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Guangzhou vs Shanghai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 106-113 (OT)
30-23 18-24 16-22 27-22 15-22
Position#16
Record6-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game108.3
vs
Position#10
Record5-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game105.3
Allowed / game104.9
ChinaCBARound 18· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shanghai
24 Jan 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
GUAN89
SHAN90
16 Dec 2024
GUAN106
SHAN113
11 Mar 2024
GUAN97
SHAN104
08 Dec 2023
GUAN98
SHAN100
14 Dec 2022
GUAN92
SHAN98
15 Jan 2022
GUAN84
SHAN103
08 Mar 2021
GUAN96
SHAN95
04 Jul 2020
GUAN101
SHAN105
24 Nov 2019
GUAN119
SHAN113
16 Dec 2018
GUAN117
SHAN111
29 Oct 2017
GUAN118
SHAN102
30 Dec 2016
GUAN93
SHAN100
26 Jan 2016
GUAN127
SHAN113
23 Jan 2015
GUAN116
SHAN110
08 Dec 2013
GUAN94
SHAN83
01 Feb 2013
GUAN118
SHAN112
25 Nov 2011
GUAN102
SHAN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shanghai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 93
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
140-117
140
117
+23
143avg 93
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
68avg 93
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 93
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
104-130
104
130
-26
100avg 93
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 93
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
94avg 93
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
103-113
103
113
-10
89avg 93
H14/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
25-20
19-31
26-27
28-15
24-26
18-15
19-13
32-20
22-38
31-21
23-18
38-22
27-28
43-33
32-34
29-17
24-32
15-34
14-18
31-21
32-17
22-25
26-33
29-29
32-31
28-34
15-36
26-32
28-31
14-34
25-25
31-23
20-20
24-26
31-20
26-31
29-33
19-20
29-29
206.3Avg total
102.7Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)101.2108.3209.5-7.135%
Season at home (9)103.8112.3216.1-8.633%
Season away (8)98.2103.8202.0-5.538%
Last 10 (10)102.7103.6206.3-0.950%
Last 5 (5)103.4110.0213.4-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)92.5107.0199.5-14.512%
vs Similar (11)101.697.2198.8+4.573%
vs Weaker (2)106.087.5193.5+18.5100%
This opponent (Shanghai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShanghaiChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShanghai
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
L
83-99
83
99
-16
75avg 101
H03/11
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
81-64
81
64
+17
no box
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#11
W
94-84
94
84
+10
no box
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Fujian
#16
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shandong
#6
L
101-115
101
115
-14
96avg 101
A02/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
124-94
124
94
+30
126avg 101
H06/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
113-77
113
77
+36
125avg 101
H08/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
129-94
129
94
+35
138avg 101
H10/12
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
124-91
124
91
+33
104avg 101
A14/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-31
24-31
22-24
26-13
24-20
21-34
29-17
14-13
24-17
15-20
23-11
19-16
17-26
27-14
27-14
23-30
22-22
23-19
18-22
26-17
25-29
29-29
16-28
31-29
28-25
39-27
32-14
25-28
39-24
28-26
28-10
18-17
39-30
34-16
33-29
23-19
33-21
30-23
32-29
29-18
190.8Avg total
102.6Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)105.3104.9210.2+0.333%
Season at home (7)107.998.7206.6+9.143%
Season away (8)103.0110.4213.4-7.425%
Last 10 (10)102.688.2190.8+14.480%
Last 5 (5)118.294.2212.4+24.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.7115.3220.0-10.733%
vs Similar (13)104.8107.8212.5-3.031%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)100.591.5191.9+9.073%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +5.7+5.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +6.2+6.2Q4Q4: -1.3-1.3Q4: +3.4+3.4
GuangzhouShanghai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/12
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
55-64
55
64
-9
H14/12
CBA
106.4Avg total
55.4Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.651.1101.7-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.951.1103.0+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)49.351.1100.4-1.740%-
Last 10 (10)55.451.0106.4+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)56.853.6110.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)50.652.2102.8-1.635%-
vs Similar (11)50.349.499.6+0.945%-
vs Weaker (2)52.551.0103.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Shanghai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShanghaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#3
L
35-62
35
62
-27
H03/11
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#8
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A15/11
CBA Club Cup
Shenzhen
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H16/11
CBA Club Cup
Fujian
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Shandong
#6
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A02/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H06/12
CBA
Sichuan
#19
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H08/12
CBA
Tianjin
#15
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H10/12
CBA
Guangdong
#8
W
63-44
63
44
+19
A14/12
CBA
101.6Avg total
53.2Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.052.4105.4+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.450.8106.2+4.664%-
Last 30 away (16)50.953.8104.7-2.831%-
Last 10 (10)53.248.4101.6+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)64.850.0114.8+14.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.255.0109.2-0.833%-
vs Similar (13)53.154.3107.4-1.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)52.448.6101.0+3.764%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 102.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.726.3
51.9%
52.6%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.6
36.4%
35.1%31.8
🏀 Free throws25.318.2
71.9%
76.3%18.2
They take 79.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shanghaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shanghai: 106.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.426.4
56.9%
52.6%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.912.5
35.8%
35.1%37.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.6
72.2%
76.3%16.6
They take 81.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LWLLWLWWWL
Shanghai
WWWWLWWWWL
#16
League position
#10
-4.3
Net rating
+4.0
109.9
Offensive rating
114.2
114.2
Defensive rating
110.3
52.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
56.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
19.6%
Turnover %
16.1%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.4%
3-point %
35.8%
63.7%
Assist %
77.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 114.2Defence114.2 · 110.3Shooting52.9% · 55.5%3-point %36.4% · 35.8%Ball care19.6% · 16.1%Off. rebounds34.6% · 29.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shanghai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Shanghai wins
DateGameScore
11/03/24Guangzhou v Shanghai97-104
01/02/24Shanghai v Guangzhou100-92
13/12/23Shanghai v Guangzhou106-99
08/12/23Guangzhou v Shanghai98-100
28/12/22Shanghai v Guangzhou121-92
14/12/22Guangzhou v Shanghai92-98
15/01/22Guangzhou v Shanghai84-103
31/12/21Shanghai v Guangzhou105-101
08/03/21Guangzhou v Shanghai96-95
03/02/21Shanghai v Guangzhou98-93
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HQingdao103-113
11/12/24HNingbo Rockets106-89
09/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou93-122
07/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu104-130
04/12/24AFujian111-96
02/12/24HBeijing82-101
30/11/24HJilin140-117
27/11/24HTianjin108-97
17/11/24ATianjin89-69
16/11/24AJiangsu Dragons91-102
Shanghailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AGuangdong124-91
10/12/24HTianjin129-94
08/12/24HSichuan113-77
06/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou124-94
02/12/24AShandong101-115
17/11/24AFujian89-80
16/11/24HShenzhen94-84
15/11/24ANingbo Rockets81-64
12/11/24HShanxi Zhongyu88-84
03/11/24HBeijing83-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL35%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%33%38%
Points / game101.2103.898.2
Allowed / game108.3112.3103.8
Point differential-7.1-8.6-5.5
Avg total209.5216.1202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shanghai
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW33%
HomeLLWWW43%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %33%43%25%
Points / game105.3107.9103.0
Allowed / game104.998.7110.4
Point differential+0.3+9.1-7.4
Avg total210.2206.6213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1815383%103.693.6+10.1
2 Xinjiang1713476%112.6101.0+11.6
3 Liaoning1713476%108.297.3+10.9
4 Shanxi Zhongyu1713476%115.8107.7+8.1
5 Beijing1612475%100.493.6+6.8
6 Shandong1813572%104.3100.4+3.9
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou1812667%114.3105.8+8.4
8 Beijing Royal Fighters1710759%103.799.9+3.8
9 Qingdao1710759%100.8100.1+0.7
10 Nanjing Tongxi1710759%107.6106.9+0.6
11 Guangdong179853%106.1103.7+2.4
12 Jilin1871139%106.7111.0-4.3
13 Guangzhou1761135%101.2108.3-7.1
14 Tianjin1761135%100.6108.8-8.2
15 Shanghai1551033%105.3104.9+0.3
16 Ningbo Rockets1861233%104.2113.1-8.8
17 Sichuan1851328%100.2107.6-7.3
18 Shenzhen1841422%101.2108.0-6.8
19 Jiangsu Dragons1721512%95.2105.3-10.1
20 Fujian171166%101.9116.1-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Guangzhou3018162715106
Shanghai2324222222113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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