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Guangzhou vs Jilin Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 31 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 102-103
27-30 26-36 29-24 20-13
Position#16
Record12-33
FormLLLWW
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Jilin 🏆
China
Position#14
Record13-32
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.3
Allowed / game112.0
ChinaCBARound 46· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jilin
30 Mar 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
GUAN87
JILI74
31 Mar 2025
GUAN102
JILI103
30 Nov 2024
GUAN140
JILI117
24 Dec 2023
GUAN129
JILI122
27 Oct 2022
GUAN112
JILI116
12 Nov 2021
GUAN107
JILI104
30 Mar 2021
GUAN95
JILI120
13 Nov 2020
GUAN94
JILI101
31 Dec 2019
GUAN93
JILI101
13 Mar 2019
GUAN136
JILI108
21 Nov 2018
GUAN129
JILI109
07 Feb 2018
GUAN124
JILI96
01 Nov 2016
GUAN76
JILI80
08 Nov 2015
GUAN109
JILI115
25 Nov 2014
GUAN116
JILI109
08 Jan 2014
GUAN109
JILI114
26 Dec 2012
GUAN111
JILI99
30 Nov 2011
GUAN99
JILI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
80-126
80
126
-46
52avg 87
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
86-104
86
104
-18
85avg 87
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
109-101 OT
109
101
+8
110avg 87
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
96-87
96
87
+9
92avg 87
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
87-79
87
79
+8
72avg 87
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
80-116
80
116
-36
64avg 87
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
77-98
77
98
-21
68avg 87
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
108-135
108
135
-27
99avg 87
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
104-90
104
90
+14
108avg 87
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
114-106
114
106
+8
109avg 87
H27/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
26-24
15-41
20-36
24-31
18-24
22-26
22-23
32-32
19-15
26-25
19-24
14-21
27-16
26-31
29-19
21-22
16-19
24-16
26-22
21-35
24-25
25-23
10-33
24-19
15-34
15-21
23-24
27-38
24-39
26-29
31-29
26-20
31-27
27-23
20-20
28-30
30-27
29-19
27-30
198.3Avg total
94.1Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)96.6106.8203.5-10.227%
Season at home (22)97.8106.9204.6-9.127%
Season away (23)95.5106.8202.3-11.326%
Last 10 (10)94.1104.2198.3-10.150%
Last 5 (5)96.6109.0205.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)92.4112.0204.4-19.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)98.993.0191.9+5.970%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
118-102
118
102
+16
110avg 90
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
93-115
93
115
-22
82avg 90
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-112
99
112
-13
-59avg 90
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
103-118
103
118
-15
95avg 90
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
127-133
127
133
-6
122avg 90
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
99-136
99
136
-37
88avg 90
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
108-134
108
134
-26
92avg 90
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
88-95
88
95
-7
70avg 90
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
90-104
90
104
-14
75avg 90
H24/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
94-106
94
106
-12
76avg 90
A27/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
38-30
24-33
31-16
26-20
22-33
20-34
25-28
24-28
32-21
20-31
23-32
19-34
27-27
30-29
27-28
45-41
30-39
26-30
26-23
20-44
36-33
21-34
22-25
29-34
27-34
33-33
19-33
25-35
28-21
20-19
15-20
20-26
27-31
23-27
20-20
24-23
25-31
21-28
24-24
217.4Avg total
101.9Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)102.3112.0214.3-9.829%
Season at home (23)104.3105.9210.2-1.648%
Season away (22)100.1118.5218.6-18.49%
Last 10 (10)101.9115.5217.4-13.610%
Last 5 (5)95.8115.0210.8-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)97.3116.9214.1-19.69%
vs Similar ◀ (8)106.4101.4207.8+5.062%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
GuangzhouJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Qingdao
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A05/03
CBA
Shenzhen
#13
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H08/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H10/03
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/03
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H14/03
CBA
Xinjiang
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H16/03
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
51-77
51
77
-26
A21/03
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A24/03
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H27/03
CBA
98.9Avg total
46.6Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.953.0100.8-5.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.451.499.8-3.040%-
Last 30 away (15)47.354.5101.9-7.233%-
Last 10 (10)46.652.398.9-5.740%-
Last 5 (5)50.058.8108.8-8.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)47.956.2104.1-8.420%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.946.594.4+1.470%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sichuan
#19
W
63-53
63
53
+10
H05/03
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#12
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H07/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A09/03
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H11/03
CBA
Shanghai
#10
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H14/03
CBA
Liaoning
#4
L
56-77
56
77
-21
A17/03
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A19/03
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H21/03
CBA
Guangzhou
#16
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H24/03
CBA
Guangdong
#8
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A27/03
CBA
115.7Avg total
54.9Scored
60.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.358.6111.9-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)56.457.5113.9-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)50.659.6110.2-9.119%-
Last 10 (10)54.960.8115.7-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)52.262.4114.6-10.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)51.560.8112.3-9.414%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)58.452.6111.0+5.862%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.222.5
54.6%
52.6%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.611.4
35.0%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
76.3%13.7
They take 73.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 100.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.122.7
50.3%
52.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.7
34.5%
35.1%35.1
🏀 Free throws27.420.4
74.5%
76.3%20.4
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WWLLLWWWLL
Jilin
LLLLLLLLLW
#16
League position
#14
-12.1
Net rating
-14.8
102.9
Offensive rating
111.8
115.0
Defensive rating
126.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
50.9%
55.5%
Opp. effective FG%
61.5%
21.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.0%
3-point %
34.5%
56.3%
Assist %
62.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 111.8Defence115.0 · 126.6Shooting53.7% · 50.9%3-point %35.0% · 34.5%Ball care21.4% · 13.9%Off. rebounds28.1% · 28.0%Free throws0.25 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
24/03/25Jilin v Guangzhou90-104
30/11/24Guangzhou v Jilin140-117
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
27/10/22Guangzhou v Jilin112-116 OT
12/11/21Guangzhou v Jilin107-104
31/10/21Jilin v Guangzhou94-95
10/04/21Jilin v Guangzhou85-103
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25HFujian114-106
24/03/25AJilin104-90
21/03/25ALiaoning108-135
19/03/25AShandong77-98
16/03/25HXinjiang80-116
14/03/25HSichuan87-79
12/03/25ATianjin96-87
10/03/25HFujian109-101 OT
08/03/25HShenzhen86-104
05/03/25AQingdao80-126
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/25AGuangdong94-106
24/03/25HGuangzhou90-104
21/03/25HQingdao88-95
19/03/25ABeijing108-134
17/03/25ALiaoning99-136
14/03/25HShanghai127-133
11/03/25HZhejiang Guangsha103-118
09/03/25ALiaoning99-112
07/03/25HNanjing Tongxi93-115
05/03/25HSichuan118-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW27%
HomeLWWLW27%
AwayLWLLW26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %27%27%26%
Points / game96.697.895.5
Allowed / game106.8106.9106.8
Point differential-10.2-9.1-11.3
Avg total203.5204.6202.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%14%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Jilin
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL48%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452322
Win %29%48%9%
Points / game102.3104.3100.1
Allowed / game112.0105.9118.5
Point differential-9.8-1.6-18.4
Avg total214.3210.2218.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha4538784%104.493.2+11.3
2 Shanxi Zhongyu45331273%114.7109.0+5.7
3 Shandong45321371%105.198.6+6.5
4 Liaoning45311469%106.899.8+7.0
5 Xinjiang45311469%108.8102.0+6.8
6 Beijing45311469%103.496.8+6.6
7 Guangdong45301567%104.497.2+7.2
8 Qingdao45301567%105.5100.2+5.3
9 Zhejiang Chouzhou45291664%111.9104.7+7.3
10 Shanghai45271860%110.2103.4+6.8
11 Beijing Royal Fighters45271860%106.8102.8+4.0
12 Nanjing Tongxi45232251%107.0107.7-0.6
13 Shenzhen45172838%104.4106.8-2.4
14 Jilin45133229%102.3112.0-9.8
15 Tianjin45123327%102.8111.1-8.4
16 Guangzhou45123327%96.6106.8-10.2
17 Ningbo Rockets45103522%102.6114.4-11.8
18 Fujian4593620%105.1115.4-10.3
19 Sichuan4593620%99.7110.3-10.6
20 Jiangsu Dragons4563913%92.8103.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou27262920102
Jilin30362413103
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