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Guangzhou vs Qingdao Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 103-113
26-31 29-33 19-20 29-29
Position#16
Record6-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game101.1
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Qingdao 🏆
China
Position#7
Record9-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game100.1
Allowed / game99.9
ChinaCBARound 17· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Guangzhou v Qingdao
11 Dec 2026
GUAN v QING
upcoming
26 Mar 2026
GUAN88
QING90
05 Jan 2025
GUAN90
QING103
14 Dec 2024
GUAN103
QING113
14 Apr 2024
GUAN92
QING78
25 Jan 2024
GUAN108
QING98
13 Nov 2023
GUAN96
QING101
20 Dec 2022
GUAN88
QING89
12 Oct 2022
GUAN59
QING80
06 Jan 2022
GUAN108
QING97
26 Jan 2021
GUAN111
QING116
20 Oct 2020
GUAN88
QING112
17 Jan 2020
GUAN116
QING113
01 Mar 2019
GUAN119
QING109
29 Dec 2018
GUAN111
QING102
21 Jan 2018
GUAN121
QING113
13 Jan 2017
GUAN85
QING94
08 Dec 2015
GUAN111
QING116
13 Jan 2015
GUAN115
QING125
15 Dec 2013
GUAN99
QING109
06 Jan 2013
GUAN129
QING110
15 Feb 2012
GUAN107
QING101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qingdao winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
80-93
80
93
-13
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
L
91-102
91
102
-11
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
W
108-97
108
97
+11
102avg 93
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
140-117
140
117
+23
143avg 93
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
L
82-101
82
101
-19
68avg 93
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
111-96
111
96
+15
108avg 93
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
L
104-130
104
130
-26
100avg 93
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
93-122
93
122
-29
80avg 93
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
106-89
106
89
+17
94avg 93
H11/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
15-17
27-23
19-30
21-24
25-20
19-31
26-27
28-15
24-26
18-15
19-13
32-20
22-38
31-21
23-18
38-22
27-28
43-33
32-34
29-17
24-32
15-34
14-18
31-21
32-17
22-25
26-33
29-29
32-31
28-34
15-36
26-32
28-31
14-34
25-25
31-23
20-20
24-26
31-20
202.0Avg total
100.4Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)101.1108.0209.1-6.938%
Season at home (8)103.9112.2216.1-8.438%
Season away (8)98.2103.8202.0-5.538%
Last 10 (10)100.4101.6202.0-1.250%
Last 5 (5)99.2107.6206.8-8.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)91.9106.6198.5-14.812%
vs Similar (11)101.697.2198.8+4.573%
vs Weaker (3)105.091.3196.3+13.7100%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Beijing
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
102-99
102
99
+3
99avg 96
H29/11
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
121-114
121
114
+7
111avg 96
H02/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 96
H04/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
92avg 96
H07/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
W
89-87
89
87
+2
61avg 96
A09/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
99-123
99
123
-24
88avg 96
A11/12
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-24
20-19
26-15
8-23
28-17
16-25
20-19
25-19
22-17
14-19
31-19
27-23
27-23
18-30
19-27
22-15
31-24
24-22
26-27
21-26
29-29
38-21
22-29
32-35
18-25
26-33
21-23
28-24
22-32
22-23
27-20
27-27
32-26
12-20
24-26
21-15
22-38
22-35
24-30
31-20
191.1Avg total
94.7Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)100.199.9200.0+0.156%
Season at home (9)104.3100.4204.8+3.956%
Season away (7)94.699.3193.9-4.757%
Last 10 (10)94.796.4191.1-1.750%
Last 5 (5)100.0106.2206.2-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)92.7102.0194.7-9.30%
vs Similar (16)98.2101.8199.9-3.638%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)101.290.5191.7+10.691%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.1-1.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.5+1.5
GuangzhouQingdao
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Jiangsu Dragons
#9
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#12
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A17/11
CBA Club Cup
Tianjin
#15
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H27/11
CBA
Jilin
#14
W
65-50
65
50
+15
H30/11
CBA
Beijing
#3
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H02/12
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A04/12
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#2
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H07/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H09/12
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#17
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H11/12
CBA
101.9Avg total
53.3Scored
48.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.250.5100.7-0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.650.2101.9+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)48.950.899.8-1.938%-
Last 10 (10)53.348.6101.9+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)56.450.6107.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)50.351.5101.8-1.238%-
vs Similar (11)50.349.499.6+0.945%-
vs Weaker (3)49.349.799.0-0.333%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing
#5
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H12/11
CBA Club Cup
Nanjing Tongxi
#14
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A13/11
CBA Club Cup
Liaoning
#17
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H15/11
CBA Club Cup
Xinjiang
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A16/11
CBA Club Cup
Beijing Royal Fighters
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H29/11
CBA
Fujian
#18
W
67-50
67
50
+17
H02/12
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#1
L
44-58
44
58
-14
H04/12
CBA
Shandong
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H07/12
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#20
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A09/12
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#9
L
44-73
44
73
-29
A11/12
CBA
96.7Avg total
46.5Scored
50.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.948.398.3+1.657%-
Last 30 at home (18)50.847.398.1+3.661%-
Last 30 away (12)48.649.998.5-1.350%-
Last 10 (10)46.550.296.7-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)48.656.4105.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)44.756.0100.7-11.30%-
vs Similar (16)50.250.4100.6-0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)51.043.394.3+7.773%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 103.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.527.3
53.0%
52.6%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.4
36.9%
35.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.117.3
71.8%
76.3%17.3
They take 79.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 103.8 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.725.8
53.0%
52.6%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.0
31.4%
35.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws27.419.6
71.5%
76.3%19.6
They take 77.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
WLLWLWWWLL
Qingdao
LWLLWWLWWL
#16
League position
#7
-2.2
Net rating
-1.8
109.9
Offensive rating
105.1
112.1
Defensive rating
106.9
53.8%
Effective FG%
50.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.5%
20.1%
Turnover %
18.2%
34.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
36.9%
3-point %
31.4%
62.6%
Assist %
59.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 105.1Defence112.1 · 106.9Shooting53.8% · 50.8%3-point %36.9% · 31.4%Ball care20.1% · 18.2%Off. rebounds34.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Qingdao
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Guangzhou wins
6
Qingdao wins
DateGameScore
14/10/24Qingdao v Guangzhou109-80
14/04/24Guangzhou v Qingdao92-78
11/04/24Qingdao v Guangzhou96-101
21/03/24Qingdao v Guangzhou99-102
25/01/24Guangzhou v Qingdao108-98
29/12/23Qingdao v Guangzhou92-85
13/11/23Guangzhou v Qingdao96-101
07/01/23Qingdao v Guangzhou88-86
20/12/22Guangzhou v Qingdao88-89
12/10/22Guangzhou v Qingdao59-80
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HNingbo Rockets106-89
09/12/24HZhejiang Chouzhou93-122
07/12/24HShanxi Zhongyu104-130
04/12/24AFujian111-96
02/12/24HBeijing82-101
30/11/24HJilin140-117
27/11/24HTianjin108-97
17/11/24ATianjin89-69
16/11/24AJiangsu Dragons91-102
15/11/24HBeijing Royal Fighters80-93
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24AZhejiang Chouzhou99-123
09/12/24AJiangsu Dragons89-87
07/12/24HShandong98-102
04/12/24HZhejiang Guangsha93-105
02/12/24HFujian121-114
29/11/24HBeijing Royal Fighters102-99
16/11/24AXinjiang86-95
15/11/24HLiaoning94-78
13/11/24ANanjing Tongxi89-80
12/11/24HBeijing76-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWLLLW38%
AwayWWLLW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game101.1103.998.2
Allowed / game108.0112.2103.8
Point differential-6.9-8.4-5.5
Avg total209.1216.1202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Qingdao
CBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeWWWLL56%
AwayLWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %56%56%57%
Points / game100.1104.394.6
Allowed / game99.9100.499.3
Point differential+0.1+3.9-4.7
Avg total200.0204.8193.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zhejiang Guangsha1715288%105.293.1+12.1
2 Xinjiang1613381%113.3100.9+12.4
3 Beijing1512380%99.992.5+7.3
4 Liaoning1713476%108.297.3+10.9
5 Shanxi Zhongyu1612475%116.1107.7+8.4
6 Shandong1712571%104.4100.9+3.5
7 Zhejiang Chouzhou1711665%115.4106.8+8.6
8 Guangdong169756%107.0102.4+4.6
9 Beijing Royal Fighters169756%103.899.8+4.0
10 Qingdao169756%100.199.9+0.1
11 Nanjing Tongxi169756%107.0107.5-0.5
12 Jilin1771041%106.8111.0-4.2
13 Guangzhou1661038%101.1108.0-6.9
14 Tianjin1761135%100.6108.8-8.2
15 Ningbo Rockets1761135%105.1114.1-9.1
16 Shanghai1441029%103.9105.9-2.0
17 Sichuan1741324%99.6107.7-8.1
18 Shenzhen1731418%101.2109.8-8.6
19 Jiangsu Dragons1621412%95.1104.6-9.5
20 Fujian161156%102.5116.9-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou26291929103
Qingdao31332029113
← all games of the day
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