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Greece vs Spain Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Aug 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 108-106 (OT)
19-20 24-22 24-16 19-28 22-20
Position#39
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game70.0
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#27
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game87.9
Allowed / game74.6
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Telekom Center Athens
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Spain winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
W
87-76
87
76
+11
81avg 79
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
68-94
68
94
-26
64avg 79
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
92-89
92
89
+3
92avg 79
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
91-64
91
64
+27
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
76-68
76
68
+8
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
65-67
65
67
-2
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
L
66-73
66
73
-7
no box
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
56-71
56
71
-15
no box
H05/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
76-82
76
82
-6
no box
A28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
20-19
20-14
23-24
16-26
15-23
20-23
17-22
24-15
24-19
21-22
23-33
26-12
19-17
23-15
23-20
24-17
13-19
19-13
20-19
17-19
21-21
14-15
13-12
22-18
22-17
13-18
22-12
18-16
20-19
20-16
8-22
15-19
8-9
19-25
14-18
19-24
18-16
22-24
17-18
150.5Avg total
75.6Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.770.0142.7+2.743%
Season at home (3)70.767.3138.0+3.333%
Season away (4)74.272.0146.2+2.250%
Last 10 (10)75.674.9150.5+0.750%
Last 5 (5)68.471.6140.0-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)72.683.0155.6-10.429%
vs Similar (12)76.971.5148.4+5.467%
vs Weaker (11)80.870.9151.7+9.982%
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpain
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#24
W
91-47
91
47
+44
no box
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
L
63-67
63
67
-4
53avg 63
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
86-90
86
90
-4
74avg 63
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
74-64
74
64
+10
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
78-64
78
64
+14
no box
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
109-81
109
81
+28
no box
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
no box
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
22-8
29-12
21-18
18-10
18-20
11-19
16-18
20-31
15-19
28-18
23-22
25-23
20-10
15-14
14-17
19-22
28-11
23-13
20-15
17-21
15-12
33-14
21-19
16-9
12-12
24-22
26-21
24-19
27-22
31-14
27-26
32-14
20-24
19-19
12-26
14-21
27-26
30-24
18-24
158.1Avg total
85.5Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.974.6162.4+13.371%
Season at home (4)91.575.2166.8+16.275%
Season away (3)83.073.7156.7+9.367%
Last 10 (10)85.572.6158.1+12.960%
Last 5 (5)90.279.4169.6+10.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.672.0139.6-4.420%
vs Similar (6)79.075.3154.3+3.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.673.4160.0+13.379%
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +7.4+7.4Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
GreeceSpain
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A09/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H12/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/09
EuroBasket
Romania
#34
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H27/11
World Cup
Portugal
#37
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A30/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H27/02
World Cup
Montenegro
#51
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A02/03
World Cup
Romania
#34
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H05/07
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A28/08
World Cup
74.9Avg total
38.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.935.673.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.735.871.5-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)40.135.375.4+4.767%-
Last 10 (10)38.536.474.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.035.671.6+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.339.973.1-6.614%-
vs Similar (12)38.433.471.8+5.075%-
vs Weaker (11)40.235.275.4+5.064%-
This opponent (Spain) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SpainLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#24
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H31/08
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H04/09
EuroBasket
Denmark
#79
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A27/11
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H30/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A27/02
World Cup
Ukraine
#22
W
28-21
28
21
+7
H02/03
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H02/07
World Cup
Georgia
#31
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A05/07
World Cup
Portugal
#37
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H28/08
World Cup
75.1Avg total
40.8Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.135.075.2+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.535.475.9+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)39.734.574.2+5.269%-
Last 10 (10)40.834.375.1+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.076.8+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.432.666.0+0.840%-
vs Similar (6)39.734.774.3+5.083%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.135.877.8+6.363%-
This opponent (Greece) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.618.8
56.0%
-37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.0
37.2%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws20.814.2
68.3%
-14.2
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Spaintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Spain: 72.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 19% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.116.7
49.0%
-33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.88.3
29.9%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.0
66.4%
-14.0
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Aug 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
LLLWLWWWLW
Spain
LLWWWWWLLW
#39
League position
#27
+11.6
Net rating
+5.9
111.6
Offensive rating
99.0
100.0
Defensive rating
93.1
55.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
45.3%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.9%
30.5%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.2%
3-point %
29.9%
65.6%
Assist %
74.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Greece   ■ Spain
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Greece wins
1
Spain wins
DateGameScore
04/09/25Spain v Greece86-90
04/09/10Spain v Greece80-72
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26AUkraine76-82
05/07/26HPortugal56-71
02/07/26ARomania66-73
02/03/26AMontenegro79-65
27/02/26HMontenegro65-67
30/11/25APortugal76-68
27/11/25HRomania91-64
14/09/25HFinland92-89
12/09/25HTurkey68-94
09/09/25ALithuania87-76
Spainlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/26HPortugal89-95
05/07/26AGeorgia89-91 OT
02/07/26HDenmark109-81
02/03/26HUkraine78-64
27/02/26AUkraine86-66
30/11/25HGeorgia90-61
27/11/25ADenmark74-64
04/09/25HGreece86-90
02/09/25AItaly63-67
31/08/25HCyprus91-47

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game72.770.774.2
Allowed / game70.067.372.0
Point differential+2.7+3.3+2.2
Avg total142.7138.0146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Spain
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%75%67%
Points / game87.991.583.0
Allowed / game74.675.273.7
Point differential+13.3+16.2+9.3
Avg total162.4166.8156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia880100%101.870.0+31.8
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada770100%101.479.6+21.9
4 Turkey770100%89.372.6+16.7
5 Croatia1211192%99.273.5+25.8
6 France87188%85.171.6+13.5
7 Poland87188%95.882.2+13.5
8 Germany87188%93.682.1+11.5
9 Argentina76186%86.667.9+18.7
10 Brazil76186%93.178.0+15.1
11 Mexico54180%96.683.4+13.2
12 Dominican Republic54180%91.880.2+11.6
13 Senegal97278%86.370.6+15.8
14 South Sudan97278%82.068.6+13.4
15 Ivory Coast97278%88.276.1+12.1
16 Cameroon97278%76.471.6+4.9
17 New Zealand86275%97.279.8+17.5
18 Japan86275%91.074.8+16.2
19 Lebanon86275%89.674.6+15.0
20 Ukraine118373%81.974.7+7.2
21 Spain75271%87.974.6+13.3
22 Uruguay75271%85.073.1+11.9
23 Italy75271%85.777.0+8.7
24 Serbia75271%88.780.1+8.6
25 Angola96367%86.873.0+13.8
26 Guinea96367%75.266.1+9.1
27 Mali96367%81.478.0+3.4
28 Jordan85362%85.571.0+14.5
29 Iran85362%74.967.8+7.1
30 China85362%84.581.6+2.9
31 Finland85362%80.679.2+1.4
32 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
33 Portugal74357%82.976.9+6.0
34 Georgia74357%83.781.6+2.1
35 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
36 Montenegro74357%69.376.4-7.1
37 Nigeria95456%79.976.9+3.0
38 Tunisia95456%71.769.9+1.8
39 Hungary126650%80.977.9+3.0
40 Latvia84450%83.481.2+2.1
41 Lithuania84450%85.984.6+1.2
42 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
43 Slovenia84450%84.083.8+0.2
44 Philippines84450%76.976.8+0.1
45 South Korea84450%78.479.1-0.8
46 Sweden84450%81.183.5-2.4
47 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
48 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
49 Qatar84450%75.981.5-5.6
50 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
51 Egypt94544%75.973.1+2.8
52 Greece73443%72.770.0+2.7
53 Bahamas73443%92.393.6-1.3
54 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
55 Colombia73443%83.691.4-7.9
56 Iceland73443%82.491.4-9.0
57 Netherlands125742%82.181.1+1.0
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina83538%78.177.1+1.0
59 Estonia83538%80.483.0-2.6
60 Saudi Arabia83538%76.479.6-3.2
61 Chile62433%72.277.2-5.0
62 Cape Verde93633%75.681.3-5.8
63 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
64 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
65 Jamaica62433%86.3102.8-16.5
66 D.R. Congo93633%68.885.7-16.9
67 Puerto Rico72529%87.491.7-4.3
68 Panama72529%74.487.3-12.9
69 Israel82625%79.283.5-4.2
70 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Syria82625%66.889.9-23.1
77 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
78 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
79 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
80 Venezuela61517%79.087.5-8.5
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua4040%72.095.5-23.5
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Greece1924241922108
Spain2022162820106
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