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Guangzhou vs Jiangsu Dragons Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 104-77
29-21 22-24 21-8 32-24
Position#9
Record4-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game98.9
Guangzhou 🏆
China
vs
Jiangsu Dragons
China
Position#18
Record1-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game92.2
Allowed / game102.8
ChinaCBARound 8· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons
01 Jan 2027
GUAN v JIAN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
GUAN80
JIAN67
03 Jan 2025
GUAN90
JIAN96
19 Mar 2024
GUAN101
JIAN79
11 Nov 2023
GUAN104
JIAN77
18 Dec 2022
GUAN95
JIAN67
25 Oct 2022
GUAN100
JIAN101
02 Jan 2022
GUAN90
JIAN84
10 Jan 2021
GUAN90
JIAN89
22 Oct 2020
GUAN92
JIAN73
16 Jul 2020
GUAN107
JIAN100
09 Jan 2019
GUAN103
JIAN110
12 Nov 2017
GUAN113
JIAN115
14 Dec 2016
GUAN99
JIAN102
08 Jan 2016
GUAN109
JIAN116
23 Dec 2014
GUAN135
JIAN120
18 Dec 2013
GUAN94
JIAN105
16 Jan 2013
GUAN118
JIAN110
08 Feb 2012
GUAN110
JIAN108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
91-114
91
114
-23
no box
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
100-113
100
113
-13
no box
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
114-81
114
81
+33
119avg 99
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
99-84
99
84
+15
96avg 99
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
W
109-103
109
103
+6
109avg 99
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
84-97
84
97
-13
75avg 99
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
104-117
104
117
-13
93avg 99
H01/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
108-105
108
105
+3
108avg 99
A04/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
100-105
100
105
-5
91avg 99
A08/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
31-14
17-17
22-26
23-32
27-24
20-28
21-30
22-27
29-27
19-27
30-32
33-13
33-15
28-21
20-32
25-23
32-23
15-21
27-17
27-23
24-30
21-28
37-22
17-25
27-22
22-29
18-21
34-34
23-27
24-34
23-22
40-22
22-28
14-29
32-26
22-27
20-25
31-22
27-31
199.7Avg total
99.8Scored
99.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)102.698.9201.4+3.757%
Season at home (4)106.596.2202.8+10.275%
Season away (3)97.3102.3199.7-5.033%
Last 10 (10)99.899.9199.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)101.0105.4206.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)88.695.4184.0-6.825%
vs Similar (8)95.095.2190.2-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)105.990.5196.4+15.493%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Beijing
#7
L
92-123
92
123
-31
no box
A05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
L
95-119
95
119
-24
no box
A09/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
W
97-90
97
90
+7
no box
H11/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
L
104-108
104
108
-4
no box
A14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
88-95
88
95
-7
68avg 79
H23/10
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
96-105
96
105
-9
85avg 79
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
102-100
102
100
+2
88avg 79
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-105
97
105
-8
84avg 79
A30/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
89-110
89
110
-21
77avg 79
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
81-102
81
102
-21
70avg 79
H07/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-40
32-36
25-31
18-16
29-36
28-31
19-28
19-24
24-20
22-30
26-17
25-23
25-24
25-28
28-26
26-30
28-22
21-25
17-23
22-25
27-27
24-28
17-27
28-23
28-24
21-30
24-19
29-27
27-35
26-24
19-27
25-19
24-26
16-31
20-23
29-30
18-28
20-21
19-23
24-30
199.8Avg total
94.1Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)92.2102.8195.0-10.717%
Season at home (4)91.8100.5192.2-8.825%
Season away (2)93.0107.5200.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)94.1105.7199.8-11.620%
Last 5 (5)93.0104.4197.4-11.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)92.0104.8196.9-12.820%
vs Similar (9)96.297.3193.6-1.156%
vs Weaker (1)102.079.0181.0+23.0100%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
GuangzhouJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shandong
#8
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H11/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A17/04
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#3
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H19/04
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
66-28
66
28
+38
H23/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
57-46
57
46
+11
H25/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H27/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H01/11
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A04/11
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A08/11
CBA
101.4Avg total
53.0Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.545.997.5+5.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.544.496.9+8.167%-
Last 30 away (15)50.647.598.1+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)53.048.4101.4+4.640%-
Last 5 (5)51.252.6103.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)46.247.493.6-1.138%-
vs Similar (8)51.447.498.8+4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)54.644.398.9+10.479%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#7
L
49-76
49
76
-27
A05/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
L
57-67
57
67
-10
A09/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H11/04
CBA
Shanghai
#4
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A14/04
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H23/10
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H25/10
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H27/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A30/10
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A01/11
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H07/11
CBA
104.8Avg total
48.2Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.952.2100.1-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.351.199.4-2.831%-
Last 30 away (14)47.453.6101.0-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)48.256.6104.8-8.410%-
Last 5 (5)46.254.8101.0-8.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)48.654.8103.4-6.120%-
vs Similar (9)46.148.494.6-2.344%-
vs Weaker (1)49.036.085.0+13.0100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.427.6
53.6%
52.7%55.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.99.7
39.1%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.717.4
80.3%
76.0%17.4
They take 76.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.3 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.324.2
46.2%
52.7%48.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.39.5
36.1%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws21.215.2
71.7%
76.0%15.2
They take 78.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/6 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWWWLLW
Jiangsu Dragons
LLLWLLLWLL
#9
League position
#18
+3.8
Net rating
-10.6
112.8
Offensive rating
98.8
109.0
Defensive rating
109.4
55.2%
Effective FG%
48.8%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.1%
3-point %
36.1%
57.5%
Assist %
50.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.8 · 98.8Defence109.0 · 109.4Shooting55.2% · 48.8%3-point %39.1% · 36.1%Ball care18.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds32.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Jiangsu Dragons wins
DateGameScore
09/01/23Jiangsu Dragons v Guangzhou100-93
18/12/22Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons95-67
25/10/22Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons100-101
11/01/22Jiangsu Dragons v Guangzhou72-80
02/01/22Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons90-84
22/01/21Jiangsu Dragons v Guangzhou94-119
10/01/21Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons90-89
03/11/20Jiangsu Dragons v Guangzhou86-104
22/10/20Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons92-73
16/07/20Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons107-100
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/23AZhejiang Chouzhou100-105
04/11/23AShenzhen108-105
01/11/23HBeijing Royal Fighters104-117
29/10/23AZhejiang Guangsha84-97
27/10/23HFujian109-103
25/10/23HXinjiang99-84
23/10/23HShandong114-81
19/04/23HZhejiang Chouzhou100-113
17/04/23AZhejiang Chouzhou91-114
11/04/23HShandong89-80
Jiangsu Dragonslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/23HZhejiang Guangsha81-102
01/11/23AFujian89-110
30/10/23ABeijing Royal Fighters97-105
27/10/23HShandong102-100
25/10/23HShanghai96-105
23/10/23HXinjiang88-95
14/04/23AShanghai104-108
11/04/23HShanghai97-90
09/04/23AShanghai95-119
05/04/23ABeijing92-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game102.6106.597.3
Allowed / game98.996.2102.3
Point differential+3.7+10.2-5.0
Avg total201.4202.8199.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL17%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %17%25%0%
Points / game92.291.893.0
Allowed / game102.8100.5107.5
Point differential-10.7-8.8-14.5
Avg total195.0192.2200.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning770100%107.389.3+18.0
2 Beijing87188%106.198.0+8.1
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou86275%112.8100.2+12.5
4 Zhejiang Guangsha86275%100.294.6+5.6
5 Xinjiang86275%99.895.4+4.4
6 Beijing Royal Fighters85362%106.6103.5+3.1
7 Guangdong85362%102.6102.4+0.2
8 Guangzhou74357%102.698.9+3.7
9 Fujian84450%111.5108.9+2.6
10 Shenzhen84450%98.496.1+2.2
11 Shanxi Zhongyu84450%110.5111.4-0.9
12 Qingdao84450%105.0106.2-1.2
13 Shanghai83538%101.6102.5-0.9
14 Tianjin83538%103.8106.9-3.1
15 Shandong83538%98.0102.1-4.1
16 Nanjing Tongxi83538%95.5101.1-5.6
17 Jilin82625%92.599.2-6.8
18 Jiangsu Dragons61517%92.2102.8-10.7
19 Ningbo Rockets81712%91.8104.4-12.6
20 Sichuan8080%99.0113.6-14.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou29222132104
Jiangsu Dragons212482477
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