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Guangzhou vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 129-122
28-31 35-31 36-22 30-38
Position#9
Record10-10
FormLLWLL
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game98.4
vs
Position#16
Record6-14
FormWLWWL
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game105.1
ChinaCBARound 21· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jilin
30 Mar 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
GUAN87
JILI74
31 Mar 2025
GUAN102
JILI103
30 Nov 2024
GUAN140
JILI117
24 Dec 2023
GUAN129
JILI122
27 Oct 2022
GUAN112
JILI116
12 Nov 2021
GUAN107
JILI104
30 Mar 2021
GUAN95
JILI120
13 Nov 2020
GUAN94
JILI101
31 Dec 2019
GUAN93
JILI101
13 Mar 2019
GUAN136
JILI108
21 Nov 2018
GUAN129
JILI109
07 Feb 2018
GUAN124
JILI96
01 Nov 2016
GUAN76
JILI80
08 Nov 2015
GUAN109
JILI115
25 Nov 2014
GUAN116
JILI109
08 Jan 2014
GUAN109
JILI114
26 Dec 2012
GUAN111
JILI99
30 Nov 2011
GUAN99
JILI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
96-83
96
83
+13
97avg 95
A01/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
108-115
108
115
-7
103avg 95
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
99-80
99
80
+19
107avg 95
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
98-100
98
100
-2
87avg 95
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
100avg 95
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
99-106
99
106
-7
78avg 95
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
93-106
93
106
-13
87avg 95
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
115-112
115
112
+3
106avg 95
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
91-95
91
95
-4
83avg 95
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
98-110
98
110
-12
94avg 95
A22/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-29
24-21
33-19
18-14
29-18
25-28
31-29
23-40
32-13
20-21
26-20
21-26
32-31
20-25
24-22
22-22
26-21
34-30
24-17
21-26
22-25
25-24
19-24
33-33
17-30
26-29
25-32
25-15
25-32
25-25
30-27
35-28
22-27
29-24
13-24
27-20
24-30
23-29
31-23
20-28
200.3Avg total
100.2Scored
100.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)101.098.4199.4+2.550%
Season at home (10)102.496.4198.8+6.050%
Season away (10)99.5100.4199.9-0.950%
Last 10 (10)100.2100.1200.3+0.140%
Last 5 (5)99.2105.8205.0-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.899.2195.0-3.333%
vs Similar (12)96.898.9195.8-2.133%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)104.292.6196.8+11.792%
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 90
H01/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
99-112
99
112
-13
92avg 90
H03/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
93-113
93
113
-20
83avg 90
A05/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
98-102
98
102
-4
80avg 90
A08/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
116-100
116
100
+16
113avg 90
H10/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
125-118
125
118
+7
113avg 90
H12/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
125-129 OT
125
129
-4
no box
A16/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
110-107
110
107
+3
97avg 90
A18/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
117-101
117
101
+16
117avg 90
H20/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
84-110
84
110
-26
72avg 90
H22/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
24-28
21-23
24-24
18-34
33-20
27-30
21-28
25-22
22-34
31-35
15-22
24-24
27-25
27-20
20-33
27-29
29-33
34-23
26-15
34-29
38-29
19-29
34-31
26-36
36-23
20-26
30-27
23-30
26-30
27-16
34-31
26-35
39-22
32-26
20-18
20-36
18-30
27-23
19-21
215.6Avg total
106.3Scored
109.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)100.1105.1205.2-5.030%
Season at home (10)102.6104.6207.2-2.040%
Season away (10)97.6105.6203.2-8.020%
Last 10 (10)106.3109.3215.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)112.2113.0225.2-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)93.7106.9200.6-13.26%
vs Similar (8)100.2103.6203.9-3.450%
vs Weaker (4)108.0108.0216.0+0.050%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.7-0.7
GuangzhouJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A01/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H03/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H06/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
60-51
60
51
+9
A11/12
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A13/12
CBA
Tianjin
#14
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
L
50-57
50
57
-7
A17/12
CBA
Beijing
#11
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A19/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A22/12
CBA
101.3Avg total
50.1Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.348.499.6+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.346.698.9+5.757%-
Last 30 away (16)50.449.9100.3+0.444%-
Last 10 (10)50.151.2101.3-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)47.655.0102.6-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)48.349.297.5-0.833%-
vs Similar (12)52.449.4101.8+3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)51.646.998.5+4.758%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H01/12
CBA
Xinjiang
#3
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H03/12
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A05/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
51-49
51
49
+2
A08/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H10/12
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#13
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H12/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
62-59
62
59
+3
A16/12
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A18/12
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H20/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
38-66
38
66
-28
H22/12
CBA
111.7Avg total
54.2Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.555.5106.0-5.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.354.5106.9-2.227%-
Last 30 away (15)48.756.5105.2-7.727%-
Last 10 (10)54.257.5111.7-3.340%-
Last 5 (5)57.260.0117.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)47.755.6103.3-7.911%-
vs Similar (8)54.152.2106.4+1.950%-
vs Weaker (4)56.061.5117.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 97.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.127.1
54.1%
52.7%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.1
35.8%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.916.2
77.5%
76.0%16.2
They take 75.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 104.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.825.4
55.5%
52.7%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.711.7
33.7%
34.6%35.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.8
76.4%
76.0%18.8
They take 80.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWLLWLWLW
Jilin
LWWLWWLLLL
#9
League position
#16
-1.3
Net rating
-2.7
111.6
Offensive rating
110.7
112.9
Defensive rating
113.4
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.5%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.8%
3-point %
33.7%
50.0%
Assist %
64.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.7Defence112.9 · 113.4Shooting54.0% · 53.4%3-point %35.8% · 33.7%Ball care16.2% · 15.5%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
10/04/21Jilin v Guangzhou85-103
30/03/21Guangzhou v Jilin95-120
13/11/20Guangzhou v Jilin94-101
28/10/20Jilin v Guangzhou99-87
21/07/20Jilin v Guangzhou98-95
31/12/19Guangzhou v Jilin93-101
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23AXinjiang98-110
19/12/23ABeijing91-95
17/12/23ANanjing Tongxi115-112
15/12/23HTianjin93-106
13/12/23AShanghai99-106
11/12/23AShanxi Zhongyu105-94
08/12/23HShanghai98-100
06/12/23HNingbo Rockets99-80
03/12/23HShenzhen108-115
01/12/23AJiangsu Dragons96-83
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HJiangsu Dragons84-110
20/12/23HSichuan117-101
18/12/23ABeijing Royal Fighters110-107
16/12/23AQingdao125-129 OT
12/12/23HNanjing Tongxi125-118
10/12/23HNingbo Rockets116-100
08/12/23ANanjing Tongxi98-102
05/12/23AShenzhen93-113
03/12/23HXinjiang99-112
01/12/23HZhejiang Guangsha96-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game101.0102.499.5
Allowed / game98.496.4100.4
Point differential+2.5+6.0-0.9
Avg total199.3198.8199.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)0% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jilin
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL30%
HomeLWWWL40%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %30%40%20%
Points / game100.1102.697.6
Allowed / game105.1104.6105.6
Point differential-5.0-2.0-8.0
Avg total205.2207.2203.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liaoning1917289%102.891.3+11.5
2 Zhejiang Chouzhou2017385%107.695.5+12.1
3 Xinjiang2017385%104.395.5+8.9
4 Zhejiang Guangsha2015575%104.595.2+9.3
5 Guangdong2015575%109.2104.2+4.9
6 Shenzhen2013765%104.599.5+5.0
7 Beijing2011955%102.6100.8+1.8
8 Qingdao2011955%101.0101.6-0.6
9 Shanxi Zhongyu1910953%109.6110.4-0.8
10 Guangzhou20101050%101.098.4+2.5
11 Shanghai20101050%103.5103.7-0.2
12 Beijing Royal Fighters2091145%105.3104.5+0.8
13 Shandong2081240%101.8103.2-1.4
14 Tianjin2081240%101.7107.0-5.2
15 Fujian2071335%106.0110.2-4.2
16 Jilin2061430%100.1105.1-5.0
17 Nanjing Tongxi2061430%99.6105.3-5.7
18 Ningbo Rockets2041620%93.6103.3-9.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons1831517%93.4102.8-9.4
20 Sichuan201195%99.5114.3-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou28353630129
Jilin31312238122
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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