Valur vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 88-77

21-29 20-15 18-13 29-20

Position#1

Record-

FormLLWLL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Valur 🏆

Grindavik

Position#11

Record-

FormLWLWL

Points / game-

Allowed / game-

Icelandic Cup· Origo-hollin Hlidarenda

Other2024-25

Meetings · Valur v Grindavik

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valur winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Grindavik winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Valur

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValur

Date

Competition

Grindavik

80-73

76avg 80

H29/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

81-95

-14

63avg 80

A04/10

Premier league

Thorl

88-95 OT

-7

78avg 80

H10/10

Premier league

Alftanes

103-100 OT

103

100

94avg 80

A17/10

Premier league

Keflavik

#10

104-80

104

+24

91avg 80

H24/10

Premier league

Njardvik

94-101

101

-7

85avg 80

A31/10

Premier league

Hottur

#11

70-83

-13

55avg 80

A08/11

Premier league

KR Basket

101-94

101

92avg 80

H14/11

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

83-84

-1

74avg 80

A29/11

Premier league

Haukar

#12

97-104

104

-7

91avg 80

H05/12

Premier league

27-22

22-18

19-17

12-16

18-17

16-23

31-26

16-29

14-25

27-12

20-31

20-13

20-19

17-21

19-27

32-21

25-21

19-21

27-25

33-13

20-27

13-28

28-25

33-21

11-30

32-15

14-22

13-16

20-27

23-17

31-16

27-34

22-19

14-27

28-13

19-25

31-17

21-35

23-23

22-29

181.0Avg total

90.1Scored

90.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	90.1	90.9	181.0	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	89.0	93.2	182.2	-4.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	81.0	95.0	176.0	-14.0	0%
vs Similar (16)	87.6	86.2	173.9	+1.4	62%
vs Weaker (13)	89.2	84.4	173.6	+4.8	62%

Grindavik

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGrindavik

Date

Competition

Valur

73-80

-7

60avg 86

A29/05

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

100-81

100

+19

90avg 86

H04/10

Premier league

Haukar

#12

92-80

+12

90avg 86

A12/10

Premier league

Hottur

#11

113-84

113

+29

118avg 86

H17/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

90-93

-3

82avg 86

H25/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

98-104

104

-6

86avg 86

A31/10

Premier league

Thorl

99-70

+29

101avg 86

H09/11

Premier league

Alftanes

88-90

-2

86avg 86

A14/11

Premier league

Keflavik

#10

104-96

104

98avg 86

A29/11

Premier league

Njardvik

87-94

-7

80avg 86

A05/12

Premier league

22-27

18-22

17-19

16-12

29-21

20-17

30-19

21-24

24-16

26-13

24-25

18-26

31-9

25-24

25-20

32-31

12-32

33-27

18-18

27-16

25-23

23-29

18-32

32-20

28-23

24-21

29-16

18-10

20-30

25-24

23-19

20-17

26-24

34-23

18-32

26-17

18-26

19-25

22-21

28-22

181.6Avg total

94.4Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season	no games
Season at home	no games
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	94.4	87.2	181.6	+7.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	95.2	90.8	186.0	+4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	94.0	98.5	192.5	-4.5	0%
vs Similar (15)	90.4	81.9	172.3	+8.5	60%
vs Weaker (13)	99.2	85.8	185.0	+13.3	85%

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ValurGrindavik

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	22.3	44.2	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.4	45.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	22.2	43.4	-1.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.9	23.2	45.1	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.2	21.6	43.8	+0.6	54%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.3	22.4	45.7	+0.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.1	22.2	46.3	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	22.6	45.2	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	23.1	46.6	+0.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	25.2	48.6	-1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	27.5	46.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	22.2	21.7	43.9	+0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (13)	25.2	22.5	47.7	+2.8	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	21.1	42.3	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	24.4	45.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	23.0	39.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.5	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.7	21.9	46.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	26.0	22.0	48.0	+4.0	85%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.8	21.8	45.5	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	22.5	47.2	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	24.4	49.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.0	28.0	56.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.5	22.3	45.9	+1.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (13)	25.6	20.4	46.0	+5.2	85%	-

ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Grindavik

49-40

H29/05

Premier league

Stjarnan

34-40

-6

A04/10

Premier league

Thorl

41-37

H10/10

Premier league

Alftanes

37-40

-3

A17/10

Premier league

Keflavik

#10

44-42

H24/10

Premier league

Njardvik

33-55

-22

A31/10

Premier league

Hottur

#11

43-45

-2

A08/11

Premier league

KR Basket

43-44

-1

H14/11

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

36-46

-10

A29/11

Premier league

Haukar

#12

52-52

H05/12

Premier league

85.3Avg total

41.2Scored

44.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	43.4	86.5	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.5	42.1	85.7	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.7	44.7	87.4	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.2	44.1	85.3	-2.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	48.4	89.8	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	34.0	40.0	74.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.9	43.9	86.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker (13)	44.1	43.0	87.1	+1.1	46%	-

GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Valur

40-49

-9

A29/05

Premier league

IR Reykjavik

49-38

+11

H04/10

Premier league

Haukar

#12

50-29

+21

A12/10

Premier league

Hottur

#11

56-33

+23

H17/10

Premier league

Tindastoll

45-59

-14

H25/10

Premier league

Stjarnan

48-52

-4

A31/10

Premier league

Thorl

52-44

H09/11

Premier league

Alftanes

45-54

-9

A14/11

Premier league

Keflavik

#10

60-47

+13

A29/11

Premier league

Njardvik

37-51

-14

A05/12

Premier league

93.8Avg total

48.2Scored

45.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.0	44.3	92.3	+3.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	50.1	44.2	94.3	+5.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	46.4	44.4	90.8	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	48.2	45.6	93.8	+2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	49.6	98.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	46.5	55.5	102.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	45.7	44.1	89.8	+1.7	53%	-
vs Weaker (13)	50.8	42.8	93.7	+8.0	77%	-

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	21.1	43.6	+1.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.8	19.3	43.1	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	22.9	44.1	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	22.5	46.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.8	44.6	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	26.0	57.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.9	21.4	43.4	+0.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (13)	22.5	20.4	42.8	+2.1	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	25.2	17.8	43.0	+7.5	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.1	44.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	25.0	43.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (15)	21.2	20.5	41.7	+0.7	47%	-
vs Weaker (13)	24.9	20.2	45.2	+4.7	77%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	19.9	39.5	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	21.7	44.4	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	25.0	47.8	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	16.0	29.0	45.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.6	19.4	40.1	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.9	19.2	40.1	+1.8	54%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.8	19.7	43.6	+4.1	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	24.9	18.5	43.5	+6.4	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	65%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.8	19.5	43.3	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	17.2	42.0	+7.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	18.0	47.5	+11.5	100%	-
vs Similar (15)	23.5	17.3	40.8	+6.1	87%	-
vs Weaker (13)	23.4	22.8	46.2	+0.6	46%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	40.8	83.8	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.4	38.7	84.1	+6.7	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	42.8	83.5	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.7	44.2	90.9	+2.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	44.8	92.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	55.0	102.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	42.6	40.9	83.4	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	43.4	39.5	82.9	+3.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.4	40.4	86.8	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	50.2	36.3	86.5	+13.8	100%	-
Last 30 away (17)	43.6	43.5	87.1	+0.1	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.2	41.6	87.8	+4.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.8	41.2	88.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	47.5	43.0	90.5	+4.5	50%	-
vs Similar (15)	44.7	37.8	82.5	+6.9	73%	-
vs Weaker (13)	48.3	43.0	91.3	+5.3	77%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 89.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀40%

🏀🏀🏀40%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 40% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

45%

39%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	18.0	49.9%	53.1%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.5	11.9	33.5%	33.8%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	23.4	17.6	75.2%	73.1%	17.6

They take 71.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 93.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game

45%

39%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	22.2	57.4%	53.1%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.6	11.5	34.2%	33.8%	34.5
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.3	72.6%	73.1%	14.3

They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.3	21.2	51.3%	53.1%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	34.5	10.9	31.6%	33.8%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	19.2	14.8	77.1%	73.1%	14.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	17.6	48.0%	53.1%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.4	11.0	32.9%	33.8%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	23.7	18.6	78.5%	73.1%	18.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.5	18.8	50.1%	53.1%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.5	11.2	33.3%	33.8%	33.5
🏀 Free throws	23.7	16.5	69.7%	73.1%	16.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	21.7	58.5%	53.1%	43.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	35.8	12.4	34.5%	33.8%	37.1
🏀 Free throws	17.0	12.9	75.9%	73.1%	12.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.1	19.9	48.3%	53.1%	39.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.1	10.5	31.7%	33.8%	31.4
🏀 Free throws	18.0	13.9	77.1%	73.1%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	18.1	50.0%	53.1%	36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	33.7	11.0	32.7%	33.8%	33.1
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.8	76.3%	73.1%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Valur

LLWLLWWLLW

Grindavik

LWLWLLWWWL

League position

#11

-0.7

Net rating

+7.9

105.5

Offensive rating

115.6

106.2

Defensive rating

107.7

50.1%

Effective FG%

54.6%

49.5%

Opp. effective FG%

48.6%

13.8%

Turnover %

14.4%

21.0%

Off. rebound %

30.2%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.27

33.5%

3-point %

34.2%

60.2%

Assist %

61.1%

40%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Valur ■ Grindavik

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Valur wins

Grindavik wins

Date	Game	Score
29/05/24	Valur v Grindavik	80-73
26/05/24	Grindavik v Valur	80-78
23/05/24	Valur v Grindavik	80-62
20/05/24	Grindavik v Valur	93-89
17/05/24	Valur v Grindavik	89-79
15/03/24	Grindavik v Valur	98-67
30/11/23	Valur v Grindavik	96-83
20/01/23	Valur v Grindavik	92-67
12/12/22	Valur v Grindavik	90-80
14/10/22	Grindavik v Valur	67-68

Valurlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/24	H	Haukar	97-104
29/11/24	A	IR Reykjavik	83-84
14/11/24	H	KR Basket	101-94
08/11/24	A	Hottur	70-83
31/10/24	A	Njardvik	94-101
24/10/24	H	Keflavik	104-80
17/10/24	A	Alftanes	103-100 OT
10/10/24	H	Thorl	88-95 OT
04/10/24	A	Stjarnan	81-95
29/05/24	H	Grindavik	80-73

Grindaviklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/24	A	Njardvik	87-94
29/11/24	A	Keflavik	104-96
14/11/24	A	Alftanes	88-90
09/11/24	H	Thorl	99-70
31/10/24	A	Stjarnan	98-104
25/10/24	H	Tindastoll	90-93
17/10/24	H	Hottur	113-84
12/10/24	A	Haukar	92-80
04/10/24	H	IR Reykjavik	100-81
29/05/24	A	Valur	73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valur

Icelandic Cup 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

Grindavik

Icelandic Cup 2024-25

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	-	-
Home	-	-
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	-	-	-
Win %	-	-	-
Points / game	-	-	-
Allowed / game	-	-	-
Point differential	-	-	-
Avg total	-	-	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	-	-	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	-	-	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Njardvik	1	1	0	100%	121.0	87.0	+34.0
2	KR Basket	1	1	0	100%	73.0	72.0	+1.0
3	Hottur	1	0	1	0%	72.0	73.0	-1.0
4	Selfoss	1	0	1	0%	87.0	121.0	-34.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Valur	21	20	18	29	88
Grindavik	29	15	13	20	77

← all games of the day

Valur vs Grindavik Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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