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Guangzhou vs Jilin Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 30 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#9
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game91.2
Allowed / game95.1
vs
Position#11
Record3-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game86.9
Allowed / game87.1
ChinaCBARound 44· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Guangzhou v Jilin
30 Mar 2027
GUAN v JILI
upcoming
28 Dec 2025
GUAN87
JILI74
31 Mar 2025
GUAN102
JILI103
30 Nov 2024
GUAN140
JILI117
24 Dec 2023
GUAN129
JILI122
27 Oct 2022
GUAN112
JILI116
12 Nov 2021
GUAN107
JILI104
30 Mar 2021
GUAN95
JILI120
13 Nov 2020
GUAN94
JILI101
31 Dec 2019
GUAN93
JILI101
13 Mar 2019
GUAN136
JILI108
21 Nov 2018
GUAN129
JILI109
07 Feb 2018
GUAN124
JILI96
01 Nov 2016
GUAN76
JILI80
08 Nov 2015
GUAN109
JILI115
25 Nov 2014
GUAN116
JILI109
08 Jan 2014
GUAN109
JILI114
26 Dec 2012
GUAN111
JILI99
30 Nov 2011
GUAN99
JILI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Jilin win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
64-85
64
85
-21
52avg 77
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
80-90
80
90
-10
35avg 77
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
114-81
114
81
+33
no box
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
86-102
86
102
-16
no box
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
73-117
73
117
-44
no box
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
no box
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
93-113
93
113
-20
no box
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
7-25
18-16
22-17
20-23
27-29
16-18
17-20
27-11
24-21
22-19
17-28
26-16
31-24
30-22
27-19
27-28
19-24
19-18
21-32
16-32
19-32
18-30
20-23
19-21
23-15
19-27
14-12
23-23
15-31
32-34
23-25
33-21
15-24
28-18
14-16
21-24
24-35
26-18
22-23
181.0Avg total
87.4Scored
93.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.295.1186.4-3.950%
Season at home (3)91.394.0185.3-2.767%
Season away (5)91.295.8187.0-4.640%
Last 10 (10)87.493.6181.0-6.240%
Last 5 (5)88.099.8187.8-11.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.694.1179.6-8.518%
vs Similar ◀ (9)91.289.2180.4+2.056%
vs Weaker (4)95.576.0171.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJilin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
65-84
65
84
-19
49avg 70
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
55-105
55
105
-50
38avg 70
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
88-91
88
91
-3
no box
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
no box
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
81-82
81
82
-1
no box
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
79-90
79
90
-11
no box
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
109-110 OT
109
110
-1
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-26
14-25
18-21
20-12
8-27
13-34
25-23
9-21
25-16
21-21
12-18
24-29
22-24
20-24
26-22
20-21
21-18
28-21
29-20
11-24
20-24
22-23
19-22
21-12
18-29
23-21
27-15
17-11
22-19
22-26
16-18
21-19
21-33
24-15
18-28
16-14
24-25
25-27
21-24
28-22
170.1Avg total
81.5Scored
88.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)86.987.1174.0-0.238%
Season at home (5)83.886.0169.8-2.220%
Season away (3)92.089.0181.0+3.067%
Last 10 (10)81.588.6170.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)87.287.8175.0-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)80.394.5174.8-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (5)80.686.0166.6-5.440%
vs Weaker (5)92.283.4175.6+8.860%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
GuangzhouJilin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Guangdong
#6
L
24-52
24
52
-28
H01/05
CBA
Guangdong
#6
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/05
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H18/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A20/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A23/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
35-64
35
64
-29
A25/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H27/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H30/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A01/11
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A03/11
CBA
91.9Avg total
43.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.046.690.5-2.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.744.987.6-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)45.248.393.5-3.153%-
Last 10 (10)43.348.691.9-5.340%-
Last 5 (5)41.651.693.2-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)42.849.492.2-6.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)45.945.291.1+0.767%-
vs Weaker (4)44.837.582.2+7.2100%-
This opponent (Jilin) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JilinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ningbo Rockets
#11
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A20/04
CBA
Beijing
#4
L
21-61
21
61
-40
A24/04
CBA
Beijing
#1
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H18/10
CBA
Sichuan
#19
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H20/10
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H22/10
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#8
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A24/10
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A26/10
CBA
Shenzhen
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H30/10
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H01/11
CBA
Shanghai
#2
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A03/11
CBA
88.4Avg total
40.6Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.548.288.7-7.727%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.646.489.0-3.835%-
Last 30 away (13)37.750.588.2-12.815%-
Last 10 (10)40.647.888.4-7.220%-
Last 5 (5)44.248.492.6-4.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)38.749.187.8-10.430%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)42.645.688.2-3.020%-
vs Weaker (5)45.447.092.4-1.620%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.818.7
45.8%
53.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.6
33.2%
35.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws28.420.6
72.5%
74.8%20.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jilintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jilin: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.8
50.4%
53.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
35.0%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
74.8%13.0
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLWLLWWLL
Jilin
LLLWWWLLLL
#9
League position
#11
-11.7
Net rating
-12.7
90.5
Offensive rating
90.3
102.2
Defensive rating
103.1
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.8%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.6%
14.7%
Turnover %
13.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.2%
3-point %
31.2%
60.4%
Assist %
66.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 90.3Defence102.2 · 103.1Shooting47.4% · 48.8%3-point %33.2% · 31.2%Ball care14.7% · 13.9%Free throws0.43 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Jilin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Guangzhou wins
2
Jilin wins
DateGameScore
01/11/26Jilin v Guangzhou79-90
18/04/26Jilin v Guangzhou75-93
28/12/25Guangzhou v Jilin87-74
31/03/25Guangzhou v Jilin102-103
24/03/25Jilin v Guangzhou90-104
30/11/24Guangzhou v Jilin140-117
01/11/24Jilin v Guangzhou114-94
14/03/24Jilin v Guangzhou100-115
24/12/23Guangzhou v Jilin129-122
05/04/23Jilin v Guangzhou87-104
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26ALiaoning93-100
01/11/26AJilin90-79
30/10/26HShanxi Zhongyu93-113
27/10/26HBeijing Royal Fighters91-90 OT
25/10/26ABeijing73-117
23/10/26ATianjin86-102
20/10/26ANanjing Tongxi114-81
18/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou90-79
03/05/26AGuangdong80-90
01/05/26HGuangdong64-85
Jilinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanghai109-110 OT
01/11/26HGuangzhou79-90
30/10/26HShenzhen81-82
26/10/26ANingbo Rockets85-76
24/10/26AZhejiang Guangsha82-81
22/10/26HXinjiang89-83
20/10/26HSichuan88-91
18/10/26HBeijing82-84
24/04/26ABeijing55-105
20/04/26ANingbo Rockets65-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%67%40%
Points / game91.291.391.2
Allowed / game95.194.095.8
Point differential-3.9-2.7-4.6
Avg total186.4185.3187.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %12%33%0%
Jilin
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL38%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%20%67%
Points / game86.983.892.0
Allowed / game87.186.089.0
Point differential-0.2-2.2+3.0
Avg total174.0169.8181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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