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Greece vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 66-76
26-26 8-17 13-12 19-21
Position-
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Greece
vs
Serbia 🏆
Position-
Record-
FormWWWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeFriendly International· Manheim O.
Other2025
Meetings · Greece v Serbia
09 Aug 2025
GREE66
SERB76
24 Feb 2023
GREE97
SERB92
13 Sep 2018
GREE70
SERB63
25 Aug 2017
GREE67
SERB69
19 Aug 2010
GREE74
SERB73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Jordan
#37
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
no box
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
L
67-92
67
92
-25
no box
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
69-73
69
73
-4
no box
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
72-64
72
64
+8
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 69
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 69
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 69
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 69
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
27-19
20-27
26-11
15-20
17-23
18-11
33-20
20-20
23-19
15-25
9-28
14-19
16-17
12-14
27-23
12-15
20-16
21-19
19-14
16-12
16-27
30-19
12-14
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
149.0Avg total
76.2Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.272.8149.0+3.470%
Last 5 (5)75.870.8146.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.481.7158.1-5.343%
vs Similar (14)81.276.6157.8+4.671%
vs Weaker (9)82.373.4155.8+8.989%
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSerbia
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#12
W
112-79
112
79
+33
no box
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
95-86
95
86
+9
no box
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
77-61
77
61
+16
no box
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
72-52
72
52
+20
72avg 83
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
98-51
98
51
+47
104avg 83
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
W
105-95
105
95
+10
107avg 83
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
63-54
63
54
+9
49avg 83
H24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
27-20
31-18
25-26
24-25
25-13
24-17
14-13
23-15
29-24
23-24
20-23
26-23
21-24
10-22
20-14
17-20
19-14
22-17
19-10
21-12
17-19
22-21
16-11
29-6
14-13
19-16
10-17
25-17
25-11
20-11
28-12
24-26
27-31
28-14
26-24
13-17
14-14
17-10
19-13
155.4Avg total
86.2Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.269.2155.4+17.090%
Last 5 (5)82.863.0145.8+19.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.086.0181.0+9.0100%
vs Similar (5)90.075.8165.8+14.260%
vs Weaker (24)87.073.1160.1+13.883%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
GreeceSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jordan
#37
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/08
World Cup
New Zealand
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H30/08
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A01/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#33
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
71.6Avg total
36.7Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.476.5+1.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.136.073.1+1.157%-
Last 30 away (16)40.938.679.5+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)36.734.971.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)36.833.470.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.338.774.0-3.429%-
vs Similar (14)41.137.478.5+3.864%-
vs Weaker (9)38.936.475.3+2.467%-
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dominican Republic
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
A03/09
World Cup
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A05/09
World Cup
Canada
#4
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H08/09
World Cup
Germany
#2
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A10/09
World Cup
Finland
#34
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H23/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
43-19
43
19
+24
A21/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
50-28
50
28
+22
H24/11
EuroBasket
Finland
#34
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
Georgia
#21
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H24/02
EuroBasket
80.8Avg total
44.9Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.935.781.6+10.283%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.936.382.1+9.687%-
Last 30 away (15)45.935.181.0+10.980%-
Last 10 (10)44.935.980.8+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.275.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.039.091.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (5)47.836.884.6+11.080%-
vs Weaker (24)45.235.380.5+10.083%-
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.0
47.2%
55.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.78.3
29.1%
34.4%25.0
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
75.8%
74.1%15.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Serbiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Serbia: 82.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 56.0 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.0
56.2%
55.4%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.4
37.2%
34.4%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.217.0
70.2%
74.1%17.0
They take 58.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/5 games with a box score before 09 Aug 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WWWLWWLLWW
Serbia
WWWWWWLWWW
+7.4
Net rating
+29.0
99.1
Offensive rating
114.8
91.8
Defensive rating
85.7
45.6%
Effective FG%
56.0%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
43.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
16.2%
32.2%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.1%
3-point %
37.2%
69.7%
Assist %
62.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 114.8Defence91.8 · 85.7Shooting45.6% · 56.0%3-point %29.1% · 37.2%Ball care18.4% · 16.2%Off. rebounds32.2% · 32.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Greece   ■ Serbia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Greece wins
4
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
24/02/23Greece v Serbia97-92 OT
25/08/22Serbia v Greece100-94 OT
03/12/18Serbia v Greece84-61
13/09/18Greece v Serbia70-63
25/08/17Greece v Serbia67-69
07/09/14Serbia v Greece90-72
19/08/10Greece v Serbia74-73
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73
26/02/24ANetherlands74-72
23/02/24HCzech Republic72-64
03/09/23HMontenegro69-73
01/09/23ALithuania67-92
30/08/23HNew Zealand83-74
26/08/23AJordan92-71
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/25HGeorgia63-54
21/02/25AFinland105-95
24/11/24HDenmark98-51
21/11/24ADenmark72-52
26/02/24AGeorgia76-63
23/02/24HFinland77-61
10/09/23AGermany77-83
08/09/23HCanada95-86
05/09/23ALithuania87-68
03/09/23ADominican Republic112-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Serbia
Friendly International 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece268131966
Serbia2617122176
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