks179853%104.0106.4-2.4
16 Detroit Pistons189950%97.194.5+2.6
17 Indiana Pacers189950%106.6106.4+0.2
18 Milwaukee Bucks168850%98.4100.2-1.8
19 Minnesota Timberwolves178947%104.9101.4+3.6
20 Los Angeles Lakers2091145%108.3108.0+0.4
21 Phoenix Suns1771041%106.6111.1-4.4
22 Denver Nuggets1871139%104.2106.2-2.1
23 Sacramento Kings1661038%100.4103.9-3.5
24 Orlando Magic1971237%94.7102.8-8.2
25 Washington Wizards1761135%102.5102.2+0.4
26 Miami Heat1861233%98.998.1+0.8
27 Brooklyn Nets1751229%104.5111.0-6.5
28 Dallas Mavericks1741324%93.8101.3-7.5
29 Philadelphia 76ers1841422%96.7107.8-11.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans1831517%101.9108.5-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Toronto Raptors38153335121
Golden State Warriors34322932127
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