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Guangzhou vs Jiangsu Dragons Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 01 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game97.0
vs
Position#19
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game88.7
ChinaCBARound 21· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons
01 Jan 2027
GUAN v JIAN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
GUAN80
JIAN67
03 Jan 2025
GUAN90
JIAN96
19 Mar 2024
GUAN101
JIAN79
11 Nov 2023
GUAN104
JIAN77
18 Dec 2022
GUAN95
JIAN67
25 Oct 2022
GUAN100
JIAN101
02 Jan 2022
GUAN90
JIAN84
10 Jan 2021
GUAN90
JIAN89
22 Oct 2020
GUAN92
JIAN73
16 Jul 2020
GUAN107
JIAN100
09 Jan 2019
GUAN103
JIAN110
12 Nov 2017
GUAN113
JIAN115
14 Dec 2016
GUAN99
JIAN102
08 Jan 2016
GUAN109
JIAN116
23 Dec 2014
GUAN135
JIAN120
18 Dec 2013
GUAN94
JIAN105
16 Jan 2013
GUAN118
JIAN110
08 Feb 2012
GUAN110
JIAN108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
86-99
86
99
-13
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
114-81
114
81
+33
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
H30/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-35
22-22
29-16
20-26
20-25
22-12
23-20
28-19
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
180.2Avg total
87.0Scored
93.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.297.0188.2-5.850%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (3)91.0100.0191.0-9.033%
Last 10 (10)87.093.2180.2-6.240%
Last 5 (5)91.4100.6192.0-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)84.993.4178.2-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (10)93.889.0182.8+4.860%
vs Weaker (3)89.374.3163.7+15.0100%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
W
87-86
87
86
+1
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
101-85
101
85
+16
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
89-108
89
108
-19
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
81-89
81
89
-8
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
79-101
79
101
-22
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
88-78
88
78
+10
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A29/10
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-28
19-16
21-18
20-24
21-23
30-19
16-20
30-20
30-28
17-17
24-20
27-26
18-24
25-31
19-27
21-19
15-28
22-20
27-22
31-25
19-14
14-29
17-21
16-27
20-24
32-18
14-24
19-30
23-20
13-29
24-22
23-18
22-24
21-24
22-12
20-21
25-24
18-18
17-19
174.3Avg total
84.8Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.588.7171.2-6.217%
Season at home (3)84.785.3170.0-0.733%
Season away (3)80.392.0172.3-11.70%
Last 10 (10)84.889.5174.3-4.730%
Last 5 (5)82.088.6170.6-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)81.691.2172.8-9.525%
vs Similar ◀ (3)86.088.0174.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (3)91.086.7177.7+4.367%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: -0.4-0.4
GuangzhouJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shenzhen
#3
L
37-57
37
57
-20
H24/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A28/04
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#16
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#18
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
89.5Avg total
41.9Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.945.889.7-1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.944.587.4-1.650%-
Last 30 away (14)44.947.392.2-2.457%-
Last 10 (10)41.947.689.5-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.649.292.8-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.748.491.1-5.735%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)46.844.190.9+2.770%-
vs Weaker (3)40.736.777.3+4.0100%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fujian
#14
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H16/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
H18/04
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
60-48
60
48
+12
H20/04
CBA
Liaoning
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H24/04
CBA
Fujian
#8
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H17/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H19/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A23/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A25/10
CBA
Fujian
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/10
CBA
Guangdong
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A29/10
CBA
90.5Avg total
43.6Scored
46.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.547.590.0-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.345.388.6-1.940%-
Last 30 away (15)41.649.791.3-8.113%-
Last 10 (10)43.646.990.5-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)43.645.489.0-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.248.789.9-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)43.345.088.3-1.733%-
vs Weaker (3)52.040.392.3+11.7100%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.624.9
57.1%
53.6%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.65.6
28.6%
34.9%16.8
🏀 Free throws24.118.2
75.5%
74.8%18.2
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWWLLWL
Jiangsu Dragons
LWLLLLLWWL
#12
League position
#19
-11.7
Net rating
-5.4
90.5
Offensive rating
97.7
102.2
Defensive rating
103.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
52.7%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
14.7%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.2%
3-point %
28.6%
60.4%
Assist %
58.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 97.7Defence102.2 · 103.1Shooting47.4% · 52.7%3-point %33.2% · 28.6%Ball care14.7% · 14.7%Free throws0.43 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Guangzhou wins
4
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
28/04/26AGuangdong93-76
24/04/26HShenzhen86-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AGuangdong80-82
27/10/26HFujian88-78
25/10/26AShanxi Zhongyu79-101
23/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters82-93
19/10/26HShenzhen81-89
17/10/26HFujian85-89
24/04/26HLiaoning89-108
20/04/26HSichuan101-85
18/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu87-86
16/04/26HFujian76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game91.291.391.0
Allowed / game97.094.0100.0
Point differential-5.8-2.7-9.0
Avg total188.2185.3191.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%33%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLLW33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game82.584.780.3
Allowed / game88.785.392.0
Point differential-6.2-0.7-11.7
Avg total171.2170.0172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing660100%104.278.8+25.3
2 Shanghai65183%96.786.7+10.0
3 Liaoning65183%97.589.7+7.8
4 Beijing Royal Fighters64267%98.080.5+17.5
5 Shanxi Zhongyu64267%102.091.2+10.8
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou64267%84.876.2+8.7
7 Zhejiang Guangsha64267%93.092.8+0.2
8 Fujian63350%91.288.7+2.5
9 Jilin63350%84.582.8+1.7
10 Guangdong63350%87.387.7-0.3
11 Xinjiang63350%86.387.2-0.8
12 Guangzhou63350%91.297.0-5.8
13 Shenzhen63350%77.795.0-17.3
14 Qingdao62433%89.090.3-1.3
15 Shandong62433%92.096.5-4.5
16 Nanjing Tongxi62433%88.096.8-8.8
17 Sichuan62433%79.295.7-16.5
18 Tianjin61517%92.397.3-5.0
19 Jiangsu Dragons61517%82.588.7-6.2
20 Ningbo Rockets6060%77.395.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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