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Guangzhou vs Jiangsu Dragons Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 19 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 101-79
27-24 27-19 23-15 24-21
Position#9
Record22-22
FormLLLWW
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#18
Record6-38
FormWLLLW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game103.6
ChinaCBARound 45· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jiangsu Dragons
01 Jan 2027
GUAN v JIAN
upcoming
13 Apr 2026
GUAN80
JIAN67
03 Jan 2025
GUAN90
JIAN96
19 Mar 2024
GUAN101
JIAN79
11 Nov 2023
GUAN104
JIAN77
18 Dec 2022
GUAN95
JIAN67
25 Oct 2022
GUAN100
JIAN101
02 Jan 2022
GUAN90
JIAN84
10 Jan 2021
GUAN90
JIAN89
22 Oct 2020
GUAN92
JIAN73
16 Jul 2020
GUAN107
JIAN100
09 Jan 2019
GUAN103
JIAN110
12 Nov 2017
GUAN113
JIAN115
14 Dec 2016
GUAN99
JIAN102
08 Jan 2016
GUAN109
JIAN116
23 Dec 2014
GUAN135
JIAN120
18 Dec 2013
GUAN94
JIAN105
16 Jan 2013
GUAN118
JIAN110
08 Feb 2012
GUAN110
JIAN108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jiangsu Dragons winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
97-104
97
104
-7
78avg 96
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
115-100
115
100
+15
114avg 96
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
108-96
108
96
+12
103avg 96
H16/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
22-25
26-30
16-19
33-30
34-35
29-22
26-21
26-22
27-21
29-28
23-19
29-28
202.6Avg total
104.3Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)102.099.3201.4+2.750%
Season at home (22)104.598.6203.1+5.859%
Season away (22)99.6100.0199.6-0.541%
Last 10 (10)104.398.3202.6+6.050%
Last 5 (5)104.6102.2206.8+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)100.7103.3204.0-2.733%
vs Similar (12)99.2100.6199.8-1.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)106.499.9206.3+6.567%
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDragons
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
no box
H31/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
89-113
89
113
-24
76avg 80
H03/02
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
93-104
93
104
-11
91avg 80
A05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
85-106
85
106
-21
72avg 80
H07/02
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
86-107
86
107
-21
69avg 80
H29/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
102-100
102
100
+2
102avg 80
H06/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
88-107
88
107
-19
76avg 80
H09/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
69-112
69
112
-43
52avg 80
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
81-98
81
98
-17
68avg 80
A14/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
113-87
113
87
+26
114avg 80
H17/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
26-21
21-25
19-26
15-30
17-26
34-29
23-28
19-34
20-22
25-20
29-28
22-26
27-31
10-30
26-19
17-27
26-26
17-24
26-30
26-20
20-27
38-19
18-34
16-31
23-31
27-20
22-25
22-28
16-22
19-38
12-24
18-24
22-23
26-35
15-16
35-17
23-27
25-24
30-19
193.0Avg total
89.3Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)92.9103.6196.5-10.814%
Season at home (23)93.3102.2195.5-8.922%
Season away (21)92.4105.2197.6-12.95%
Last 10 (10)89.3103.7193.0-14.420%
Last 5 (5)90.6100.8191.4-10.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)91.3103.3194.7-12.011%
vs Similar (3)109.3102.3211.7+7.033%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -5.7-5.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +3.4+3.4Q4: -2.9-2.9
GuangzhouJiangsu Dragons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H11/03
CBA
Jilin
#16
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H16/03
CBA
105.2Avg total
54.8Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.552.1104.7+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.152.8106.9+1.262%-
Last 30 away (17)51.451.6102.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)54.850.4105.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.452.6108.0+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)53.355.7109.0-2.350%-
vs Similar (12)51.252.2103.3-1.042%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)53.550.3103.8+3.267%-
This opponent (Jiangsu Dragons) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Jiangsu DragonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H31/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
32-56
32
56
-24
H03/02
CBA
Fujian
#17
L
39-56
39
56
-17
A05/02
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
49-57
49
57
-8
H07/02
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H29/02
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/03
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H09/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A14/03
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H17/03
CBA
95.5Avg total
43.1Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.551.697.1-6.113%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.052.797.7-7.713%-
Last 30 away (15)45.950.596.5-4.613%-
Last 10 (10)43.152.495.5-9.310%-
Last 5 (5)44.250.094.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)44.752.196.8-7.37%-
vs Similar (3)52.047.399.3+4.767%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.826.2
51.6%
52.7%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.916.5
78.9%
76.0%16.5
They take 73.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jiangsu Dragonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jiangsu Dragons: 80.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.619.6
49.5%
52.7%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.1
31.9%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.517.0
75.6%
76.0%17.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLLLWWLWL
Jiangsu Dragons
WLLLWLLLLL
#9
League position
#18
+3.8
Net rating
-13.3
113.5
Offensive rating
97.4
109.7
Defensive rating
110.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.8%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
18.3%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.0%
3-point %
31.9%
52.3%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 97.4Defence109.7 · 110.7Shooting52.3% · 48.8%3-point %36.0% · 31.9%Ball care12.7% · 18.3%Off. rebounds30.2% · 21.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jiangsu Dragons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Guangzhou wins
3
Jiangsu Dragons wins
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24HXinjiang108-96
14/03/24AJilin115-100
11/03/24HShanghai97-104
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HNingbo Rockets113-87
14/03/24AShanghai81-98
11/03/24HQingdao69-112
09/03/24HZhejiang Chouzhou88-107
06/03/24HGuangzhou102-100
29/02/24HShanxi Zhongyu86-107
07/02/24HLiaoning85-106
05/02/24AFujian93-104
03/02/24HBeijing89-113
31/01/24HXinjiang87-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeLWWLW59%
AwayWLLLW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442222
Win %50%59%41%
Points / game102.0104.599.6
Allowed / game99.398.6100.0
Point differential+2.7+5.8-0.5
Avg total201.4203.1199.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Jiangsu Dragons
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW14%
HomeLWLLW22%
AwayLLLLL5%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %14%22%5%
Points / game92.993.392.4
Allowed / game103.6102.2105.2
Point differential-10.8-8.9-12.9
Avg total196.5195.5197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)38% (8)0% (5)
Overtime %7%4%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning4436882%103.994.3+9.6
2 Xinjiang4536980%106.096.3+9.7
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou45341176%108.8100.1+8.8
4 Guangdong44301468%109.6105.0+4.6
5 Zhejiang Guangsha44291566%104.196.8+7.2
6 Shanghai44281664%106.0102.5+3.4
7 Shenzhen44271761%105.7102.6+3.1
8 Beijing Royal Fighters44261859%106.3103.3+3.0
9 Qingdao45261958%102.399.8+2.6
10 Guangzhou44222250%102.099.3+2.7
11 Beijing44222250%100.3100.0+0.4
12 Shanxi Zhongyu44222250%110.4112.0-1.6
13 Tianjin44202445%106.4108.4-2.0
14 Nanjing Tongxi45202544%103.1106.2-3.0
15 Shandong44172739%102.6104.6-2.0
16 Fujian44162836%103.6106.7-3.1
17 Jilin44152934%103.4107.8-4.4
18 Jiangsu Dragons4463814%92.9103.6-10.8
19 Ningbo Rockets4463814%93.4107.2-13.8
20 Sichuan444409%97.0111.8-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou27272324101
Jiangsu Dragons2419152179
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