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Guangzhou vs Shanghai Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 11:35
Final 97-104
22-25 26-30 16-19 33-30
Position#9
Record20-21
FormLWWLL
Points / game101.7
Allowed / game99.3
vs
Position#6
Record25-16
FormWLWWW
Points / game106.2
Allowed / game103.4
ChinaCBARound 42· Tianhe Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Guangzhou v Shanghai
24 Jan 2027
GUAN v SHAN
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
GUAN89
SHAN90
16 Dec 2024
GUAN106
SHAN113
11 Mar 2024
GUAN97
SHAN104
08 Dec 2023
GUAN98
SHAN100
14 Dec 2022
GUAN92
SHAN98
15 Jan 2022
GUAN84
SHAN103
08 Mar 2021
GUAN96
SHAN95
04 Jul 2020
GUAN101
SHAN105
24 Nov 2019
GUAN119
SHAN113
16 Dec 2018
GUAN117
SHAN111
29 Oct 2017
GUAN118
SHAN102
30 Dec 2016
GUAN93
SHAN100
26 Jan 2016
GUAN127
SHAN113
23 Jan 2015
GUAN116
SHAN110
08 Dec 2013
GUAN94
SHAN83
01 Feb 2013
GUAN118
SHAN112
25 Nov 2011
GUAN102
SHAN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Guangzhou winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shanghai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GuangzhouChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGuangzhou
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
97-113
97
113
-16
93avg 96
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
105-112
105
112
-7
97avg 96
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
W
108-98
108
98
+10
96avg 96
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
96-79
96
79
+17
99avg 96
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
92-100
92
100
-8
62avg 96
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
125-98
125
98
+27
126avg 96
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
109-96
109
96
+13
95avg 96
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
L
100-102
100
102
-2
85avg 96
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
L
103-109
103
109
-6
97avg 96
A09/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
15-34
25-26
35-25
34-25
23-40
21-20
27-27
29-27
22-34
35-20
22-17
20-20
25-32
27-18
16-18
28-22
22-11
24-18
22-28
29-33
21-26
18-24
24-17
24-31
35-21
29-21
37-25
33-28
34-17
16-28
26-23
20-26
27-20
19-38
34-18
34-29
29-27
23-32
17-21
203.9Avg total
103.3Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)101.799.3201.0+2.449%
Season at home (20)104.798.5203.2+6.260%
Season away (21)98.9100.0198.9-1.238%
Last 10 (10)103.3100.6203.9+2.740%
Last 5 (5)105.8101.0206.8+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)99.2104.8204.0-5.620%
vs Similar ◀ (13)99.9101.4201.3-1.531%
vs Weaker (12)105.198.2203.3+6.867%
This opponent (Shanghai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShanghaiChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShanghai
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
109-108
109
108
+1
104avg 97
H20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
110-78
110
78
+32
112avg 97
H22/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
111-120
111
120
-9
102avg 97
A24/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
123-114
123
114
+9
125avg 97
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
107-105 OT
107
105
+2
no box
A29/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
100-92
100
92
+8
98avg 97
H01/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
96-104
96
104
-8
86avg 97
H03/02
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
103-86
103
86
+17
100avg 97
H05/02
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
91avg 97
A07/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
123-116
123
116
+7
118avg 97
A09/03
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-30
28-23
25-27
24-28
26-20
28-18
23-20
33-20
32-33
31-26
31-35
17-26
41-42
28-21
25-19
29-32
30-25
23-25
22-26
24-23
33-29
26-21
24-18
17-24
26-34
31-25
18-26
21-19
30-26
21-26
32-17
20-17
29-17
22-31
23-17
28-34
32-22
34-31
25-31
32-32
210.6Avg total
108.4Scored
102.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)106.2103.4209.6+2.861%
Season at home (20)105.5100.2205.7+5.270%
Season away (21)106.9106.5213.4+0.452%
Last 10 (10)108.4102.2210.6+6.280%
Last 5 (5)104.899.4204.2+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.1109.4215.6-3.343%
vs Similar ◀ (13)111.1106.5217.5+4.685%
vs Weaker (10)107.797.8205.5+9.970%
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
GuangzhouShanghai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GuangzhouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A20/01
CBA
Shandong
#15
L
57-65
57
65
-8
A22/01
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
51-61
51
61
-10
H25/01
CBA
Beijing
#11
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H27/01
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A29/01
CBA
Shanghai
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A01/02
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H03/02
CBA
Shenzhen
#8
W
67-45
67
45
+22
H05/02
CBA
Jiangsu Dragons
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A06/03
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A09/03
CBA
105.7Avg total
52.6Scored
53.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.251.3103.5+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.151.4105.4+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)50.651.2101.9-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)52.653.1105.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)57.251.6108.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.857.0109.8-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)51.751.8103.5-0.146%-
vs Weaker (12)52.648.4101.0+4.267%-
This opponent (Shanghai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShanghaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#2
W
60-53
60
53
+7
H20/01
CBA
Sichuan
#20
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H22/01
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#10
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A24/01
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#12
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A27/01
CBA
Liaoning
#1
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A29/01
CBA
Guangzhou
#9
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H01/02
CBA
Jilin
#16
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H03/02
CBA
Ningbo Rockets
#19
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H05/02
CBA
Zhejiang Guangsha
#5
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A07/03
CBA
Shandong
#15
W
66-53
66
53
+13
A09/03
CBA
110.8Avg total
58.3Scored
52.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.051.8106.8+3.170%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.550.8105.3+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)55.552.9108.3+2.673%-
Last 10 (10)58.352.5110.8+5.880%-
Last 5 (5)56.852.4109.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)51.652.4104.0-0.957%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.854.2112.0+3.585%-
vs Weaker (10)53.748.3102.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Guangzhou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Guangzhoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Guangzhou: 93.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.526.0
50.5%
52.7%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.4
38.5%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.716.0
77.3%
76.0%16.0
They take 73.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shanghaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shanghai: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.6 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 100.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.330.8
61.2%
52.7%61.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.86.4
30.8%
34.6%19.2
🏀 Free throws22.818.8
82.5%
76.0%18.8
They take 71.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Guangzhou
LLWWLWLWLL
Shanghai
WWWLWWWLWW
#9
League position
#6
-0.7
Net rating
+10.7
114.0
Offensive rating
118.6
114.7
Defensive rating
107.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
35.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
30.8%
56.1%
Assist %
55.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 118.6Defence114.7 · 107.9Shooting52.7% · 56.8%3-point %38.5% · 30.8%Ball care12.8% · 14.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 35.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Guangzhou   ■ Shanghai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Guangzhou wins
9
Shanghai wins
DateGameScore
01/02/24Shanghai v Guangzhou100-92
13/12/23Shanghai v Guangzhou106-99
08/12/23Guangzhou v Shanghai98-100
28/12/22Shanghai v Guangzhou121-92
14/12/22Guangzhou v Shanghai92-98
15/01/22Guangzhou v Shanghai84-103
31/12/21Shanghai v Guangzhou105-101
08/03/21Guangzhou v Shanghai96-95
03/02/21Shanghai v Guangzhou98-93
04/07/20Guangzhou v Shanghai101-105
Guangzhoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24ALiaoning103-109
06/03/24AJiangsu Dragons100-102
05/02/24HShenzhen109-96
03/02/24HSichuan125-98
01/02/24AShanghai92-100
29/01/24ANingbo Rockets96-79
27/01/24HBeijing98-99 OT
25/01/24HQingdao108-98
22/01/24AShandong105-112
20/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters97-113
Shanghailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AShandong123-116
07/03/24AZhejiang Guangsha102-99
05/02/24HNingbo Rockets103-86
03/02/24HJilin96-104
01/02/24HGuangzhou100-92
29/01/24ALiaoning107-105 OT
27/01/24AShanxi Zhongyu123-114
24/01/24ABeijing Royal Fighters111-120
22/01/24HSichuan110-78
20/01/24HZhejiang Chouzhou109-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Guangzhou
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL49%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %49%60%38%
Points / game101.7104.798.9
Allowed / game99.398.5100.0
Point differential+2.4+6.2-1.2
Avg total201.0203.2198.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won30% (10)0% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %2%5%0%
Shanghai
CBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLWWWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %61%70%52%
Points / game106.2105.5106.9
Allowed / game103.4100.2106.5
Point differential+2.8+5.2+0.4
Avg total209.6205.7213.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%30%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)43% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %10%15%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xinjiang4134783%106.996.2+10.7
2 Liaoning4134783%104.093.5+10.5
3 Zhejiang Chouzhou41301173%108.599.9+8.6
4 Zhejiang Guangsha41271466%103.996.7+7.2
5 Guangdong41271466%109.3105.3+4.0
6 Shenzhen41261563%106.2102.7+3.5
7 Shanghai41251661%106.2103.4+2.8
8 Qingdao41241759%101.999.7+2.1
9 Beijing Royal Fighters41231856%106.3104.0+2.4
10 Guangzhou41202149%101.799.3+2.4
11 Beijing41202149%100.7100.8-0.1
12 Shanxi Zhongyu41202149%108.9111.0-2.1
13 Tianjin41192246%106.5108.2-1.7
14 Nanjing Tongxi41192246%102.7104.9-2.2
15 Shandong41162539%102.4104.5-2.1
16 Fujian41162539%103.5106.1-2.6
17 Jilin41152637%104.1108.0-3.9
18 Ningbo Rockets4163515%92.1106.0-13.9
19 Jiangsu Dragons4153612%93.2104.0-10.7
20 Sichuan4143710%97.8112.6-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Guangzhou2226163397
Shanghai25301930104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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