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Grindavik vs Valur Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 78-67
23-16 19-15 19-18 17-18
Position#1
Record13-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game93.6
Allowed / game88.3
vs
Position#4
Record10-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game90.1
IcelandPremier leagueRound 16· HS Orku-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Grindavik v Valur
14 Jan 2027
GRIN v VALU
upcoming
06 May 2026
GRIN109
VALU82
30 Apr 2026
GRIN93
VALU67
22 Apr 2026
GRIN82
VALU81
29 Jan 2026
GRIN78
VALU67
14 Apr 2025
GRIN82
VALU74
06 Apr 2025
GRIN80
VALU76
13 Dec 2024
GRIN97
VALU90
26 May 2024
GRIN80
VALU78
20 May 2024
GRIN93
VALU89
15 Mar 2024
GRIN98
VALU67
14 Oct 2022
GRIN67
VALU68
14 Feb 2022
GRIN99
VALU92
01 Mar 2021
GRIN97
VALU85
21 Nov 2019
GRIN85
VALU69
01 Nov 2018
GRIN90
VALU88
07 Dec 2017
GRIN90
VALU89
24 Oct 2013
GRIN78
VALU70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Grindavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Valur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GrindavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrindavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
91-75
91
75
+16
81avg 85
H20/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
67-118
67
118
-51
46avg 85
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
105-85
105
85
+20
102avg 85
H11/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
86-77
86
77
+9
84avg 85
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
W
106-94
106
94
+12
104avg 85
A18/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
124-123 OT
124
123
+1
110avg 85
A04/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
94-91
94
91
+3
86avg 85
A08/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
77-100
77
100
-23
66avg 85
A11/01
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
no box
H16/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
62avg 85
A23/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
24-16
23-21
17-24
27-24
20-33
15-31
5-30
22-23
31-17
25-27
27-18
25-17
24-20
15-21
22-19
19-23
26-28
26-24
35-19
27-28
24-25
20-30
42-30
25-23
20-26
21-21
28-21
20-32
11-25
27-21
19-22
24-19
19-24
18-20
22-15
17-26
13-27
21-28
20-12
183.8Avg total
90.4Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)93.688.3181.9+5.387%
Season at home (7)98.086.0184.0+12.0100%
Season away (8)89.890.2180.0-0.575%
Last 10 (10)90.493.4183.8-3.070%
Last 5 (5)89.897.0186.8-7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)91.091.4182.4-0.443%
vs Similar (12)87.290.6177.8-3.467%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)99.386.9186.2+12.4100%
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValur
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
99-91
99
91
+8
94avg 84
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 84
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
111-91
111
91
+20
106avg 84
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
85-69
85
69
+16
73avg 84
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
85-82
85
82
+3
75avg 84
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
101avg 84
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
102-105
102
105
-3
106avg 84
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
L
93-94
93
94
-1
82avg 84
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
77-94
77
94
-17
no box
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
80-71 OT
80
71
+9
70avg 84
H22/01
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
24-19
24-24
23-20
24-29
26-22
24-22
20-13
30-24
25-20
32-24
24-23
25-26
22-18
20-16
18-9
19-19
22-27
27-16
17-20
31-14
17-30
13-22
28-23
21-35
19-26
26-18
36-26
27-23
21-25
25-23
20-23
16-31
18-19
16-18
27-26
18-19
12-16
23-13
12-17
181.6Avg total
93.4Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)91.790.1181.7+1.667%
Season at home (8)89.186.6175.8+2.562%
Season away (7)94.694.0188.6+0.671%
Last 10 (10)93.488.2181.6+5.270%
Last 5 (5)92.092.6184.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)85.893.8179.7-8.017%
vs Similar (13)90.585.1175.5+5.469%
vs Weaker (10)90.781.7172.4+9.090%
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +2.5+2.5
GrindavikValur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GrindavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#2
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H20/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
A07/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/12
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H14/12
Icelandic Cup
Thorl
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A18/12
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A04/01
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A08/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#2
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A11/01
Icelandic Cup
Alftanes
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H16/01
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
30-53
30
53
-23
A23/01
Premier league
91.5Avg total
44.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.646.592.1-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.545.194.5+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)41.747.989.7-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.091.5-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.051.091.0-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.747.191.9-2.443%-
vs Similar (12)44.248.893.1-4.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)47.544.291.7+3.350%-
This opponent (Valur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ValurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KR Basket
#6
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A20/11
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H05/12
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H11/12
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H15/12
Icelandic Cup
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A18/12
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A03/01
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H08/01
Premier league
Keflavik
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H12/01
Icelandic Cup
Armann
#10
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A15/01
Premier league
Thorl
#11
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H22/01
Premier league
91.5Avg total
44.5Scored
47.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.143.787.8+0.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.644.188.7+0.644%-
Last 30 away (14)43.543.486.9+0.143%-
Last 10 (10)44.547.091.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.047.687.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.850.890.7-11.017%-
vs Similar (13)45.942.888.8+3.146%-
vs Weaker (10)44.040.684.6+3.450%-
This opponent (Grindavik) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Grindaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Grindavik: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.9
51.7%
54.6%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.48.3
28.2%
34.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.218.2
75.2%
74.2%18.2
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valur: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.125.0
53.1%
54.6%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.6
36.1%
34.0%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
74.2%13.1
They take 76.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Grindavik
LWLWWWWWLW
Valur
WLLLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#4
-3.8
Net rating
+9.7
100.4
Offensive rating
109.5
104.2
Defensive rating
99.8
47.6%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
12.5%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
29.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.2%
3-point %
36.1%
62.4%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 109.5Defence104.2 · 99.8Shooting47.6% · 53.5%3-point %28.2% · 36.1%Ball care13.7% · 12.5%Off. rebounds26.4% · 29.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Grindavik   ■ Valur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Grindavik wins
4
Valur wins
DateGameScore
30/10/25Valur v Grindavik55-90
14/04/25Grindavik v Valur82-74
10/04/25Valur v Grindavik75-86
06/04/25Grindavik v Valur80-76
02/04/25Valur v Grindavik94-89
13/03/25Valur v Grindavik99-80
13/12/24Grindavik v Valur97-90
08/12/24Valur v Grindavik88-77
29/05/24Valur v Grindavik80-73
26/05/24Grindavik v Valur80-78
Grindaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/26AKR Basket71-93
16/01/26HAlftanes83-78
11/01/26AStjarnan77-100
08/01/26AAkranes IA94-91
04/01/26ANjardvik124-123 OT
18/12/25AThorl106-94
14/12/25HArmann86-77
11/12/25HArmann105-85
07/12/25AStjarnan67-118
20/11/25HTindastoll91-75
Valurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HThorl80-71 OT
15/01/26AArmann77-94
12/01/26HKeflavik93-94
08/01/26HStjarnan102-105
03/01/26ATindastoll108-99 OT
18/12/25AIR Reykjavik85-82
15/12/25HIR Reykjavik85-69
11/12/25HKeflavik111-91
05/12/25HNjardvik94-86
20/11/25AKR Basket99-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Grindavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game93.698.089.8
Allowed / game88.386.090.2
Point differential+5.3+12.0-0.5
Avg total181.9184.0180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Valur
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %67%62%71%
Points / game91.789.194.6
Allowed / game90.186.694.0
Point differential+1.6+2.5+0.6
Avg total181.7175.8188.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %20%12%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik1513287%93.688.3+5.3
2 Tindastoll1511473%102.189.7+12.3
3 Stjarnan1510567%102.994.9+8.0
4 Valur1510567%91.790.1+1.6
5 Keflavik159660%94.090.9+3.1
6 KR Basket158753%99.195.6+3.5
7 Alftanes157847%91.188.4+2.7
8 IR Reykjavik156940%90.293.3-3.1
9 Njardvik1551033%95.596.9-1.4
10 Thorl1541127%90.997.9-7.0
11 Armann1541127%87.9100.7-12.8
12 Akranes IA1531220%86.398.7-12.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Grindavik2319191778
Valur1615181867
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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