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Gorica vs Dakovo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 113-106
18-30 29-29 31-23 35-24
Position#5
Record11-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game78.2
Gorica 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#10
Record8-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game83.5
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 20· GSD Velika Gorica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Gorica v Dakovo
07 Mar 2026
GORI113
DAKO106
08 Feb 2025
GORI78
DAKO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gorica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dakovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GoricaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGorica
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
L
74-86
74
86
-12
78avg 79
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
67-73
67
73
-6
50avg 79
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
89-87
89
87
+2
92avg 79
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
L
68-80
68
80
-12
56avg 79
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
89-105
89
105
-16
72avg 79
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
100-88
100
88
+12
94avg 79
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 79
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
77-63
77
63
+14
72avg 79
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
80-91
80
91
-11
69avg 79
A21/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
22-19
16-27
10-22
15-17
18-20
22-18
12-18
29-14
20-25
18-26
22-22
15-15
18-25
25-25
26-14
19-26
22-15
16-17
11-22
16-20
25-26
23-28
25-31
19-23
35-23
18-22
28-20
15-19
21-16
18-6
27-16
14-19
20-15
22-11
21-18
22-23
21-24
27-17
10-27
161.8Avg total
80.9Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.278.2160.4+4.158%
Season at home (9)83.675.8159.3+7.867%
Season away (10)81.080.3161.3+0.750%
Last 10 (10)80.980.9161.8+0.050%
Last 5 (5)85.480.8166.2+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.586.7166.2-7.230%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.274.2153.5+5.067%
vs Weaker (7)89.478.7168.1+10.771%
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDakovo
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
94avg 77
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
L
71-73
71
73
-2
69avg 77
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
93-99
93
99
-6
87avg 77
A10/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
H17/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
65-82
65
82
-17
58avg 77
A25/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
103-79
103
79
+24
106avg 77
H31/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
87avg 77
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
76avg 77
H08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
93-111
93
111
-18
86avg 77
A14/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
89-103
89
103
-14
87avg 77
H21/02
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
36-17
12-16
26-19
22-12
20-24
18-24
11-13
20-25
18-34
28-17
27-23
20-19
22-23
15-18
22-16
16-28
20-13
15-22
14-19
25-22
29-22
26-20
23-15
25-21
15-22
21-24
25-28
21-25
16-12
25-22
21-27
23-28
19-32
24-19
27-32
28-26
21-25
24-24
16-28
173.8Avg total
85.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.183.5167.5+0.642%
Season at home (10)86.680.9167.5+5.760%
Season away (9)81.286.3167.6-5.122%
Last 10 (10)85.688.2173.8-2.630%
Last 5 (5)90.894.8185.6-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)82.385.8168.1-3.539%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.882.3158.1-6.622%
vs Weaker (3)81.771.0152.7+10.767%
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.8-0.8
GoricaDakovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#4
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H13/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A20/12
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H10/01
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A17/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A24/01
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A31/01
Prva Liga
Amfora
#13
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H04/02
Prva Liga
Osijek
#14
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A07/02
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A21/02
Prva Liga
81.4Avg total
41.2Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.839.381.1+2.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.138.381.4+4.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.340.580.8-0.243%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.281.4+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.683.2+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)41.242.083.2-0.840%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.237.376.5+1.842%-
vs Weaker (7)43.640.984.4+2.757%-
This opponent (Dakovo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DakovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#14
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A13/12
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#8
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H20/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#7
L
38-59
38
59
-21
A10/01
Prva Liga
Kastela
#2
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H17/01
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/01
Prva Liga
Jazine
#6
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H31/01
Prva Liga
Omis
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A04/02
Prva Liga
Mladost
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H08/02
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#1
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A14/02
Prva Liga
Novi Zagreb
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H21/02
Prva Liga
89.2Avg total
43.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.743.684.3-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.241.484.6+1.856%-
Last 30 away (14)37.846.183.9-8.421%-
Last 10 (10)43.645.689.2-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)44.447.091.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)40.145.485.5-5.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)39.441.480.9-2.044%-
vs Weaker (3)47.739.787.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Gorica) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Goricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gorica: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.722.0
51.5%
53.0%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
32.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws19.613.4
68.4%
71.6%13.4
They take 68.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dakovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dakovo: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.1 points a game
51%
33%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.423.7
57.2%
53.0%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.0
34.9%
32.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.5
73.7%
71.6%11.5
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gorica
LWWWLLWWLL
Dakovo
LLLLWLWLLW
#5
League position
#10
-0.7
Net rating
-1.0
89.4
Offensive rating
99.9
90.1
Defensive rating
101.0
48.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.23
29.2%
3-point %
34.9%
64.2%
Assist %
66.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.4 · 99.9Defence90.1 · 101.0Shooting48.6% · 55.4%3-point %29.2% · 34.9%Ball care18.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds27.4% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Gorica   ■ Dakovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Gorica wins
0
Dakovo wins
DateGameScore
22/11/25Dakovo v Gorica74-88
08/02/25Gorica v Dakovo78-70
26/10/24Dakovo v Gorica83-85
Goricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AKK Zagreb80-91
14/02/26HCrikvenica77-63
07/02/26AOsijek81-57
04/02/26HAmfora100-88
31/01/26ASonik Puntamika89-105
24/01/26AKastela68-80
17/01/26ANovi Zagreb84-79
10/01/26HSkrljevo89-87
20/12/25AMladost67-73
13/12/25HOmis74-86
Dakovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HNovi Zagreb89-103
14/02/26ASkrljevo93-111
08/02/26HMladost83-86
04/02/26AOmis86-95
31/01/26HJazine103-79
25/01/26AMarsonia65-82
17/01/26HKastela79-76
10/01/26AKK Zagreb93-99
20/12/25HCrikvenica71-73
13/12/25AOsijek94-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gorica
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game82.283.681.0
Allowed / game78.275.880.3
Point differential+4.1+7.8+0.7
Avg total160.4159.3161.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%56%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dakovo
Prva Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %42%60%22%
Points / game84.186.681.2
Allowed / game83.580.986.3
Point differential+0.6+5.7-5.1
Avg total167.5167.5167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Skrljevo1916384%95.574.1+21.5
2 Mladost1916384%84.173.4+10.6
3 Kastela2016480%87.866.9+20.9
4 Omis1913668%83.076.7+6.3
5 Gorica1911858%82.278.2+4.1
6 KK Zagreb1911858%78.578.5+0.1
7 Jazine1910953%81.780.2+1.5
8 Crikvenica1991047%75.077.8-2.8
9 Novi Zagreb1981142%76.074.3+1.7
10 Dakovo1981142%84.183.5+0.6
11 Marsonia1961332%75.778.4-2.7
12 Sonik Puntamika1961332%73.278.3-5.2
13 Amfora1941521%75.388.9-13.6
14 Osijek200200%62.5104.3-41.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gorica18293135113
Dakovo30292324106
← all games of the day
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